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LSU vs A&M Stats
Posted on 10/22/24 at 7:33 am
Posted on 10/22/24 at 7:33 am
I dug a little into stats for this game and how each team compares to each other.
These are yards per game for and allowed
LSU Pass Offense 8th in country vs A&M pass defense 50th in country (USCe 36th)
LSU Rush Offense 96th vs A&M rush defense 36th - we are around 50 in ypc tho. (Ole Miss 1, UCLA 12, USCe 14, Ark 31)
A&M pass Offense 107th vs LSU pass defense 103
A&M rush Offense 13th vs LSU rush defense 33rd. They avg 5.37 ypc and we only give up 3.71.
Big one here, Sacks - A&M has allowed 7 sacks on 170 pass attempts. LSU averages 3.4 sacks a game.
LSU has given up 2 sacks on 288 pass attempts and A&M defense averages 2.4 sacks a game.
T/O margin is about even for both teams. A&M +5 on the season, LSU +4.
Our weakness against there weakness and strength against strength for us on defense. Our strength against their weakness on Offense (although their pass d isn't that bad).
Edited to add Total O/D and Scoring O/D to show LSU has more of a bend but don't break defense
LSU Total Offense 25th / Defense 67
A&M Total Offense 57th / Defense 31
LSU Scoring Offense 29th / Defense 36
A&M Scoring Offense 46th / Defense 20
These are yards per game for and allowed
LSU Pass Offense 8th in country vs A&M pass defense 50th in country (USCe 36th)
LSU Rush Offense 96th vs A&M rush defense 36th - we are around 50 in ypc tho. (Ole Miss 1, UCLA 12, USCe 14, Ark 31)
A&M pass Offense 107th vs LSU pass defense 103
A&M rush Offense 13th vs LSU rush defense 33rd. They avg 5.37 ypc and we only give up 3.71.
Big one here, Sacks - A&M has allowed 7 sacks on 170 pass attempts. LSU averages 3.4 sacks a game.
LSU has given up 2 sacks on 288 pass attempts and A&M defense averages 2.4 sacks a game.
T/O margin is about even for both teams. A&M +5 on the season, LSU +4.
Our weakness against there weakness and strength against strength for us on defense. Our strength against their weakness on Offense (although their pass d isn't that bad).
Edited to add Total O/D and Scoring O/D to show LSU has more of a bend but don't break defense
LSU Total Offense 25th / Defense 67
A&M Total Offense 57th / Defense 31
LSU Scoring Offense 29th / Defense 36
A&M Scoring Offense 46th / Defense 20
This post was edited on 10/22/24 at 12:46 pm
6
Posted on 10/22/24 at 11:19 am to Reeaholic
quote:
A&M rush Offense 13th vs LSU rush defense 33rd. They avg 5.37 ypc and we only give up 3.71.
I'm starting to think that if there is no clear production advantage between Weigman and Nuss, this will be the turning point. We like to pound the rock and chew up the clock, and if we can do that, we'll keep the ball out of Nuss' hands and wear down the defense. IMO, we need to keep this a low-scoring game. We're not winning a boat race against LSU.
Plus, Moss has averaged 2.5 TDs in the last two games (8 TDs in 7 games, tho. I'm trying not to cherry-pick too much lol). If he gets 2+, I think we win.
Posted on 10/22/24 at 11:23 am to Reeaholic
Thanks for compiling this!
Posted on 10/22/24 at 11:59 am to Reeaholic
Aggie schedule to date:
1. Notre Dame
2. McNeese
3. Florida
4. Bowling Green
5. Arkansas
6. Missouri
7. Mississippi State
LSU schedule to date:
1. USC
2. Nichols State
3. South Carolina
4. UCLA
5. South Alabama
6. Ole Miss
7. Arkansas
Verses common opponent, Arkansas (though Aggies started backup QB, Marcel Reed):
Aggies Rushing Yards:134 on 38 for 3.4
LSU Rushing Yards: 158 on 37 for 4.3
Aggie Passing Yards (Marcel Reed): 163 (11/22, 7.4 avg)
LSU Passing Yards: 235 (24/35 for 6.7 avg)
Aggie Rushing Yards Allowed: 100 on 30 carries, for 3.3 YPC
LSU Rushing Yards Allowed: 38 on 19 carries for 2 YPC
Aggie Passing Yards Allowed: 279 (23/41 for 6.8)
LSU Passing Yards Allowed: 240 (21/31 for 7.7)
Aggie Points Scored: 21
LSU Points Score: 34
Aggie Points Allowed: 17
LSU Points Allowed: 10
Footnote: LSU played at Arkansas, Aggies played on neutral field.
