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re: LSU MBB vs UNO: Tigers WIN 86-70, improve to 10-2 overall and remain UNDEFEATED at home
Posted on 12/23/24 at 11:09 am to tiger81
Posted on 12/23/24 at 11:09 am to tiger81
I think even 5 wins in the SEC would be good when nearly the entire conference will make the tournament. The number of wins is less important than how we compete. If we get blown out by over 20 points several times, then we probably won’t make it. But if we lose 13 games by on average less than 10 points, and only have 2 blowouts, while winning 5, that might still be enough.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 11:22 am to Madking
The absolute worst offense in MBB was most of Brady's teams. And Brady was widely disliked when he was here. Everybody likes him NOW, as a radio commentator!
Will Wade was loved by our fans almost immediately upon coming here. He should have not been fired, IMO. He would have continued to have LSU in the top 4 of SEC MBB teams.
I still buy my season tickets and we still go to the games. We cheer as we always have, but there is no feeling that CMM is going to make us SEC contenders at any point. 9-9 in the SEC was good for 23-24, but I find it hard to believe, as I watch this year's team, that we will get to 7 SEC wins much less 9.
Will Wade was loved by our fans almost immediately upon coming here. He should have not been fired, IMO. He would have continued to have LSU in the top 4 of SEC MBB teams.
I still buy my season tickets and we still go to the games. We cheer as we always have, but there is no feeling that CMM is going to make us SEC contenders at any point. 9-9 in the SEC was good for 23-24, but I find it hard to believe, as I watch this year's team, that we will get to 7 SEC wins much less 9.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 11:28 am to GeorgeWest
I remember Brady talking about his mellowing out when he first started calling games for us. He’s definitely different now. You’re right about Wade and I don’t think people realized how special he was when we had him. To be able to turn it around so quickly and to elevate the team that much all on his own, without the support it normally takes to do that is pretty incredible.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 11:41 am to Lapaz
quote:
I think even 5 wins in the SEC would be good when nearly the entire conference will make the tournament. The number of wins is less important than how we compete.
I think we have to get past this mentality, and I don't mean that as a slight, I don't think your take is wrong per se. I know the conference is historically good, but I'm not sure I ever want to go into a conference slate with the mindset that 5 wins if fine as long as we're competitive. I don't think CMM is saying that either, but part of the problem our fan base had become ambivalent Re: hoops and 5 wins ain't all that big a deal outside our little 40-50 man bubble that talks about hoops here. This is year 3.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 12:09 pm to Circle K Beggar
but but but......"the big time".............."we are building something here".
This team will finish near the bottom of the SEC....and the fans aren't coming out for this....
This team will finish near the bottom of the SEC....and the fans aren't coming out for this....
Posted on 12/23/24 at 1:27 pm to basiletiger
quote:
the big time
One of the dumbest things I’ve ever seen. The big time what? I don’t understand what it means.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 2:05 pm to lsudave1
It is dumb.....
look it up it's marketing material that the LSU men's basketball team is trying to use...you know similar to "boot up" the slogan Will Wade started....now the LSU team is still using boot up along with "big time".
look it up it's marketing material that the LSU men's basketball team is trying to use...you know similar to "boot up" the slogan Will Wade started....now the LSU team is still using boot up along with "big time".
Posted on 12/23/24 at 3:01 pm to basiletiger
Oh I know I was at the game and saw that and it annoyed me because “big time” is not a noun it’s an adjective. Grammar police [ON] OFF
Posted on 12/23/24 at 3:05 pm to Lapaz
quote:
I think even 5 wins in the SEC would be good when nearly the entire conference will make the tournament. The number of wins is less important than how we compete. If we get blown out by over 20 points several times, then we probably won’t make it. But if we lose 13 games by on average less than 10 points, and only have 2 blowouts, while winning 5, that might still be enough.
There is a literal 0% chance a 5-13 SEC team makes the NCAAT short of winning the conference tournament.
There's probably a 0.1% chance a 6-12 SEC teams makes the NCAAT again short of winning the SECT.
