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Recruits trending towards LSU

Posted on 4/5/23 at 12:44 pm
Posted by Captain Crown
Member since Jun 2011
53595 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 12:44 pm
Posted by HC87
Coastal NC
Member since Dec 2014
5188 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 1:30 pm to
Put them in the books!

Posted by purplepanther
Member since Sep 2021
550 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 1:33 pm to
A d-line consisting of McKinley, Collins, & Simmons would be crazy
Posted by 304tiger
West Virginia
Member since Jan 2022
1367 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 1:35 pm to
If there’s such thing as a “must have”, McKinley is it.
Posted by luvdatigahs
Alameda, CA
Member since Sep 2008
3069 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 1:52 pm to
Crazy that we are trending for these dl commits without a coach
Posted by WhoDatNC
NC
Member since Dec 2013
13463 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 2:11 pm to
That's what happens when you can trust the head coach and his hiring of appropriate people.
Posted by dwright369
Member since Aug 2020
1357 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 2:41 pm to
Don’t forget about Ahmad Breaux & CJ Jackson!
Posted by J2thaROC
Member since May 2018
14365 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 3:28 pm to
That would be a nasty defensive haul.
Posted by lsufanva
sandston virginia
Member since Aug 2009
13109 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 3:29 pm to
If you guys knew how this "trending" concept worked you wouldn't give this shite a 2nd thought.
First and most important, the kids have access to their profiles. That alone discounts all of it. Trolling activated.
Yet let's continue
Social media page visits and likes(meaningless)
Visits(only confirmed so that's a plus but does include scheduled visits that haven't taken place)
Info from access granted to team affiliated "journalists"(no way that could mislead)
Then we finally get to rpm picks which also are a bit misleading.

Of the 5 kids on that list what has changed to cause this article?
McKinley-nothing
Green-nothing
Mack-nothing
Singleton-moved visits including LSU where he hasn't been in months yet we are trending suddenly
Collins-the only one that had any significant intel presented to possibly signify "trending".

It's a horseshite made up article for clicks and clicks alone. Similar to those useless "1st time in history" stats that some computer spit out to give announcers something "newsworthy" to discuss during games.

Not saying we don't lead for all 5 as I believe we do. Just saying this article lends nothing of value that wasn't already known. Regurgitation and speculation based on an algorithm that we all KNOW can be trusted and is without manipulation
Posted by Sissidog02
Member since Jan 2020
6189 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 4:09 pm to
Captain My Man Gotz to get ‘em all
Posted by Gus Tinsley
NW LA.
Member since May 2008
3370 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 5:26 pm to
quote:

If you guys knew how this "trending" concept worked you wouldn't give this shite a 2nd thought.


Like you are an authority?


quote:

Not saying we don't lead for all 5 as I believe we do. Just saying this article lends nothing of value that wasn't already known. Regurgitation and speculation based on an algorithm that we all KNOW can be trusted and is without manipulation



"algorithm"---Did you go to Websters or Rogets Thesaurus to find this word??



Posted by Luggahead
Member since Nov 2020
1201 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 5:35 pm to
Man I hope we get Singleton. I think he is going to end up being very good at LB.
Posted by Byrdybyrd05
Member since Nov 2014
26061 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 5:57 pm to
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
31305 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 6:54 pm to
Mckinley
Mack
Singleton

Reload on louisiananimals.

I just don't think lsu gets simmons in the long run
Posted by mikeytig
NE of Tiger Stadium
Member since Nov 2007
7525 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 7:46 pm to
I guess that is a percentage of certainty you see on the far right of the illustration -where do these percentages come from?
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
31305 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 8:46 pm to
Pretty sure those are the cb percentages.
Posted by NPComb
Member since Jan 2019
27772 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 11:23 pm to
Posted by PgRbtiger
Member since Aug 2021
171 posts
Posted on 4/5/23 at 11:59 pm to
Not certain about the other kids but i can almost 100% guarantee you that singleton is and will be a tiger
Posted by LifeAquatic
Member since Dec 2019
1975 posts
Posted on 4/6/23 at 8:53 am to
It seems like things are really starting to come together with regards to our higher-end targets this cycle.



Currently, if you go to the 247 class calculator and add every recruit in the On3 top 300 that On3 pegs as >80% to LSU, you wind up with a class score of 279, which even if you lock every guy's rating in stone would've ranked 9th in the country last cycle. If you add Colin Simmons to that, you wind up at 288 (identical to our score last year). After you factor in the overall rise in grades that inevitably occurs during these guys' senior years, you're basically looking at a top-5 class without Colin Simmons and a top-3 class with Simmons.


As long as we can land at least 3 high-end IDL as part of this class, I think we're in fantastic shape.
Posted by LifeAquatic
Member since Dec 2019
1975 posts
Posted on 4/6/23 at 9:12 am to
quote:

where do these percentages come from?



quote:

Pretty sure those are the cb percentages.




Actually On3's percentages are more complicated than that. Predictions from their insiders certainly factor heavily into those numbers, but they try to consider all possible information. So that number is weighing things like predictions, number of times the guy has been on campus, how recently he's been on campus, geography (especially in-state vs out-of-state but also raw distance in miles), offers, etc. I think it may even incorporate some aspect of a web-scraping tool to gauge how much the guy is being mentioned in relation to each school.



I'm pretty sure it is AI-based, so basically it's going to try to identify every variable that could have a correlation with the eventual choice and then weight them according to their predictive strength. I'm pretty sure that insider predictions are the most heavily-weighted factor, though. Dominick McKinley's forecast is illustrative, here. Texas was initially the leader, then on February 15--right after McKinley was offered by LSU--LSU jumped into the lead at 28% versus Texas's 24%. Then on March 8th Spiegs put in a prediction for LSU and LSU jumped from 28% to 94%. Since then, LSU has dropped very slightly to 93%, likely just given that he hasn't been back to campus during that span.



EDIT: I just realized after poking around that On3 actually lists the factors that go into its forecasts - Insider predictions, visits, fan site insiders, "industry leaders" (not sure what that means), social sentiment, media sentiment, geographic data, coaching staff success, and state and high school historical data. I'd assume that this last factor would mean, for example, that geography would be more predictive for LSU than for a school like Ohio State

This post was edited on 4/6/23 at 9:16 am
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