1. Notre Dame
2. McNeese
3. Florida
4. Bowling Green
5. Arkansas
6. Missouri
7. Mississippi State
LSU schedule to date:
1. USC
2. Nichols State
3. South Carolina
4. UCLA
5. South Alabama
6. Ole Miss
7. Arkansas
Verses common opponent, Arkansas (though Aggies started backup QB, Marcel Reed):
Aggies Rushing Yards:134 on 38 for 3.4
LSU Rushing Yards: 158 on 37 for 4.3
Aggie Passing Yards (Marcel Reed): 163 (11/22, 7.4 avg)
LSU Passing Yards: 235 (24/35 for 6.7 avg)
Aggie Rushing Yards Allowed: 100 on 30 carries, for 3.3 YPC
LSU Rushing Yards Allowed: 38 on 19 carries for 2 YPC
Aggie Passing Yards Allowed: 279 (23/41 for 6.8)
LSU Passing Yards Allowed: 240 (21/31 for 7.7)
Aggie Points Scored: 21
LSU Points Score: 34
Aggie Points Allowed: 17
LSU Points Allowed: 10
Footnote: LSU played at Arkansas, Aggies played on neutral field.
Posted on 10/22/24 at 12:03 pm to jbraua
quote:
Some things to think about:
Marcel Reed (QB2) is not much of a thrower. That forced us to rely on the ground game, which meant Arkansas could load the box. This also accounts for A&M's atrocious passing numbers against that team (Reed is nowhere near as good as an on-game Weigman).
I think the LSU/Arkansas passing numbers are very interesting. A&M's run defense is stout and we have a positive TO margin, which are the two areas where LSU had a clear advantage (rushing and TOs) against Arkansas. If A&M can get the run game going and open things up for Weigman (like we did with Missouri), we have a good shot.
However, I have zero confidence in our secondary apart from Will Lee III, and if Nuss is on fire, I really don't see us coming away with a W.
Posted on 10/22/24 at 12:25 pm to Reeaholic
quote:
A&M pass Offense 107th vs LSU pass defense 103
Sheesh. Let's hope we don't make Weigman look like a Heisman candidate. I know we are getting sacks, but most QBs just seem way too comfortable at times.
Posted on 10/22/24 at 12:33 pm to zack7552
When Weigman is on his game, he's one of the best in the country. However, when he's not, he's really bad. There is no middle road.
Posted on 10/22/24 at 12:37 pm to zack7552
Well we given up yards but have done pretty well. In the last 2 games we've played the #2 and #22 offenses in the country and given up 33 points combined. 3 were in OT. If we can hold A&M to 23 or less we will win.
Posted on 10/22/24 at 12:38 pm to jbraua
Thx. Good stuff.
Posted on 10/22/24 at 12:39 pm to Reeaholic
I think we'll need to score at least 28 points to beat you guys. I think you score from 27-34 points against us.
Posted on 10/22/24 at 2:06 pm to Reeaholic
quote:
Edited to add Total O/D and Scoring O/D to show LSU has more of a bend but don't break defense
A&M is similar. Approximately 1/3 of the TDs we have allowed have been on big plays (2 of the 14 were also due to putting in the backups against Florida, and one was a 12-yard drive by State after an INT).
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:27 pm to FootballFrenzy
quote:
I think we'll need to score at least 28 points to beat you guys. I think you score from 27-34 points against us.
LSU will beat you 41 - 20 at your house this Saturday.
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:40 pm to Reeaholic
LSU pass defense doesn't rank 103rd. That's total yardage per game. The more accurate measure would be yards per pass attempt. A team that lets up 2 passing yards on 100 attemps is better than a team who lets up 1 passing yard on 1 attempt.
They look to be closer to average maybe on yards per attempt maybe. Can't tell.
They look to be closer to average maybe on yards per attempt maybe. Can't tell.
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:48 pm to Timeoday
quote:
LSU will beat you 41 - 20 at your house this Saturday.
Lol
Posted on 10/22/24 at 5:37 pm to FootballFrenzy
Stats don't matter come game time
This rivalry football at it's finest
This rivalry football at it's finest
Posted on 10/22/24 at 5:45 pm to jbraua
Thanks for the details, but you can literally throw the stat book in the can for this one......it will be unpredictable, as most SEC games are these days.
Posted on 10/22/24 at 5:56 pm to FootballFrenzy
The entire reason I feel like we have a shot to get out of CS with a W is that our run offense & overall defense are much, much better than what season stats would suggest.
If Caden Durham is at minimum as healthy as he was last week, boy is going to eat some yards. And Weigman absolutely will get sacked at least twice.
I think the most interesting piece of this game is if Aggie’s defense is bend-don’t-break & if Durham has any issues with the foot, we will wind up settling for some field goals
If Caden Durham is at minimum as healthy as he was last week, boy is going to eat some yards. And Weigman absolutely will get sacked at least twice.
I think the most interesting piece of this game is if Aggie’s defense is bend-don’t-break & if Durham has any issues with the foot, we will wind up settling for some field goals
Posted on 10/22/24 at 5:58 pm to zack7552
quote:
Sheesh. Let's hope we don't make Weigman look like a Heisman candidate. I know we are getting sacks, but most QBs just seem way too comfortable at times.
Would take more effort than I have to offer, but I bet you we are much higher than 107th over the last 3 games.
Posted on 10/22/24 at 5:58 pm to FootballFrenzy
This just sounds like a pretty even match to me. It as always will come down to mistakes. Penalties, turnovers. For LSU we have to stop the run. For Aggies they have to be able to defend the pass. Great venue, Aggie probably should have an edge going in with the crowd being that edge.
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