This post was edited on 12/23/24 at 3:13 pm
Posted on 12/23/24 at 6:08 pm to thunderbird1100
quote:I agree. I would say 7-11 is the absolute minimum.
There is a literal 0% chance a 5-13 SEC team makes the NCAAT short of winning the conference tournament.
There's probably a 0.1% chance a 6-12 SEC teams makes the NCAAT again short of winning the SECT.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 7:02 pm to BowDownToLSU
quote:
you probably right my fandom for basketball what it once was but apparently judging from the crowd I am not the only fan that feels this way. I did a quick check on Alabama basketball ( for comparison)and while they have played some cupcakes also. They have played a much tougher schedule so far which includes 16 Purdue, Illinois, 15 Houston, 10 Oregon, UNC In comparison LSU hasn’t played a ranked team, with the toughest being SMU, Florida State and Kansas State. Maybe it’s a strategy from MM since the SEC is brutal this year. We will soon find out
alabama is also much better and is playing quality teams for their standard.
we have played pitt, ucf, kansas st, florida state, and smu- quality teams for our current standard.
and while certainly not purdue or houston, they are not cupcakes.
This post was edited on 12/23/24 at 7:04 pm
Posted on 12/23/24 at 10:54 pm to Tiger Ugly
quote:
I think we have to get past this mentality, and I don't mean that as a slight, I don't think your take is wrong per se. I know the conference is historically good, but I'm not sure I ever want to go into a conference slate with the mindset that 5 wins if fine as long as we're competitive. I don't think CMM is saying that either, but part of the problem our fan base had become ambivalent Re: hoops and 5 wins ain't all that big a deal outside our little 40-50 man bubble that talks about hoops here. This is year 3.
I’m not suggesting that I would be happy going 5-13, but I’m just saying that it is realistic that a top 64 team wouldn’t win more than 5 games. If all of the losses are to teams in the tournament and if a couple of the wins are to teams in the tournament, then I think our NET will still be high, as long as the losses are close. If we have a NET close to 50, then we should still get in. I hope they do better, but every team in the SEC is currently in the top 64! South Carolina is the worst at 64. Is it possible the entire conference makes the tournament if the top 64 teams are supposed to make it?
This post was edited on 12/23/24 at 10:54 pm
Posted on 12/23/24 at 11:03 pm to mmcgrath
quote:
I agree. I would say 7-11 is the absolute minimum.
That would be true if it were based on a normal very good conference. This year it is beyond very good.
If we were to extend the analogy such that every team in the SEC were a top 25 team. If a team loses all of their games in that conference, would it still not deserve to get in the tournament? My answer is yes, if the games were competitive. The SEC this year isn’t far from that hypothetical. It won’t take as many wins as a normal year. I think the key will be about being competitive, and less about wins.
Posted on 12/23/24 at 11:24 pm to Lapaz
Your logic is terribly flawed.
First, it’s not the simply the “top 64” teams that make the NCAA Tournament (which actually has 68 teams). Otherwise, very few mid-majors would ever make the tournament. There are 32 automatic qualifiers and 36 at large teams. A 16-15 (5-13) LSU team has ZERO shot of getting one of the 36 at large spots. I don’t care how good the SEC is. That type of record, at best, puts LSU somewhere in the 60’s of the NET rankings (likely lower). Best case scenario that record gets LSU a NIT bid…best case scenario. Most teams in the 40’s of the NET won’t make the tournament.
LSU currently sits at 62 in the NET. That number is not going to improve by losing 13 games…no matter how close. Plus, good wins get you in the tournament, not a ton of close losses. Unfortunately, LSU doesn’t have any “good” wins now because Florida St, UCF, and, especially, Kansas St are really struggling.
I’m all for optimism, but its has to be based at least somewhat in reality
First, it’s not the simply the “top 64” teams that make the NCAA Tournament (which actually has 68 teams). Otherwise, very few mid-majors would ever make the tournament. There are 32 automatic qualifiers and 36 at large teams. A 16-15 (5-13) LSU team has ZERO shot of getting one of the 36 at large spots. I don’t care how good the SEC is. That type of record, at best, puts LSU somewhere in the 60’s of the NET rankings (likely lower). Best case scenario that record gets LSU a NIT bid…best case scenario. Most teams in the 40’s of the NET won’t make the tournament.
