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re: LSU Home Runs under 2x national champion coach Jay Johnson (4 years)

Posted on 8/3/25 at 8:00 am to
Posted by GeauxTime9
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Dec 2010
6929 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 8:00 am to
It’ll be interesting to see what ‘26 looks like. On paper, I’m not sure if I see 100+.

I have confidence Jay will push the buttons to have a stellar offense per usual.
Posted by Some Random Dude
Member since Aug 2019
152 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 12:24 pm to
Well, in the two years Jay and the boys didn’t win it all, they hit exactly 114 home runs in both years.
Posted by AlecRock23
Central, LA
Member since Mar 2015
1727 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 2:40 pm to
I think Jay is just an elite offensive coach and home runs are certainly a part of his offensive philosophy
Posted by TheLoupGarou
Benton, LA
Member since Oct 2010
1254 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 6:15 pm to
2023: big ball + elite pitching = championship

2025: small ball + elite pitching = championship.

Hummh,… I think I see a pattern.

Kudos to the OP. Nice solid post! I like factual information rather than someone’s unfounded and unsupported “dumbass opinion”
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
23937 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 6:35 pm to
quote:

For a team known for gorilla ball our fans sure hates home runs



I don't hate homreruns, I LOVE, LOVE, LOVE titles though.

Posted by Mr Happy
Member since May 2019
2397 posts
Posted on 8/3/25 at 11:38 pm to
quote:

the surprise for me is someone posting a bunch of data with zero discourse about what you’re talking about.

First time here?
Posted by Ironhead985
Member since Jun 2013
10024 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 1:41 am to
quote:

Never can tell, though, Milam and Curiel might take big steps in HR numbers.
Shouldn't be hard for Curiel. Just a year of growth should give him a nice little jump in power. Will it be enough to hit 20+ Homer's? I doubt it, but around 12 or 13 i could see. I think Milam will stay in 10 range where he's been.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
52556 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 1:48 am to
quote:

Shouldn't be hard for Curiel. Just a year of growth should give him a nice little jump in power. Will it be enough to hit 20+ Homer's? I doubt it, but around 12 or 13 i could see. I think Milam will stay in 10 range where he's been.

I agree on Curiel, but I’m hoping Milam’s power continues to increase. He was hitting HRs at a good clip for the first half of the season, then it sputtered. I’m sure competition had something to do with it, but it was also a slump. I think Milam could be a 15 HR guy.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94832 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 7:37 am to
The main thing that sets 2023 off is that you had 8 guys in double digits. (ETA: 2022 and 2025 didn't have Tommy White - )

Let's take the extreme example from LSU - 1997 - only 9 guys got into double digits, but Larson hit 40, Koerner hit 22, with Furniss, Barbier and Davis all in the mid teens. That team hit 188 HRs, and every batter who recorded a statistic hit at least 1 HR. Despite hitting 44 more HRs, only scored about 40 more runs than 2023. Also, despite these differences, the teams were otherwise fairly comparable, offensively. Even pitching, the ERAs were fairly close, although 23 got a lot more Ks.

Fielding percentage was fairly close - obviously 97 slugged a little better and 23 got on base a little better.

In fact, statistically the teams were shockingly similar at the end of the day other than the couple of outlier stats (97 HRs, 23 Ks),

This post was edited on 8/4/25 at 8:18 am
Posted by DamnStrong
NOLA Til I Die!
Member since Aug 2008
4936 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 9:01 am to
One other thing that stands out to me is the number of players who went yard each year.

In 2022, 2023 & 2024, LSU had exactly 12 different players hit at least 1 home run. Last year, 14 kids went deep at least once. All 9 of the starters (Frey @ DH, Brown @ RF) homered in 2025. The other 5 kids who homered were Pearson, Pearson, Arrambide, Reaves & Larson. Hopefully our strength & conditioning training continues to improve and spread the wealth to future teams. Although as previously stated, Championships are way more important than Home Runs.
Posted by The Eric
Member since Sep 2008
24167 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 9:15 am to
I have a stat for you.


Year 1: No championship

Year 2: Championship

Year 3: No championship

Year 4: Championship.



If we continue at this pace we will pass USC for #1 overall in a short 10 years
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22352 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 9:28 am to
quote:

2025: small ball + elite pitching = championship.


Unless you’re focusing on a singular struggling third baseman, there’s nothing small ball about this past team’s offensive approach. Kind of drives me crazy when people think that just because a team isn’t top 5 in the country in HR/SLG that it somehow means the team is automatically small ball. shite, the 2025 team was 17 in the country in total HRs

2025 was a complete lineup for the most important stretch of year, the postseason. I acknowledge the hitting issues in true road games in conference, but that means nothing come close of regular season when you’re a top 8 seed. With the exception of Braswell, everyone in lineup was capable of earning a base hit, not just putting bat on ball or moving runners over. Again, excepting Braswell, our “worst” 2 hitters in everyday lineup - Luis and Stanfield - were 2 of our most clutch hitters. We’d still find ways to win in games where Bear was wearing a golden sombrero or when Frey finally cooled off. Model signs of a complete lineup.
Posted by SaveFarris
Member since Apr 2012
2532 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 11:01 am to
Pete, do I care whether we score runs via home runs or small ball?

Posted by AlecRock23
Central, LA
Member since Mar 2015
1727 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 7:20 pm to
I agree with the number of people for sure, I found thet interesting

and obviously championships are extremely important but the long ball just makes it a tad bit more enjoyable for me

but championships are obviously important

although our 5 of our last six championships we have hit 100 homers in a season. The lone exception....2000 and we hit 98 that year
Posted by LSUtoBOOT
Member since Aug 2012
19309 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 7:28 pm to
Let’s try to not hit exactly 114 homeruns.
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