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CNN national poll: Biden +16
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:20 am
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:20 am
LINK
They have Biden winning women by 34 points. (Hillary won women by 13 points in 2016) Needless to say that is completely unrealistic. Obama won women by 13 in 2008 and by 11 in 2012.
I think what's happening is pollsters are having a hard time getting Trump-voting women to answer their polls.
Let's say you randomly call 100 women, and 55 are voting Biden and 45 are voting Trump. But only 10 of the Biden women agree to take the poll, and only 5 of the Trump women. You would wrongly conclude a 66%-32% women margin in favor of Biden.
They have Biden winning women by 34 points. (Hillary won women by 13 points in 2016) Needless to say that is completely unrealistic. Obama won women by 13 in 2008 and by 11 in 2012.
I think what's happening is pollsters are having a hard time getting Trump-voting women to answer their polls.
Let's say you randomly call 100 women, and 55 are voting Biden and 45 are voting Trump. But only 10 of the Biden women agree to take the poll, and only 5 of the Trump women. You would wrongly conclude a 66%-32% women margin in favor of Biden.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 8:24 am
38
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:21 am to RidiculousHype
bwaaa haa heh heh haa
a setup for their armed democrat antifa plans?
Someone needs to develop the plan to COMPLETELY go after election officials in all states that go along with these violent Democrat-Marxists.. you could start in Pennsylvania
a setup for their armed democrat antifa plans?
Someone needs to develop the plan to COMPLETELY go after election officials in all states that go along with these violent Democrat-Marxists.. you could start in Pennsylvania
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 8:24 am
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:21 am to RidiculousHype
Ha.
Their turnout modeling is going to be so wrong.
Their turnout modeling is going to be so wrong.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:22 am to RidiculousHype
quote:
CNN national poll: Biden +16
quote:
RidiculousHype
Checks out
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:22 am to RidiculousHype
quote:
They have Biden winning women by 34 points.
RidiculousHype
ETA: DAMMIT, Smeg
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 8:23 am
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:22 am to RidiculousHype
They are just trying to do their part into talking Republicans to stay home and not vote. Doom and gloom
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:22 am to RidiculousHype
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:23 am to RidiculousHype
I tried finding the breakdown of race/gender in that poll and I couldn't.
I did find it hilarious they managed to only poll 28% Republican though. How accurate.
I did find it hilarious they managed to only poll 28% Republican though. How accurate.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:24 am to RidiculousHype
Here's a CNN Poll from October 23, 2016
LINK
LINK
quote:
Hillary Clinton has a 12-point lead over Donald Trump and has reached 50% support nationally among likely voters, a new ABC News tracking poll shows.
The poll shows Clinton with 50% support to Trump's 38%, with 5% backing Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2% supporting the Green Party's Jill Stein.
quote:
The ABC News survey's results show Clinton with a 20-point advantage among women, and a 3-point edge with men -- a group that has tilted toward Trump for most of the 2016 race.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 8:26 am
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:25 am to RidiculousHype
What is happening is the news is setting the narrative. They will take this presidency away from trump. The deep state has lost billions of dollars and they will remove him from office after this election. They are trying to convince people that Trump is way behind so the lie will be more believable when they start counting fraudulent mail in ballots. This is all orchestrated chaos and they are taking the government over.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:25 am to JWeezy
quote:
They are just trying to do their part into talking Republicans to stay home and not vote. Doom and gloom
Who’s really convincing themselves that’s a successful strategy?
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:25 am to RidiculousHype
After that WSJ poll showing Biden up by 17 points and reading that only 800 possible voters were polled, I 
and said okay.
and said okay.Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:25 am to TigerCruise
Any pollster who passed basic math would know a 66-32 women margin is absurd.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:26 am to RidiculousHype
quote:
They have Biden winning women by 34 points. (Hillary won women by 13 points in 2016) Needless to say that is completely unrealistic. Obama won women by 13 in 2008 and by 11 in 2012.
How can they report “poles” like this with a straight face?
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:26 am to RidiculousHype
Election night will be interesting. I figure we will see exit polls which are fricky like the 2004 ones which showed Kerry winning big, including strong showings in states like Mississippi.
Hence the stations were eager to call Kerry wins all night and hesitated to call states W was winning in a rout.
Hence the stations were eager to call Kerry wins all night and hesitated to call states W was winning in a rout.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:28 am to fillmoregandt
quote:
How can they report “poles” like this with a straight face?
They know they're bullshite but they have to lay down some "evidence" so that when they steal a rigged election, they can say "rigged!? Joe was up by 34% in the polls! we didn't need to cheat!"
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:28 am to RidiculousHype
I don't know anyone voting for Biden
this seems really off...
but then again, turn on TV, turn on social media, you realize we have wackos in our country....many of them teachers
this seems really off...
but then again, turn on TV, turn on social media, you realize we have wackos in our country....many of them teachers
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:28 am to RidiculousHype
Lol when you are up 16 you don’t behave the way Biden is.
If he was up 16 he would be in Texas and GA and other republican strong holds trying to draw trump out of swing states.
If he was up 16 he would be in Texas and GA and other republican strong holds trying to draw trump out of swing states.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:30 am to RidiculousHype
quote:
RidiculousHype
Your example is a bit off but we’d need to sit down and talk polling and statistics.
There is definitely an under representation of Trump supporters in these polls. I’ve looked at the fine print on several and have one theory...
They underrepresent the rural vote and high turnout there.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:30 am to RidiculousHype
quote:
CNN national poll: Biden +16
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