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Nate Silver: We've run our presidential forecast 38 times since yesterday morning!
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:36 pm
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:36 pm
26
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:37 pm to Seldom Seen
If you keep doing the same thing over and over again, and get the same results, isn't that called "insanity"?
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:37 pm to Seldom Seen
He will be on suicide watch Tuesday night.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:38 pm to Seldom Seen
People tank this guy but his model is only as good as his data. He may suck but his data is bad. I really can’t fault him if his data is faked.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:38 pm to Seldom Seen
This guy doesn’t get it
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:38 pm to Seldom Seen
I’ve run my forecast 1 million times since lunch.
At no point do Trump’s chances drop below 100%
There is no chance Biden wins.
At no point do Trump’s chances drop below 100%
There is no chance Biden wins.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:39 pm to Seldom Seen
Just like 2016 he will crawfish on his wrong predictions and refuse to admit he was wrong...
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:39 pm to DiamondDog
That’s on him to analyze it deeper. He wants it to be 90%.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:39 pm to Seldom Seen
I love his disclaimer that “Trump can win”
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:39 pm to Seldom Seen
So his model is consistent. Doesn’t make it accurate. Anyone can “model.”
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:40 pm to Quidam65
If you do the same thing over and over and expect a different outcome, that is mental illness
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:40 pm to Seldom Seen
Garbage in, garbage out!
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:41 pm to Seldom Seen
Human filth
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:41 pm to Quidam65
quote:
If you keep doing the same thing over and over again, and get the same results, isn't that called "insanity"?
I think It’s if you expect different results.
Otherwise why practice?
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:42 pm to Seldom Seen
Who gives a frick what someone who is perpetually wrong thinks?
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:42 pm to Hamma1122
quote:
This guy doesn’t get it
I think he does, I think he’s just like the media-he makes money off of telling liberals what they want to hear regardless of the truth!
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:42 pm to DiamondDog
quote:
People tank this guy but his model is only as good as his data. He may suck but his data is bad. I really can’t fault him if his data is faked.
You’re absolutely correct, but him being too stupid to realize his data is dog shite is absolutely his fault. A real data analyst understands variable data points and adjusts accordingly. Things like voter enthusiasm, political climate with cancel culture, etc. He’s not half the analyst he thinks he is or the media makes him out to be. He’s just a copy and paste loser.
This post was edited on 11/1/20 at 5:47 pm
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:43 pm to Seldom Seen
He’s either really, really confident in a model that was dead wrong just four years ago, or he’s trying to persuade people how pure and independent their methods are while KNOWING the result will not render what they’ve been selling.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:44 pm to Seldom Seen
If he's wrong he's going to cling to the fact that he is not a pollster and if the polls had been correct, he'd have been correct. Garbage in, garbage out.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 5:44 pm to Seldom Seen
sounds like global warming models shite data in and out...
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