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4th and 2 on our 32

Posted on 10/24/26 at 7:30 pm
Posted by pkf4lsu
League City, Texas
Member since Jan 2005
5355 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 7:30 pm
Lane says BALLGAME
Posted by 4thand20
Member since Nov 2018
391 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 7:31 pm to
Got his balls back
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52652 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 7:36 pm to
Awesome play call
Posted by TopWaterTiger
Lake Charles, LA
Member since May 2006
12702 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 7:39 pm to
If he’d only done it at KY
Posted by pkf4lsu
League City, Texas
Member since Jan 2005
5355 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 8:05 pm to
But he didn’t. Move on
Posted by Bayou
Boudin, LA
Member since Feb 2005
44101 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 8:12 pm to
I still think punt was the right call that deep in your territory. No, it didn't work out but it was the right decision.
The Defense is what let us down not Lane.
Posted by armytiger96
Member since Sep 2007
3352 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 8:49 pm to
quote:

I still think punt was the right call that deep in your territory.


Well AI disagrees with you from a strict analytics POV:

quote:

By strict win-probability models, going for it was the mathematically superior choice, but Kiffin operated on a highly specific, risk-mitigation framework.



I disagree with you as well. Historically, 4th and 1 conversion rate is 65%. Control your destiny versus giving your opponent the opportunity to defy the odds. If you can't convert 4th and 1 when the game is on the line then you deserve to lose.

Do you think Kentucky made the wrong call going for two at the end of the first overtime? Pretty similar call.
Posted by Gonadballbarian
Member since Dec 2017
2008 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 9:16 pm to
You have to have some serious confidence in your play to call that where he did
Posted by cmjellybean
Member since Mar 2024
179 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 9:19 pm to
Big risk but worked out.
Posted by IntenseKid
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2014
3515 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 9:19 pm to
I think he definitely got something back. I think that Kentucky decision may have helped us for the rest of the year.
Posted by IntenseKid
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2014
3515 posts
Posted on 10/24/26 at 9:19 pm to
Great play call.
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