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"Did we really beat them that bad?" Net Success Rates Week 2

Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:19 am
Posted by VCeagle2013
Member since Apr 2013
339 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:19 am


The offense had a terrible first half with lots of mistakes/teachable moments.

But have to say im surprised we're this high up the chart. Kudos to this awesome staff and the Defense.
This post was edited on 9/14/26 at 11:23 am
Posted by Buga_Scores
Member since Jul 2014
1926 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:20 am to
Like the chart
Posted by dmatt2021
South LA
Member since Aug 2021
1851 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:20 am to
Well they had zero net yards at Halftime that prolly helped
Posted by Demonbengal
Ruston
Member since May 2015
6234 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:25 am to
Last TD helped a lot. Most coaches would have gone out of their way not to score. I’d rather do what we did and let our backups run the offense.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
26947 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:27 am to
I’m surprised Ole Miss is right there beside us. Didn’t watch them play Charlotte but the stats in their game looked much more even than ours with Tech
Posted by lowhound
Effie
Member since Aug 2014
11530 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:33 am to
And most people around the water cooler today and on the Rant will say....



The defense was absolutely legit. I think Leavitt was pressing and not always taking what the defense was giving him. I also think the LT scheme was tough on our OLine, but it was a one-off, as we won't see that scheme anymore this season. Lots of teaching film from that game, but we still dominated.
Posted by Capo
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2013
1128 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:36 am to
Doesn’t Moo State run the same defense?
Posted by NC_Tigah
Spiced groves of ceaseless verdure
Member since Sep 2003
142293 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:37 am to
Net Success Rate is an odd measure in that it ignores turnovers, special teams, explosives, and penalties. It measures a team’s offensive success rate (see below) minus the opponent’s offensive success rate (i.e., how efficient a team was on offense minus how efficient the opponent was against the team's defense.)

A play counts as successful if:
1st down: gain at least 50% of the yards needed for a first down
2nd down: gain at least 70% of the yards needed for a first down
3rd or 4th down: gain results in a first down conversion.
This post was edited on 9/14/26 at 11:43 am
Posted by WaterLink
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2015
21286 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:40 am to
quote:

Well they had zero net yards at Halftime that prolly helped


It goes play by play. A first down play is considered successful if 50% of remaining yards are gained. That's usually 1st and 10 so 5+ yards is successful for most 1st downs. Then 2nd down is successful if 70% of the remaining yards are gained. So 2nd and 10 needs 7 yards to be successful, 2nd and 1 you pretty much need to convert, not sure if they measure by fractions of yards, I'm assuming not. Then 3rd and 4th down requires conversions to be successful.

Worth noting that if it's 1st and 10 and you score a 50 yard TD, or just simply gain 5 yards, either outcome has the same effect, it's simply considered a successful play added to the tally. So you can see disparities between the score and this stat if a team's scoring came primarily between a few big plays or turnovers. A team on defense can have 10 unsuccessful plays in a drive but get 1 successful play that happens to be a pick 6. The aggregate stat is going to show the team that got the pick 6 got dominated on the drive even though they ultimately were the ones that got a TD.
Posted by dmatt2021
South LA
Member since Aug 2021
1851 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:53 am to
They had zero successful plays the first half like zero first downs
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
100536 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:54 am to
Old Misses eye to eye with us
Posted by Papa Tigah
TIGER ISLAND, LA
Member since Sep 2007
20921 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 11:58 am to
Posted by Buga
Member since Dec 2013
1742 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

had zero net yards at Halftime


This should be a bigger story, regardless of the opponent. I don't think I've ever seen that before.
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
68401 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 12:32 pm to
At one pt la tech had run 42 plays and had 30 yards of offense.
Posted by CoatesHall
Member since Dec 2025
355 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 12:33 pm to
LSU played great except for the turnovers, that can be fixed. The 10 penalties for 100+ yards against LSU vs. only 5 penalties for 50 yards called against La. Tech is the thing to be concerned about. This was an SEC referee crew.
Posted by IM_4_LSU
McKinney, TX
Member since Mar 2014
15574 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 12:44 pm to
The defense looks legit, lets see how they play against the best QB in the SEC and arguably in the Country.
Posted by pgaddxn
between here and there
Member since Jul 2008
4869 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 12:54 pm to
If our defense performs the same, will everyone say yes we are legit or ole miss was overhyped?
This post was edited on 9/14/26 at 12:55 pm
Posted by texastigerr
Texas
Member since Jan 2005
9564 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 12:57 pm to
Heck who knows if Ole Miss even practiced to prepare for them. Probably spending 2 weeks on our game. We should send in dogs to sniff listening devices in the locker room. Or send a detection team in and sweep the place for bugs.
Posted by IM_4_LSU
McKinney, TX
Member since Mar 2014
15574 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

If our defense performs the same


Okay this is a bit of a loaded question. If LSU hold Ole Miss in a half to zero first downs then yes I think the world calls LSU's defense legit. However, I would not expect the defense to perform exactly how it did the first two weeks. Thats unheard of. Now I do expect LSU's defense to create a lot of issues for Ole Miss. Ole Miss scores less than 20 points and the hype about the defense is real. If it scores over 20 points then depending on the amount of plays the defense plays and how our offense looks depends on if they are still seen as ELITE. If LSU holds them to 24 points but is on the field for 90+ plays and gets little help from the offense then the defense can still be seen as elite. But there are far too many variables to make any concrete answers.

Like I said I want to see how they perform against Chambliss and Ole Miss. If Ole Miss is not able to run the ball similar to the first two opponents then our defense is in good shape to be a top unit in the Country. You're going to give up plays in the passing game but as long as they're not chunk plays or busted coverages you can live with giving up some plays.
Posted by Laman1978
Earth
Member since Jan 2009
12310 posts
Posted on 9/14/26 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Doesn’t Moo State run the same defense?
Yes. That's setting up to be a trap game, if we don't watch ourselves. Mississippi State looks at least very decent this season.
This post was edited on 9/14/26 at 1:58 pm
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