re: Analyzing The Dip in Batting Average in SEC Play

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I'm not a batting average guy but this gives you an idea of a bat-to-ball profile. These guys have dipped off noticeably.

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Then why concern yourself with batting averages? What you want to look at iruns scored. That’s what pays off.

A&M 26 runs scored road
Ark 29
Tenn 28
SC 13 (just 2 games) road
Ky 33
Miss 22 road
Bama 33
Aub 11 road

We had a poor weekend. It’s not complicated. It’s nothing that’s trending other than we score more at home than on the road even though we get fewer at bats.

Road 6-1/2 runs per game
Home 10 plus runs/game

I’m a process oriented guy. That’s why.

Runs can be scored in a number of ways not always reflective of quality hitting.


Also if you score 33R vs Alabama and 11 vs Auburn, you are still sitting pretty nice if you say you scored 44 runs in 6 games. The compiled run total is great but a few crooked number games can weigh it up or down

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- Finally, crunching some numbers, if you remove Crews and Tommy White from the statistics in SEC play, LSU, as a team, hits .243.

League average in the SEC is .265

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why don't you remove the top 2 hitters from every lineup and then run the SEC averages

Let's be honest, we need Crews to be above average. He's 2 for his last 14. He's not even getting on base much. We don't need Crews to hit .500. We need him to get on base, hit .333 when he gets a chance, not leave too many guys on base.

Tre has been fine.

You don’t dip this much from one bad weekend. You are too caught up on me removing the two best players. It’s open to interpretation but to flat out dismiss that there has been a decline is ignorant

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but to flat out dismiss that there has been a decline is ignorant

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Can you do these numbers for the entire SEC? I’m gonna go out on a limb and guess every team has had a significant decline on offense because, you know, they’re playing better teams

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Every team he had had grinders like Fontenot and Theriot.

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What do you think Thompson and Morgan are?

And Fontenot wasn’t a “grinder” in college. He was a power bat and hit home runs. He struck out A LOT, which was a running theme for Skip’s teams.

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The 1991 and 1993 teams were nothing but grinders before gorilla ball.

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Hate to break it to you, but Jay built this team and structures his offense a lot like Bertman did. What you want is Mainieri’s coaching and style of play with Johnson’s roster. No thanks

This thread has been great fun to follow. Thank you all.

Alot of that is natural regression. Im optimistic that we’ve won as much as we have with the offense dipping. If there is one thing im not worried about, its the offense

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The offense is fine in vacuum. But there isbt room for regression with the pitching & defense how it is.

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I would agree with that assessment if we assume there’s no room for improvement in those areas. LSU’s fundamentals on the pitching side in conference suggest they’ve been somewhat unlucky in terms of ERA. They are 5th in BA allowed, 6th in BB/9, 2nd in HR/9, and 1st in K/9. That should translate to better than 7th in ERA. Their WHIP and HRs allowed are almost identical to Kentucky (with better K/9) who is 2nd in conference play at 4.77 in ERA (vs 6.06 for LSU). Arkansas is 4th at 4.98 with a very slightly better WHIP, but fewer Ks and 42 HR allowed to only 24 for LSU. SC is at 5.37 with a little better WHIP but 38 HR allowed. There appears to be a lot of room for positive regression in runs allowed. And that’s before factoring in potential improvement from Hurd and Floyd and more innings for Money (currently at 4.26 in conference play).