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RidiculousHype
LSU Fan
GOTC: 9-6 FINAL (OT)
Member since Sep 2007
5323 posts
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If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
If we win our 3 remaining home games and steal one on the road, we’d be 9-9 in the SEC. What would we need to do in the SEC tourney to put us in?

I saw one site projected 9 SEC teams will make the NCAA tourney; we’re in 10th place now at 5-7 but 4 teams are one game ahead of us at 6-6, and we’ve beaten 2 of them twice (Ark and A&M).

Michigan and Houston need to keep winning.


TheCaterpillar
LSU Fan
Member since Jan 2004
63879 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
We’d have to win SEC tourney.

10-8 and a win over SFA would’ve prob put us in without winning SEC.


rutiger
New York Yankees Fan
purgatory
Member since Jun 2007
18172 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
quote:

We’d have to win SEC tourney.


Disagree. If we go 9-9 in league and win 2 games in the sec tourney i think we would have a very good shot of getting in.


lsupride87
LSU Fan
River Ridge
Member since Dec 2007
49113 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
Our current RPI is 79

You usually need to be top45 to get in

We pretty much need to win the SEC tourney


Hold That Tiger 10
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2013
8718 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
The standard "what does LSU have to do to make the tournament" threads after LSU every win is so much better than the so-and-so sucks and isnt playing hard threads after every loss.


bugafor6
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2016
2593 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
If we go 4-2, our rpi will be very close to 45. 2 wins in the tournament would absolutely get us in

However, we aren’t consistent enough to go 4-2 to close out. We will probably beat the best teams on our remaining schedule and lose to every team we shouldn’t lose to
This post was edited on 2/11 at 10:54 am


S
Texas Southern Fan
Evergreen, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94694 posts
 Online 

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
If we beat vandy and uga and split mizzou/state we should at least be an NIT lock.


T
LSU Fan
Member since Jan 2004
6612 posts
 Online 

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
We'd be in the last four in/first four out mix if we go 5-1(which is absolutely doable).


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71
SoloTiger
Member since Aug 2016
1476 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
I think 8-10 is where Tigers end up and that won't be easy. I think that record likely gets LSU an NIT bid.

I agree 9-9 with 18-12 overall heading into SEC tourney would put LSU in good shape to make NCAA tourney with good showing in SEC tourney. 9-9 would likely put LSU between 6-8 in SEC final standings. I think 7-8 teams get into NCAA's this year.

I just think it's a little too much to ask. Bama and Missouri are 2 toughest opponents left. I see Bama as the only definite loss though. Vandy at home most likely win. Missouri and State at home are huge games. Hopefully play well at either UGA or USC and get another road win.


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43
tarzana
LSU Fan
Chocolate Bayou/Bailey Ave, Manvel
Member since Sep 2015
10783 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
Probably. Tigers have six wins already vs NCAA lock teams. An 18-13 (9-9) may be good enough for the tourney, because to go 4-2 the last 6 games would require one or two upsets along the way (Mizzou? @Georgia?).


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41
Tiger Ugly
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
8213 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
I agree I think 9-9 with a win or two in the SEC tourney gets us in depending on who else we beat down the stretch. Pull for A&M and Arky to keep winning and that only helps us along with Michigan and Houston.

but 4-2 is a tough task:

Bama - bad matchup for us their size, toughness and athleticism will be very tough to overcome - L

Missouri - They are playing well lately, but I think we can play with them at home - W

Vandy - still lamenting that one that got away in Nashville, I think this is a good matchup for us and as we learned there they struggle a bit with full court pressure - W

Georgia - Should have beaten them here, I think it will be close cause Georgia just doesn't blow teams out but I think our issues on the boards do us in at Athens - L

Cocks - They are struggling right now but and are a bit talent challenged, but I think Martin will have them playing better by the time we get there...we pull out a squeaker - W

State - Howland has them playing well, 3rd years been the charm for him everywhere he's been, I think they steal one from us here - L.

8-10 but we get ourselves in the conversation which I think is a very good achievement.

Geaux Tigers!!


IntenseKid
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2014
1007 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
If we’re on the bubble does the committee keep in mind we were without Sampson for some of those losses?


Alt26
LSU Fan
Member since Mar 2010
11099 posts
 Online 

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
It really depends on who the 4 wins are against. This week is HUGE for LSU. HUGE!!

Bama and Mizzou are both top 50 teams. LSU's strongest argument for inclusion with in the tournament is their 6 top 50 wins. This week is probably the last chance to add to that number.

If LSU goes 2-0 this week, then they are probably "in" going into the last 2 weeks of the season.

1-1 gives them a shot, but they must finish at least 9-9 in league play going into the SECT

0-2, and the chances of them reaching the NCAAT are VERY slim.


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90
Tigerfan7218
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2010
11059 posts
 Online 

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
I agree with you, but think we beat state on senior day, with our senior bigs having themselves a game to go out on, but that might just be me thinking of a fairy tale


Tiger Ugly
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
8213 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
quote:

If we’re on the bubble does the committee keep in mind we were without Sampson for some of those losses?


I don't think so, he has not been a consistent or significant enough factor since his return IMHO to warrant that qualifier.


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BayouBengals03
Michigan State Fan
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
98754 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
quote:

If we go 4-2, our rpi will be very close to 45

Lol no

We are WAY farther away from the NCAA Tournament that most on this board would have you believe.

Even if we finished 5-1 down the stretch (with a loss @ Alabama) and finish 10-8 in the SEC, our RPI would be somewhere around 57. So we'd STILL have work to do in the SEC Tournament.

Let's say we grab an 8 or 9 seed in the SEC Tournament. Whether we go 1-1 with a loss to Auburn or 2-1 with a loss to Auburn (9 seed would have to play one extra game), our RPI would be in the mid 50s. Now, that would have us on the bubble, because we do have a good number of RPI top-50 wins, but we would be far from a lock.

Basically, if we go 10-8 in conference, we'd still have to get a big win against a team like Auburn in the SEC Tournament in order to truly be locked into the field.

The home loss to SFA could end up costing us 10 spots in the RPI, depending on how they finish the season in the Southland. That one game could be the difference between LSU making the field and not making it.


JR Hamilsbach
Member since Oct 2010
675 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
quote:

If we beat vandy and uga and split mizzou/state we should at least be an NIT lock.


Aren't we an NIT lock already without losing out the remainder of our schedule, which is highly unlikely? We're inconsistent, but I don't see any scenario where we're not playing in the NIT at least.


JR Hamilsbach
Member since Oct 2010
675 posts

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
quote:

If we’re on the bubble does the committee keep in mind we were without Sampson for some of those losses?


Was Sampson injured yesterday? He played 8 minutes if not and has been mostly a nonfactor other than eating minutes for most of the year. I don't think Sampson's injury status early in the year will factor into the committee's decision regarding our tournament chances.
This post was edited on 2/11 at 12:26 pm


Tigerfan7218
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2010
11059 posts
 Online 

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
Nah, go read the WW quote thread, basically he didn't follow the game plan so they benched him


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30
S
Texas Southern Fan
Evergreen, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94694 posts
 Online 

re: If we finish 4-2 can we make the NCAA tourney?
Probably need to win 2-3 more to be sure.


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