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re: Economic recovery expected to take years

Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:10 pm to
Posted by DownSouthCrawfish
Simcoe Strip - He/Him/Helicopter
Member since Oct 2011
36524 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:10 pm to
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
36791 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

Overall, the researchers predicted that although the economy will probably start to improve in the second half of this year, there won’t be a quick rally from this recession. “The panelists believe, on the whole, that the recovery from this crisis is going to be a very, very lengthy process,” Timmermann said. “We’re going to be seeing serious effects for years and years.




models predict between 1.5 and 2.1 million US deaths from Covid 19....

your experts don't know shite and their models suck.


could be shorter or longer. Open everything up and lets see what happens.
Posted by CommonSense31
Member since May 2020
48 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:11 pm to
I don't know the economy seems to be sucking extra hard right now
This post was edited on 5/27/20 at 4:12 pm
Posted by red sox fan 13
Valley Park
Member since Aug 2018
15358 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

I think these economists know more than you and I

LMFAO
Tiger Droppings has more knowledge than all presidents, ambassadors, economists, etc combined.
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34853 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:12 pm to
Oh look more nonsense from the so called experts


We will be roaring again by the election
Posted by CommonSense31
Member since May 2020
48 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:13 pm to
That's how these morons tend to think
Posted by CommonSense31
Member since May 2020
48 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:14 pm to
I hope the economy recovers soon but I refrain from saying that it will
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
18756 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

I think these economists know more than you and I



Like the infectious disease experts?
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72216 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:18 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/9/20 at 1:00 pm
Posted by Moonlight
Florence, Italy
Member since Jan 2007
1171 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:19 pm to
The virus will mutate and kill most of the world's population within 5 years. But the economy will remain strong. That's what I'm hearing.
Posted by CommonSense31
Member since May 2020
48 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:20 pm to
Everything is tiny compared to all of history...
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164354 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

In the grand history of infectious pandemics and epidemics, it really isn’t.

The 1968 flu killed 100,000 back when the population was 200,000,000. And that was a flu. This is big bad Covid-19.

A brand new Coronavirus kills about the same amount when the population is 130,000,000 people larger.
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
67051 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:28 pm to
How am I Team Apocalypse for pointing out that there are consequences to a nationwide 3 month economic shutdown? please explain
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35242 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

Economic recovery expected to take years
I mean if it takes 2 years or so to get back to pre-COVID levels, that's pretty quick IMO. It would be nice if it was quicker, but it took 2 years for GDP to recover from the Great Recession (and even longer from home prices to recover) and that was not as severe of a drop and did not have as much impact on the non-developed world (i.e., developing world still grew).

And since this is probably going to end up being a much more severe of a decrease, and impact both the developed and developing world, 2ish years would be a pretty quick rebound IMO. It wouldn't be V-shaped recovery, but the would be more like a "checkmark" recovery.
This post was edited on 5/27/20 at 4:35 pm
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
66402 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:34 pm to
my recovery is nearly complete. another week like this one and i'll be back where i was before the shutdown.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164354 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

my recovery is nearly complete. another week like this one and i'll be back where i was before the shutdown.

Unlike regular recessions the foundation is still there. It’s why the markets don’t give a frick.
Posted by GreatLakesTiger24
One State Solution
Member since May 2012
55884 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

How am I Team Apocalypse for pointing out that there are consequences to a nationwide 3 month economic shutdown? please explain


it’s a joke. They’re saying it because you people were calling everyone who said there would be a lot of death “doomcasters” and other dumb shite
Posted by Cocotheape
Member since Aug 2015
3782 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:38 pm to
People in the service industry about to get a painful first hand lesson that the stock market is not the economy.

Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
66402 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

markets don’t give a frick.


was down nearly $100k at the low point. less than $10k from getting that back.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124220 posts
Posted on 5/27/20 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

to survey a group of quantitative macroeconomic researchers who work in academic settings
You know what I find universally interesting about quantitative macroeconomic researchers who work in academic settings?
Quantitative macroeconomic researchers who work in academic settings are all poor relative to their level of education.
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