LSU currently sits at 62 in the NET. That number is not going to improve by losing 13 games…no matter how close. Plus, good wins get you in the tournament, not a ton of close losses. Unfortunately, LSU doesn’t have any “good” wins now because Florida St, UCF, and, especially, Kansas St are really struggling.
I’m all for optimism, but its has to be based at least somewhat in reality
This post was edited on 12/23/24 at 11:25 pm
Posted on 12/23/24 at 11:53 pm to Alt26
quote:
A 16-15 (5-13) LSU team has ZERO shot of getting one of the 36 at large spots
I don’t see how anyone can argue against that. It doesn’t take a good team to lose.
quote:
Most teams in the 40’s of the NET won’t make the tournament
I don’t know about that. But bid stealers do affect these teams.
Posted on 12/24/24 at 8:35 am to Alt26
quote:
Your logic is terribly flawed. First, it’s not the simply the “top 64” teams that make the NCAA Tournament (which actually has 68 teams). Otherwise, very few mid-majors would ever make the tournament. There are 32 automatic qualifiers and 36 at large teams. A 16-15 (5-13) LSU team has ZERO shot of getting one of the 36 at large spots. I don’t care how good the SEC is. That type of record, at best, puts LSU somewhere in the 60’s of the NET rankings (likely lower). Best case scenario that record gets LSU a NIT bid…best case scenario. Most teams in the 40’s of the NET won’t make the tournament. LSU currently sits at 62 in the NET. That number is not going to improve by losing 13 games…no matter how close. Plus, good wins get you in the tournament, not a ton of close losses. Unfortunately, LSU doesn’t have any “good” wins now because Florida St, UCF, and, especially, Kansas St are really struggling. I’m all for optimism, but its has to be based at least somewhat in reality
I think you’re wrong in your logic. The hypothetical was if the entire SEC was in the top 25, then I think a 0 win team could still make the tournament. I didn’t say a 0 win team would make it based on the actual current rankings, because the entire SEC isn’t in the top 25, but half of it is, and all are in the top 65. Therefore I contend that it will take fewer wins to get in than any normal year. That number could be 5 wins, assuming the losses are not blowouts, because that would give us 5 good wins I know some lower NET teams will get in, to round out the top 68, so not all top 50 get in, but practically every top 50 NET team gets in. The last time I check yesterday, LSU was at 53 and still there as of 8am on 12/24. Only Vandy at 56 and Sourh Carolina at 65 are lower and would most likely miss the tournament. As of today, I think LSU would not get in, but if they were to get those 5 good wins, they would move up and likely get in. The SEC could get 15 or more teams in this year! It’s wrong to get stuck on a traditional number of wins, because the conference is too good this year.
LINK
This post was edited on 12/24/24 at 8:37 am
Posted on 12/24/24 at 8:50 am to Lapaz
quote:
I’m not suggesting that I would be happy going 5-13, but I’m just saying that it is realistic that a top 64 team wouldn’t win more than 5 games.
I think it reasonable to say that 5 wins against this schedule with the team we have might be within the range of where this team should finish with the talent we have - though it would be IMHO the floor of that range even without Reed
What you would ideally hope for is that we would overachieve and do better than that.
quote:
If we have a NET close to 50, then we should still get in. I hope they do better, but every team in the SEC is currently in the top 64! South Carolina is the worst at 64.
unfortunately, that's not quite how it works, you have a lot of lower tier conferences whose champion gets an automatic bit so typically that takes up over 20 spots with teams likely not in that top 64 or 68 so in a normal year you probably have the top 45 maybe teams in with the rest of the spots being taken by these automatic qualifiers.
I think 7 wins would be the absolute low water mark where we might still be considered and I don't think that's an impossible task - we'll have to win a couple of games maybe we weren't expected to, but that happens all the time.
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