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re: Florida still holding at 18.09% with a lot of deep red panhandle still to come

Posted on 11/5/24 at 4:49 pm to
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
20949 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 4:49 pm to
quote:

if you click all votes including the early the leads only 10


The analyst at First Trust said anything over 6 is a great sign.
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
20949 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 4:50 pm to
quote:

It's not 5pm in the panhandle.


That dude is a big concern troll.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
32054 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

We are 17.5. Halfway between landslide and fair.


Unfortunately, it continues to trend downward. With only 1 hour left of voting in the eastern time zone it seems unlikely the number gets to 15% by that time. That's good. However, it also seems unlikely the number will hit the 20% mark either.

If the number drops to, say, around 16.5% by 7:00 pm (ET), then it SHOULD rise in the next hour after that because it will be all panhandle votes. So while the hope was for 20% It looks like 17.5% MAYBE 18% would be the best case scenario with 15% (though not likely) still being possible.

EDT: Just now it looks like the number looks like it may be starting to tick "up" a little for the first time in hours. TBD!
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 5:03 pm
Posted by Golgi Apparatus
Member since Sep 2009
3012 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:03 pm to
17.23 now. Let’s see if this blue collar getting off work vote materializes. Will be a good sign of what the country is gonna do if Florida can bring it back up to 18
Posted by gatorrocks
Lake Mary, FL
Member since Oct 2007
13989 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:04 pm to
Again. Watch the counties that went blue in 2020 (Duval, Hillsborough and Miami-Dade)

Those go red, it's a good sign.
Posted by reggierayreb
Member since Nov 2012
17962 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:06 pm to
Florida is a prime example of why gubernatorial elections matter a great deal. No way is that state as red as it is now without a sitting Republican Governor that past two terms.
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
7202 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

Florida is a prime example of why gubernatorial elections matter a great deal. No way is that state as red as it is now without a sitting Republican Governor that past two terms.


This is exactly why it's critical that we have Republican Governors in NV, NH and VA.
Posted by 1putt
Member since Sep 2024
737 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:51 pm to
16.49% right now.
Hope this datarepublican dude is wrong or that number comes up FAST. The polls are about to close.
Posted by G2160
houston
Member since May 2013
1873 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:58 pm to
quote:

The polls are about to close


The panhandle has an hour to go
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
32054 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:59 pm to
The panhandle SHOULD be very favorable for R’s and at least stop the bleeding.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
171663 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:00 pm to
Eastern time polls just closed. Time for the panhandle to do their job
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
171663 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:03 pm to
Osceola Co was D+7 all vote.. Currently only Harris +3 with 70% in, meaning Trump is winning Indys big
Posted by GRIZZ
PRAIRIEVILLE
Member since Nov 2009
5756 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:05 pm to
Fla was never in play. If not ever is, we’re fkd.
Posted by Summer of Jimbo
Amateur Statistician
Member since Oct 2022
2294 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Time for the panhandle to do their job


Posted by 1putt
Member since Sep 2024
737 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:41 pm to
Bump... down to 15.94. I hope they're still counting votes in the panhandle and/or this prediction is nonsense.
Posted by 1putt
Member since Sep 2024
737 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:44 pm to
I just looked... this is dropping below the 15 number and will end there from what I can tell.

Panhandle is almost done counting (80+ or highter in all) and the large blue counties are at about 75-80%

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