Started By
Message

Even Winning Out, I’m Not Seeing How We Get In The CFP

Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:30 am
Posted by mjv1011
Member since Sep 2014
658 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:30 am
I just feel like there are too many teams above us. Sure we’d have two good wins with Texas and Tennessee, but there’s too many BYU’s and Texas Tech’s and Iowa types that will have two or fewer losses. I’d be all for it of course, but who above us currently do you think would get in over us if they had two or fewer losses? That 12th spot that Boise steals seems like the one that we should get but won’t because of the rules.
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
20955 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:30 am to
It’s not worth worrying about right now
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
96003 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:33 am to
we had a shot to control our own future and we shite the bed. nobody to blame but ourselves. move on. stop worrying over it.

basketball is here.
Posted by stopitnow1
Florida
Member since Mar 2013
3475 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:33 am to
This is something to talk about if we win the next 2 games
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
71545 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:35 am to
We'll be on the fringe if we win out. Obviously convincing wins over Texas and Tennessee would go a long way. Ole Miss needs to win out to keep that a good loss.
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
28303 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:37 am to
quote:

I just feel like there are too many teams above us.
none of them play any big games...we get to leap frog a bunch of these teams if we win
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
15748 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:41 am to
CFB is down and volatile this year,

Finish 9-3 and we would be the 3rd best team from SEC. If Kentucky wins out then we are 4th. CFP will take 4-5 SEC teams.

Teams like Ole Miss despite beating us still got their shite rocked by a bad Florida team by 24 points. We luckily face the the two teams ahead of us and November head to heads matter a lot. Let’s face it, Bama is pretty damn good team when healthy
Posted by TigerBR1111
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2014
9047 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:44 am to
I wouldn’t expect it. If it somehow happens, then it would be a nice unexpected surprise.
Posted by NorthTxLSU
Dallas to Austin to Houston
Member since Nov 2018
15590 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:46 am to
Winning out is a long shot in itself, no point stressing about it right now.
Posted by EasterEgg
New Orleans Metro
Member since Sep 2018
5720 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:53 am to
Bro, just go look at all their schedules. A bunch of those 2-loss teams will be 3-loss teams within a couple weeks, and a bunch of those 3-loss teams will be 4-loss teams soon (maybe including us).

Upsets (not looking at spread but just rankings) to look out for this weekend (not calling all of these but they are within the realm of reason):
Illinois over UCLA;
Duke over Miami;
SMU over WF;
Northwestern over Ohio State;
We want Tenn to beat Texas A&M;
I think we want Georgia to beat Missouri;
We want Indiana to beat USC;
Baylor over BYU;
Michigan over Oregon;
Oklahoma over Ole Miss;
Florida over Kentucky;
We want Utah to beat Arizona;
LSU over Texas;
Oklahoma State over Texas Tech.

If we get LSU and 4 or 5 of the others, we will be within striking distance.

The following week I see less potential for chaos, but there's still sone including LSU. And we all know how crazy the last week of the season can be. Throw is a surprise or two in the conf championships, and if LSU wins out, I firmly believe they're in. The caveat is that is a really big IF.
Posted by whitetiger1234
They/Them
Member since Oct 2016
6754 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:57 am to
We will not win the next two games
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
85382 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 11:57 am to
We can enjoy the Taxslayer bowl.
Posted by JimTiger72
LA
Member since Jun 2023
21190 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:02 pm to
ESPN CFP prediction says 73% chance if we win out

However it also shows UNM & Boise both getting in so I don’t think it’s completely accurate
Posted by WaterLink
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2015
21295 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

Ole Miss needs to win out to keep that a good loss.


I would think we would want less 3 loss teams to compete against as possible. Particularly ones that have head to head over us.

Bama only has 2 losses and their remaining games are Vandy, Chattanooga, and Auburn. They aren't losing 2 of these games so we want them to win out

Kentucky has 2 losses. They have Florida, Mizzou, and Louisville left. I think we want them to lose 2 of those and I think it's possible

Ole Miss has 3 losses. They have Oklahoma, Wofford, and MSU left. The only one I see them possibly losing is the road game at OU. The Egg Bowl is in Oxford and MSU looks awful without Kamario.

If we win out, then Texas and Tennessee will be 3 loss teams that we have head to head over (unless A&M upsets one or both of them). It'd be better for us if Ole Miss and Kentucky weren't also part of this mix. South Carolina also has 3 losses but I have a hard time seeing them beat UGA. If it comes down to just us, Tennessee, and Texas, us having head to head over both of them I think would be a big factor. But if Kentucky and Ole Miss are also included, Texas has a win over Ole Miss and Tennessee has a win over Kentucky so then it becomes a lot more muddied.
Posted by LSUtoBOOT
Member since Aug 2012
22106 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

This is something to talk about if we win the next 2 games

Then we go to Arkansas and their QB runs for 100 and throws for 300, playing great like Rohan Davey did to them in Tiger Stadium in 1999 when we had no chance of winning.
Posted by AkronTiger
2025 NFL Survivor Champion
Member since May 2021
3706 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:16 pm to
They're going to pick 4-5 SEC teams. Very possible that if we win out the spots go to Georgia, Alabama, Texas, LSU. Root for Kentucky to drop another.
Posted by alajones
Huntsvegas
Member since Oct 2005
36188 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:20 pm to
A three loss UT and another three loss UT doesn’t get in over a three loss LSU who has wins over both. It’s that simple.


Do I think LSU will do it? No. I think they beat Texas and then lose at Knoxville.
Posted by pgaddxn
between here and there
Member since Jul 2008
4953 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:24 pm to
Personally I think we’d have to blow out the rest of the schedule. I don’t think that is a real possibility though. Even if we win I think at least one will be a nail biter.
Knowing us we could even lose to Arky.

Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
21894 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:25 pm to
Team quit.

Football season over.

Time to move on. Our unlimited $ and vastly overpriced coaches failed.

Come back in 2028. Takes years to figure it out.

Posted by HarryHoudini
Member since Oct 2025
2143 posts
Posted on 11/11/26 at 12:26 pm to
This team doesn’t deserve to be in the CFP.
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 2Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

Facebook•X•Instagram