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How is this market sustainable (long term outlook)?

Posted on 11/7/19 at 1:59 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18996 posts
Posted on 11/7/19 at 1:59 pm
1. I am not a "doomsdayer."
2. I do not try to time the market
3. I am not sitting on cash

But hot damn! Just look at the chart! Both the dotcom and the housing bubbles peaked at S&P 1500. What are we doing hanging out above 3000? Are we not due something??

Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 11/7/19 at 2:02 pm to
P/E?
This post was edited on 11/7/19 at 2:03 pm
Posted by b-rab2
N. Louisiana
Member since Dec 2005
12577 posts
Posted on 11/7/19 at 2:13 pm to
buybacks, fed propping.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4592 posts
Posted on 11/7/19 at 2:36 pm to
There’s literally nowhere else to invest. Even tangible assets like art and collectibles are at high valuations.

When Europe gets their shite together and interest rates begin to rise again then we will prob see a good correction just from folks rebalancing.
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50361 posts
Posted on 11/7/19 at 3:05 pm to
Look at your own chart. You see any major dips from 1975 to 1999?

This chart means nothing as far as potential for a recession.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10503 posts
Posted on 11/7/19 at 4:19 pm to
It’s all relative.

Check historic PE ratio’s, divident yields, etc.

We’re not at historic levels.... yet
Posted by CajunTiger92
Member since Dec 2007
2821 posts
Posted on 11/7/19 at 5:43 pm to
That chart looks to me like a market that is beginning a new leg up.
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
18073 posts
Posted on 11/8/19 at 7:46 am to
I don't know of a growth of any kind that is sustainable.
Posted by Boring
Member since Feb 2019
3792 posts
Posted on 11/8/19 at 7:52 am to
As primarily a buy/hold long-term investor, times like this kinda suck. Maxed out my retirement account contributions for the year, I won't sell and realize the gains, and at the same time I can't get a good deal on anything for my other brokerage accounts

A big red day would actually be nice to scoop up some stuff on the cheap.
Posted by RoyalWe
Prairieville, LA
Member since Mar 2018
3135 posts
Posted on 11/10/19 at 7:15 pm to
Professional worriers will always find a way to worry. If it's not inverted yield curves then it's rebounding term premiums.

The "all time highs" is another angle that is not supported by data. Strategas Research Partners' analysis found that in the six months following record highs, declines of 10% or more happened in less than 5% of observations since 1950. Mebane Faber at Cambria Investment Management researched the topic back in the 1920s and found the concern to be unfounded acknowledging that 'all time highs' are nothing to be afraid of. Suck it, bears.
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