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re: Here’s how I know Trump will win

Posted on 10/1/20 at 9:54 am to
Posted by BuzzSaw 12
The Dark Side Of The Moon
Member since Dec 2010
5321 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 9:54 am to
No I don't think fraud is the only reason they are blue but take New Jersey for example. Trump does very well with blue collar voters and in New Jersey those guys typically always vote democrat however that demographic isn't marching with the left they have in previous elections. A Trump election isn't as cut and dried as past elections. We learned that 4 years ago.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13112 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 9:57 am to
2016 was close (80K votes in 3 states) and 2020 will be close as well.

If i had to call it with no tossups, this is how I would think it shakes out today.

Posted by LSU2019
Encino
Member since Sep 2020
166 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 9:57 am to
quote:


I find this hard to believe
red hats just spent 6 months saying COVID mostly kills the elderly and they were gonna die soon anyway so thats their problem and the rest of us need to move on.

How exactly did you think that message was going go over with older voters? Were you under the impression it was gonna help?

Posted by UAinSOUTHAL
Mobile,AL
Member since Dec 2012
4843 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 9:57 am to
I can only give this is a little evidence of Latino support.

I went to my local Mexican restaurant. First thing you see in the window is a creepy Joe Biden sign. When you walk in there is a Trump stuff everywhere. This restaurant is run by legal Mexican immigrants and staff by nothing but Latinos. Latinos love Trump and what he is doing for this country.
Posted by stat19
Member since Feb 2011
29350 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 10:26 am to
quote:

If you only move Trumps support from blacks from 8% to 13% without changing anything else Trump has enough electoral votes to win.


That's all fine and dandy in a normal election. This election has boxes and boxes of "just found" ballots waiting to be counted after Nov 3.
Posted by Azkiger
Member since Nov 2016
21948 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 10:47 am to
quote:

Here’s how I know Trump will win


Wheres the fraudulent voting by mail slider bar?
Posted by Azkiger
Member since Nov 2016
21948 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 10:49 am to
quote:

red hats just spent 6 months saying COVID mostly kills the elderly and they were gonna die soon anyway so thats their problem and the rest of us need to move on.


That's the progressive spin on what people on the right said...
Posted by awestruck
Member since Jan 2015
11000 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 10:52 am to
quote:

Hispanics love Trump and we are coming in Nov

My prediction is Trump takes HI and NY

He will win Cali on election night but then the mail in starts
Dreamers for Trump huh?

Posted by 1BamaRTR
In Your Head Blvd
Member since Apr 2015
22588 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 10:55 am to
quote:

Dreamers for Trump huh?

He’s been parroting the Trump will win Cali since 2016. All based off of anecdotal experience.

If he thinks some posters on this site are leftists, your average NY and California voters are WAY more on the left.
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
12844 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:20 am to
quote:

That may be true, but if his percentage of a demographic goes up because more voters stay home, that doesn't necessarily help him. 15% of one million isn't better than 10% of two million.


It’s not true. The website takes into account in state demographics and it shows you what states will swing at the bottom when you adjust demographics.
This post was edited on 10/1/20 at 11:22 am
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
28505 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:25 am to
That adjustment bar for College educated White is messed up...

If you dont touch party breakdown, and move turn out from 31.1 to 31.2, it puts Trump over the top at 276 from 231. How is that possible if the party breakdown from that group is 54D vs 46R?

How does increased turnout for a group that Biden wins give trump 45 more votes?
Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
18562 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:27 am to
quote:

My prediction is Trump takes HI and NY

He will win Cali on election night


Bro if Trump wins those three, then Republicans stole the election.
Posted by ValDawgsta
Member since Jan 2020
1542 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:36 am to
quote:

Trump does very well with blue collar voters and in New Jersey those guys typically always vote democrat however that demographic isn't marching with the left they have in previous elections. A Trump election isn't as cut and dried as past elections. We learned that 4 years ago.


Biden will win New Jersey by 15%
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
31614 posts
Posted on 10/1/20 at 11:38 am to
quote:

There will be some fraud but massive fraud is detectable and therefore not going to be possible.


I hope you are right.
Posted by Dogwalk
Perkins, LA
Member since Jun 2016
1116 posts
Posted on 10/4/20 at 12:14 am to
Don’t need to speak with anyone from the islands, just listen to that idiot Hirono they keep voting into office tells me all I need to know.
Posted by lsu480
Downtown Scottsdale
Member since Oct 2007
92877 posts
Posted on 10/4/20 at 2:02 am to
If only white women weren’t so embarrassing...
Posted by stelly1025
Lafayette
Member since May 2012
8570 posts
Posted on 10/4/20 at 4:59 am to
Everyone keeps saying voter fraud and the Democrats will steal the election. I don't see it, sure they will have some funky stuff go down in a few Counties like they always do ,but they are not going to be able to steal it with the barrage on election day. Everyone would have to buy into mail in voting for that scheme to work and more than half of voters are not going to do that and I read close to 70% voting for Trump plan to go to the polls. I think it will be more though. It becomes a simple numbers game at that point and the more people vote at the polls the chance of pulling it off becomes very difficult. That is why Dems are doing a 180 on mail ballots asking people to show up at the polls. That being said if you know any who is voting for Trump that normally votes absentee try to encourage them to show up on election day if they can the more the better. I think it will be a blowout and there will be a clear winner election night. I also don't think Biden is gonna pull an Abrahams or a Gore. All the noise from Clinton and her cronies is just that noise.
This post was edited on 10/4/20 at 5:00 am
Posted by Bayoubred
Parts Unknown
Member since Jan 2011
3432 posts
Posted on 10/4/20 at 5:16 am to
HEY HEY HEY Bigfoot is realzzz!
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