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Miami-Dade Update
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:35 am
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:35 am
With 425,800 ballots already cast (43.4% of the 2016 vote total), Florida's largest county's vote total breaks down like this in terms of Party Registration:
Democrats: 196,953 (46.26%)
Republicans: 123,572 (29.02%)
Unaffiliated: 105,258 (24.7%)
That is a 17.24% lead for the Democrats. This is a county that Hillary Clinton carried by 29.6% back in 2016.... and yet it still wasn't enough for her to win the state of Florida.
Joe Biden simply cannot win Florida unless he wins Miami-Dade by at least 25%.... and that would mean he'd have to improve big time in the suburbs of Orlando, Tampa, and Jacksonville. Winning Miami-Dade by just 17% simply won't cut it no matter the gains Biden may have elsewhere.
Democrats: 196,953 (46.26%)
Republicans: 123,572 (29.02%)
Unaffiliated: 105,258 (24.7%)
That is a 17.24% lead for the Democrats. This is a county that Hillary Clinton carried by 29.6% back in 2016.... and yet it still wasn't enough for her to win the state of Florida.
Joe Biden simply cannot win Florida unless he wins Miami-Dade by at least 25%.... and that would mean he'd have to improve big time in the suburbs of Orlando, Tampa, and Jacksonville. Winning Miami-Dade by just 17% simply won't cut it no matter the gains Biden may have elsewhere.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:36 am to BHMKyle
He is not winning FL. The Cuban/Hispanic vot is going to be huge this go round
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:40 am to BHMKyle
quote:
That is a 17.24% lead for the Democrats. This is a county that Hillary Clinton carried by 29.6% back in 2016
I hope this is a reflection of the enthusiasm gap and it's carried nation wide.
And IMO Miami-Dade is more MAGA than conventional wisdom. The Cuban, Venezuelan and a lot of Porto Rician communities are MAGA AF.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:41 am to BHMKyle
How many of those registered democrats are Cubans voting for Trump?
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:42 am to 4Ghost
Here was the breakdown of voters in 2016 as well:
Dem: 1,379,247
Rep: 585,824
NPA: 372,401
Dem: 1,379,247
Rep: 585,824
NPA: 372,401
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:44 am to BHMKyle
quote:
that would mean he'd have to improve big time in the suburbs of Orlando
Northern suburb of Orlando checking in. Biden has nowhere near the enthusiasm Hillary had 2016. He's fricked.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:45 am to 4Ghost
quote:
He is not winning FL.
You mean Biden?
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:49 am to xGeauxLSUx
Yes, sorry. Biden is NOT winning FL.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:53 am to 4Ghost
quote:
The Cuban/Hispanic vot is going to be huge this go rou
It's almost as if they don't want communism.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:55 am to GumboPot
quote:
And IMO Miami-Dade is more MAGA than conventional wisdom. The Cuban, Venezuelan and a lot of Porto Rician communities are MAGA AF.
Cuban and Venezuelan, yes for sure. Puerto Rican's lean pretty heavy to the Dems.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:56 am to BOHICA
quote:
Northern suburb of Orlando checking in. Biden has nowhere near the enthusiasm Hillary had 2016. He's fricked.
Which county? Are you in Seminole?
Posted on 10/22/20 at 11:57 am to BHMKyle
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:09 pm to jatilen
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:28 pm to BHMKyle
How many of those 123k Republicans voted for Biden though? I can tell you damned near 0 of those Democrats voted for Trump.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:30 pm to TigerFanatic99
quote:
How many of those 123k Republicans voted for Biden though? I can tell you damned near 0 of those Democrats voted for Trump.
Not sure if serious.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:30 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
Joe Biden simply cannot win Florida unless he wins Miami-Dade by at least 25%.... and that would mean he'd have to improve big time in the suburbs of Orlando, Tampa, and Jacksonville
Trump will roll in Nassau/Duval/St. John's counties again. Jacksonville is the biggest city in America with a Republican mayor.
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 12:31 pm
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:31 pm to BHMKyle
Horrendous numbers for Biden in Florida right now.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:35 pm to TigerFanatic99
quote:Considering Trump won the primary with 93.8%, likely all of them.
How many of those 123k Republicans voted for Biden though?
quote:Considering Hispanic support of Trump appears higher this election, you more than likely are completely wrong.
I can tell you damned near 0 of those Democrats voted for Trump.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 12:38 pm to jatilen
Downtown Orlando, Tampa and, especially, St Pete are blue.
Keep an eye on crist's district. Made especially for him and deep blue but the challenger is putting up a good fight. If she wins, could be red sweep.
Keep an eye on crist's district. Made especially for him and deep blue but the challenger is putting up a good fight. If she wins, could be red sweep.
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