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Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:52 pm to Jake88
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:53 pm to Tesla
Thanks
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:54 pm to Tesla
quote:
Trump lead tops 1,310,000
FYI - I think the lead is 1.1 million when looking at all votes.
4.2 Reg Red vs 3.1 Reg Blue
Perhaps there is a graphic I'm missing though.
Either way, it's a huge lead and a great sign for Trump.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:54 pm to Jake88
Crazy number, isn’t it?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:54 pm to Tesla
Why is it comparing to 2016 turnout and not 2020? Just curious.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:55 pm to Epaminondas
Except their county is one of like 3 that is blue. Forget those Gators.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:56 pm to Tesla
can we borrow some of those votes and sprinkle in WI, Mi and PA???
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:56 pm to PaperTiger
quote:
Why is it comparing to 2016 turnout and not 2020? Just curious.
I wondered the same.. perhaps because of Covid and how weird that election was compared to normal voting habits.. ie so many mail in ballots
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:56 pm to Tesla
My county election supervisor here in Florida just said on local radio that 50% of the registered voters had voted early.
Total voter turnout (election day and early) for the 2016 election was 68%.
Total voter turnout (election day and early) for the 2016 election was 68%.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:56 pm to Jake88
quote:l
They haven't counted votes, only ballots. And if Florida had 11 million votes submitted in 2020, how do they already have almost 10 million accounted for? What percentage of the electorate voted early this time?
Florida is a majority early voting state. Roughly 60+% of ballots will have been from early voting
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 12:57 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:57 pm to BigBro
That would make sense. Thanks.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:58 pm to The Boat
Is there an official Florida secretary of state site that updates that info. I can't find it.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:01 pm to Jake88
Link in the OP. You have to change the data on the right side of the page
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:05 pm to Tesla
Why does that site use such an R heavy split estimate?
Split estimate
Democrats: 127795 (37.50%)
Republicans: 212970 (62.50%)
While 2016 was:
2016 overall split: 50.78%D - 49.22%R, gap 1.56%
For now, I'm ignoring the Unaffiliated, and just looking at R-D, which has R UP by 1.1M.
Split estimate
Democrats: 127795 (37.50%)
Republicans: 212970 (62.50%)
While 2016 was:
2016 overall split: 50.78%D - 49.22%R, gap 1.56%
For now, I'm ignoring the Unaffiliated, and just looking at R-D, which has R UP by 1.1M.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:17 pm to The Boat
Is this thing going to hit 2,000,000?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:45 pm to Fat Bastard
quote:
can we borrow some of those votes and sprinkle in WI, Mi and PA???
I’d gladly lend PA a million or so.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:55 pm to Tesla
most impressive is the advantage map.. click the option on the bottom right..
Trump has an advantage is EVERY SINGLE COUNTY when comparing 2016 to 2024. That is impressive. That is a great sign.
Trump has an advantage is EVERY SINGLE COUNTY when comparing 2016 to 2024. That is impressive. That is a great sign.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 4:07 pm to BigBro
So... just checking back in on Florida — the "Election Day Advantage" that @DataRepublican was speculating had it as ~20% amazing and ~15% close.
As we pass 5:00 pm ET, it looks like we're sitting at 17.57%.
Most here have surmised that evening hours will surge back R, so can we take from this that we might actually approach his "amazing" 20% threshold at this point?
As we pass 5:00 pm ET, it looks like we're sitting at 17.57%.
Most here have surmised that evening hours will surge back R, so can we take from this that we might actually approach his "amazing" 20% threshold at this point?
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