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What's up with Biden being up two in Ohio on Rasmussen

Posted on 10/21/20 at 10:57 am
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
116327 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 10:57 am
Rasmussen has been a bit negative on Trump for awhile, but Trump won Ohio BIG and if I recall correctly, was polling ahead of Hillary at this point on Rasmussen in 2016.

I still think Trump wins Ohio and wins the election, but Biden still being up 2 kind of raised my eyebrows a bit.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 10:58 am to
quote:

Rasmussen has been a bit negative on Trump for awhile, but Trump won Ohio BIG and if I recall correctly, was polling ahead of Hillary at this point on Rasmussen in 2016.

I still think Trump wins Ohio and wins the election, but Biden still being up 2 kind of raised my eyebrows a bit.



Here is an idea. Nobody knows how to count "shy" voters.

WHy not ignore that bullshite until after the election? The campaign is doing the polling it needs to be able to decide what it wants to do.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68435 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 10:58 am to
Noise. It is going to bounce around. Rassmussen can be wrong too. Wrong for Trump or against Trump.
Posted by AmishSamurai
Member since Feb 2020
2669 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:03 am to
People lie.

See Hiden and Son for example.
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34848 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:03 am to
Neither candidate has been spending time in Ohio. Ohio is easily going for Trump. Hillary campaigned there nonstop and still got crushed
Posted by HurricaneTiger
Coral Gables, FL
Member since Jan 2014
3028 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:04 am to
I think their national poll was the closest, but don’t know their accuracy on battleground states.

Trafalgar was the one that was most accurate in predicting winners of battleground states.
Posted by Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
6471 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:05 am to
Trump will win Ohio but he needs an early call if he's going to be re elected.

Remember, he won Ohio by almost 9 in 2016.

If he wins this year in the 2-5 point range it likely means he's toast in PA, MI and WI. And forget about MN.

If he is again in the 7 to 9 point range in Ohio it means he's in the fight everywhere else.
Posted by hessmersaint
Member since Mar 2009
533 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:08 am to
He’s only down 3 in their newly released national poll this morning, but down two in Ohio? These two things cannot be possible at the same time.
Posted by SSpaniel
Germantown
Member since Feb 2013
29658 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:08 am to
quote:

What's up with Biden being up two in Ohio on Rasmussen

It's just a harbinger of things to come. Biden will win this thing with well over 500 electoral votes.
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
34957 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:10 am to
Rasmussen is junk, best to tune them out
Posted by arcalades
USA
Member since Feb 2014
19276 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:21 am to
answer is the same today as it was yesterday, last week, and last month: polls are propaganda fiction.
Posted by EKG
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2010
44041 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:22 am to
Why do so many take these polls seriously?
Not unlike your stock portfolio, don’t even look at it.
This post was edited on 10/21/20 at 11:29 am
Posted by Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
6471 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:23 am to
quote:

He’s only down 3 in their newly released national poll this morning, but down two in Ohio? These two things cannot be possible at the same time.


This has been the issue all along.

They have a 9 pt swing to Trump in 2 weeks but the state numbers moving very little.

I mean is all this Trump movement in Oklahoma and Alabama.

It's ludicrous.
Posted by Mellow Drama
Flyover Country
Member since Aug 2020
3997 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:28 am to
quote:

I still think Trump wins Ohio and wins the election, but Biden still being up 2 kind of raised my eyebrows a bit.



Southern transplant to Ohio here.

In Suburbia it's a forest of yardsigns, and almost but not quite half are Biden. I hate to say it, but it's true.

My neighbor, a MAGA all the way, tells me in the exurbs / rural counties it's wall to wall Trump. But it's these burbs and metro areas that are close.

Look, ya'll, I want Trump to win. But my kids and I count yardsigns on the way to and from school and there's lots of Biden love to be had.




Such dumbassery, I don't know what's wrong with these people.
This post was edited on 10/21/20 at 11:29 am
Posted by Mellow Drama
Flyover Country
Member since Aug 2020
3997 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:31 am to
quote:

Neither candidate has been spending time in Ohio. Ohio is easily going for Trump. Hillary campaigned there nonstop and still got crushed


He made two stops here (that I know of) before he caught COVID but haven't seen him since.
Posted by dsides
Member since Jan 2013
5407 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:34 am to
quote:

he won Ohio by almost 9 in 2016.


To think he'd lose 11 points after all he accomplished in first term prior to the Chyna virus is pretty comical
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89632 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:35 am to
quote:

Hillary campaigned there nonstop and still got crushed


She should have been in Wisconsin which was winnable and razor close for her.
Posted by 93and99
Dayton , Oh / Allentown , Pa
Member since Dec 2018
14400 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:36 am to
Posted by dsides
Member since Jan 2013
5407 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:36 am to
quote:

Look, ya'll, I want Trump to win. But my kids and I count yardsigns on the way to and from school and there's lots of Biden love to be had.


60-70% of trump supporters are afraid to put up yard signs which is understandable considering the unhinged left. relax
Posted by xxTIMMYxx
Member since Aug 2019
17562 posts
Posted on 10/21/20 at 11:37 am to
quote:

Such dumbassery, I don't know what's wrong with these people.


Was it like that in 2016?
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