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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:11 pm to
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
36842 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

12z Euro EPS is centered just SW of Houston. It only gets a few of the 50+ members into Louisiana.

Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164646 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:11 pm to
I was gonna tell up to hit up south padre schlitterbahn but absolute state of 2020
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
156258 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:13 pm to
China lied, schlitterbahn died
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
36842 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

that wasn't my point. if shreveport is in danger of losing power, then it's a bad option for me. might as well be in LC without power




That’s what I did for Rita. It sucked, especially back then when people hardly even texted. It’s crazy how fast the “fog of war” was lifted by smart phones.

No sense in driving Into the path
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85489 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

I’m having the conversation with my wife on if we should leave or not

South of Lafayette, north of HWY14, flood zone X (we aren’t even required to carry flood insurance)

I think we are more than fine. The stuff that we have to worry about is still something to worry about 100 miles north of us


If I’m west of 167 I’m prepping for perhaps a couple days or more without power.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425838 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:13 pm to
filled up the gf's car earlier. I'm about to go fill mine up. Walmart was getting new gas so i'm not worried about today...after tonight's news though...
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164646 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:14 pm to
don't even have to get out of the raft to get on the slides
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73729 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

Just have to nail down 100% where.


The only concern I would have with your track north would be that yoy are still in the path. If you head Austin or BR direction you are out of the path and can slip in behind the hurricane.

In Shreveport your 3 hour trip back is dependent on the weather clearing first.
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
8985 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:18 pm to
Posted by msutiger
Shreveport
Member since Jul 2008
69720 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:19 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/31/23 at 7:39 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425838 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:19 pm to
i'm curious what a realistic power outage timeline would look like. i'm not in SLC and this area didn't lose power during Ike
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167893 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

The only concern I would have with your track north would be that yoy are still in the path. If you head Austin or BR direction you are out of the path and can slip in behind the hurricane.


We are going to wait until tonight to make the decision after a few more updates.
Posted by lsut2005
Northshore
Member since Jul 2009
2623 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:20 pm to
We're not really going to know where the hell this thing is going until it reaches the gulf... correct?
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
9736 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:21 pm to
What time is the next update?
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
37634 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

If I’m west of 167 I’m prepping for perhaps a couple days or more without power.


We are prepped for that

Just off of 167 though
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85489 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

Did not see the shear ? Or relying on models completely. Marco was a bigger bust than Jamarcus Russel.


A few of the intensity models were bullish on Marco yesterday. The NHC is pretty slow to make massive changes to intensity forecasts, especially with a storm that is already a hurricane.

I get Most people just look at the cones and whatnot, but this was their discussion Saturday night:

quote:

Marco is a small tropical storm and will be susceptible to rapid changes in structure and intensity until it reaches the northern Gulf Coast. Such systems are often not very resilient in a high-shear environment, however even a brief relaxation of the shear could result in quick strengthening. It would not be surprising if Marco's intensity evolves in step-wise fashion consisting of periods of arrested development followed by fast strengthening if/when the shear relaxes. While the statistical models still show Marco becoming a hurricane within 24 h, the run-to-run consistency of the dynamical guidance remains poor. The latest HWRF, HMON and GFS forecasts show Marco weakening as it approaches the northern Gulf Coast, and this remains a distinct possibility if the shear remains consistently high. The NHC intensity forecast has not been changed substantially, in large part due to the low confidence of the forecast, and is consequently above all of the guidance at 36 and 48 h when Marco is forecast to be near the northern Gulf Coast. Additional adjustments to the forecast are likely on Sunday.


Pretty sure that is going to format like shite on desktop, but oh well.
Posted by Dr. Morgus
Member since Dec 2001
Member since Jul 2013
3740 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:21 pm to
4. Every three hours
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
156258 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

167


Ah, the ol’ Boudin Expressway
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85489 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

My generator, as do most good generators


Without reading the author I figured this was either an LSURussian or yellowfin post.
Posted by Slagathor
Makin' jokes about your teeny tiny
Member since Jul 2007
37969 posts
Posted on 8/24/20 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

the ol’ Boudin Expressway


don't say it

don't say it

don't say it
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