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Updated Nevada Numbers

Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:54 pm
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
14412 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:54 pm
Posted by Dandy Chiggins
Member since Jan 2021
681 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:55 pm to
So, if Im reading right, above is the in-person numbers, meaning a net 4K R increase to 44K R.
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
7638 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:56 pm to
Explain this to me like I'm Anne Selzer
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13877 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:56 pm to
So it's likely that GOP will pick up ~15K votes today with in person mail, so that leaves a 55K vote buffer to withstand the last few days of mail in ballots trickling in.
Posted by OBReb6
Memphissippi
Member since Jul 2010
41553 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:56 pm to
Si senor
Posted by 225bred
COYS
Member since Jun 2011
20753 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:56 pm to
Rural counties are cancelling out Clark county
Posted by adamau
Member since Oct 2020
4146 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:56 pm to
Here's the link to the full county by county Doc. Looks very good thus far.

Nevada Party Reg Voters Updates
Posted by TigerDoug
Lees Summit
Member since Mar 2017
733 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

Explain this to me like I'm Anne Selzer



Hey Anne...

D = Democrat
R = Republican
Posted by brdogman48
Member since Oct 2024
323 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:57 pm to
I was in Vegas last month and it’s Trump there

They also hate the raiders being there
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 1:02 pm
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
172080 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:57 pm to
HUGE, BROTHER

Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
54653 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:58 pm to
So ell_13 was FOS
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
1253 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:58 pm to
Incorrect, that’s the lead going into today so even if independents break 2-1 in in person voting that’s only a net gain of about 1k votes for Democrats but that’s assuming Republican Karen’s aren’t making an abortion of our chances
Posted by Audioman213
Member since Dec 2012
1177 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:58 pm to
LV local here, tons of liberals of course from California but I've never seen more support for Trump in any election ever.
Posted by PrayingMantis
Member since Jul 2013
1255 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:59 pm to
In reality Nevada doesn’t matter unless we lose the all the rust belt. Then you lose 268-270 then Trump sues because Florida is supposed to be worth 2 more electoral votes. That is a scenario that will cause riots either way
Posted by aujerm
North ATL burbs
Member since Oct 2016
1011 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:00 pm to
I have concern OTH will go 90/10 for Harris. I’m sure it’s full of illegals and harvested ballots.
Posted by FreddieMac
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2010
24535 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:01 pm to
Just means that Pubs had a firewall of 40+ at the beginning of the day. So far the gap has closed by the pubs still have a 4k lead?
Posted by DallasTiger11
Los Angeles
Member since Mar 2004
12933 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

In reality Nevada doesn’t matter unless we lose the all the rust belt.

It all matters when it comes to running up the score and entering on a mandate. We want every swing state and the popular vote.
Posted by DallasTiger11
Los Angeles
Member since Mar 2004
12933 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:02 pm to
Didn’t Ralston predict a Dem outperformance today and go with the cannibalization narrative? Or does he think they will outperform with Indies?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89808 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

So far the gap has closed by the pubs still have a 4k lead?


The gap has widened.
Posted by Olric
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2015
2041 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:04 pm to
My back of the napkin calc seems to show Harris needs to win others by a 60-40 split
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