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re: LSU 5 @ Alabama 2 TIGERS WIN! Series Tied
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:01 pm to CottonWasKing
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:01 pm to CottonWasKing
quote:
You being a fan of it or not has no bearing on whether it was a sound baseball move or not.
i mean if you want to get in sabermetrics it was also the wrong call, but whatever, I'm not trying to go down this rabbit hole right now
quote:
And fact of the matter is that if a guy like duplantis actually executed on what he was asked to do then we’re up a run right now
you have no idea how they would have pitched to beloso had there been runners on 2nd and 3rd, so this argument is kind of moot
This post was edited on 4/27/19 at 3:02 pm
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:01 pm to CottonWasKing
quote:
It is NEVER a bad call to bunt with runners on 1st and 2nd with no outs and down 1. Never
It is an awful idea this early in the game to give up an out with one of your better hitters up.
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:01 pm to josh336
quote:
Your run expectancy goes down, but okay
You’re much more likely to score runs with runners on 2nd and 3rd with 1 out than you are with runners on 1st and 2nd with no outs.
Especially when you take into account how we’ve hit this weekend
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:02 pm to CottonWasKing
Actually that exact opposite. Do you think it’s 1978? Every single analytics and sabermetrics says you don’t give up an out there. Especially early in a game. Especially with one of your best hitters up.
It’s never the right call there. Just another example of Paul being behind the times
It’s never the right call there. Just another example of Paul being behind the times
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:02 pm to CottonWasKing
quote:
You’re much more likely to score runs with runners on 2nd and 3rd with 1 out than you are with runners on 1st and 2nd with no outs.
negative, analytics say otherwise
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:03 pm to lsufball19
quote:
i'm not a fan of it in the 3rd inning with a guy like Duplantis batting
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:04 pm to LSUJML
Reid, Cabrera, Bianco due up to take the lead in the top of the 4th
Tied 1-1
Tied 1-1
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:04 pm to LSUJML
Looked like that was right at the knees to me. Not sure what the batter was thinking.
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:04 pm to tigerfan88
quote:
sabermetrics
I’m kind of tired of seeing this word in relation to college baseball. It just doesn’t hold up as well in this game. Those are metrics based off professional athletes. There’s so much more variation in the college game.
Players beat out bunts at a much higher rate in college baseball. Errors are much more common in college baseball, especially when you put pressure on the defense.
I love sabermetrics in the pro game but they just don’t play the same way in college
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:05 pm to 4LSU2
quote:
Bunt with no outs and runners on first and second was the correct call.
Dups put it right back at the pitcher who had the automatic out at 3B, which sucked.
That’s baseball.
Actually it’s a very strange call to bunt your three hole hitter down 1-0 early.
And it’s obvious to most that watch the games that many if not most of our guys are bad at sacrifice bunting. I believe we are a poor bunting team.
Duplantis sac bunting, how often? It’s not in the season stats on sports.net, but I’d guess not often.
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:05 pm to CottonWasKing
You are more likely to score 1 or 2 runs with it, sure. But it makes you alot less likely to score 3-6 runs
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:05 pm to CottonWasKing
top 4, Reid leading off
low, 1-0
outside, 2-0
low, 3-0
strike, 3-1
inside, walk!
low, 1-0
outside, 2-0
low, 3-0
strike, 3-1
inside, walk!
This post was edited on 4/27/19 at 3:06 pm
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:05 pm to josh336
quote:The odds of getting one run goes UP when a sac bunt is executed with runners on first and second. But the odds of getting more than one run in that situation goes down.
Your run expectancy goes down
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:05 pm to LSUJML
This will be the inning we turn it on !!!!
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:05 pm to CottonWasKing
quote:
And fact of the matter is that if a guy like duplantis actually executed on what he was asked to do then we’re up a run right now
You dont think they pitch differently? Come on man, learn the game.
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:06 pm to lsufball19
There is one time where bunting increases your probability of scoring one run in that inning. I don't remember what the situation was. Your overall run expectancy goes down but the likelihood of scoring goes up.
This post was edited on 4/27/19 at 3:07 pm
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:06 pm to ProjectP2294
Cabrera up, Reid on 1st, no outs
outside, 1-0
strike, 1-1
foul, 1-2
foul, 1-2
foul, 1-2
swing and a miss, K
outside, 1-0
strike, 1-1
foul, 1-2
foul, 1-2
foul, 1-2
swing and a miss, K
This post was edited on 4/27/19 at 3:09 pm
Posted on 4/27/19 at 3:07 pm to CottonWasKing
quote:
I’m kind of tired of seeing this word in relation to college baseball. It just doesn’t hold up as well in this game. Those are metrics based off professional athletes. There’s so much more variation in the college game.
correct, you're more likely to get hits in the college game, which makes giving up outs even dumber
quote:
Errors are much more common in college baseball, especially when you put pressure on the defense.
and this is your argument to give up an out and take the bat out of Duplatis' hands?
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