- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Coaching Changes
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
0
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:15 am to Roberteaux
quote:Florida releases real-time balloting data (not results) based on voter party identification. You can follow in real time the ballots coming in for election day.
So this is actual election-day results?
In total (mail, early vote, and ED vote) Rs lead Ds by 1.07 million ballots cast.
For election day only, Rs lead Ds by 516k to 283k ballots cast.
Ultimately Trump will win Florida, but the election day only results are important because they may portend how much early voting has eaten into the typical R election day advantage across the country. Currently looks good for Rs based on Florida figures, but that lead is narrowing somewhat as of late.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:16 am to Granola
quote:
Florida is turning out to be the most MAGA state in the union
What they’ve done is outstanding.
But OK has had every county vote red in every POTUS election since 2000 (04 and up). Every county, 100% red. 5 elections in a row. Thats the benchmark for a totally red state
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:16 am to TideCPA
Total vote in Duval Co is up to R+2.9 and Georgia always votes to the right of Duval Co. Great sign for Trump in Georgia.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:19 am to HoopyD
Against a gay meth-head, no less.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:21 am to TideCPA
Ds are starting to keep pace with Rs now in election day ballot returns. Election day R-D lead down to 20.3% and shrinking with each update. Current split is great but the trend isn't.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:22 am to TideCPA
I think we'll see an R bump at lunchtime and after 5 pm. Rs are working now after voting before work.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:22 am to TideCPA
quote:
Ds are starting to keep pace with Rs now in election day ballot returns. Election day R-D lead down to 20.3% and shrinking with each update. Current split is great but the trend isn't.
Yeah this celebration seems premature.. Yes he's going to win Florida no problem. But the data coming from Florida is showing election day voting where Dems are chipping into the Republican lead, which would be a pretty bad indicator nationwide.
Unless i'm reading all of this wrong -- which is very possible
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:24 am to jmcwhrter
quote:
But the data coming from Florida is showing election day voting where Dems are chipping into the Republican lead, which would be a pretty bad indicator nationwide.
Rs are still up 20% on the election day vote in Florida. That's after dominating the early vote. The GOP lead in Florida has only gotten bigger today.
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 11:25 am
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:24 am to Granola
quote:
Florida is turning out to be the most MAGA state in the union
It always was. This is what happens when you eliminate fraud.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:25 am to jmcwhrter
Ds are chipping into the election day only lead according to this site we are tracking; it is still a substantial net gain for Rs. And it could be greater than 20.x% when you factor in independents really
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:26 am to jmcwhrter
quote:
Yeah this celebration seems premature.. Yes he's going to win Florida no problem. But the data coming from Florida is showing election day voting where Dems are chipping into the Republican lead, which would be a pretty bad indicator nationwide.
Unless i'm reading all of this wrong -- which is very possible
No, you've summed it up. There's an account that's dug pretty deep into this and basically come to the conclusion that if the R/D election day ballot share in Florida ends +20%, Trump should feel very comfortable. If it's closer to 15%, we're in for a tight one, and if it's closer to 10% it's a bad sign for the rest of the states.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:34 am to TideCPA
Down to 20.07%. Not going to be a huge election day gap at the rate things are going the last hour or two.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:39 am to TideCPA
quote:
There's an account that's dug pretty deep into this and basically come to the conclusion that if the R/D election day ballot share in Florida ends +20%, Trump should feel very comfortable
Interesting.
At what point in the day is this within a significant margin of error? Or would if be like the actual votes, in that you'd have to see what geographical regions actually remain before making that determination?
In other words, at what time today could we use this data to make that actual prediction, according to their model?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:40 am to TideCPA
Dems are finally waking up to vote.. expect another Trump bump after 5.
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 11:41 am
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:42 am to paperwasp
quote:I have no idea; I can't seem to find the expected ED vote (or even historical).
At what point in the day is this within a significant margin of error? Or would if be like the actual votes, in that you'd have to see what geographical regions actually remain before making that determination?
But currently Ds have woken up and shrunk the gap to 19.91%
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:42 am to TideCPA
Ladies please! Trump won Florida 51-48 in 2020. That's the shift you look at, not 2022.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:44 am to TideCPA
quote:
TideCPA
how stupid do you feel now?
after trumps huge rallies last night
remember you ran your mouth saying teh rallies were small?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:45 am to TideCPA
I’m confused by the numbers on that site.
The day of voting percentage declines while the total vote percentage rises along with the spread between R and D.
The day of voting percentage declines while the total vote percentage rises along with the spread between R and D.
Page 2 of 5
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News