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ESPN Matchup Predictor: LSU's Auburn vs Bama game
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:12 am
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:12 am
Says we have 21.9% chance of beating Auburn on road.
LINK
Says we have 22.5% chance of beating Bama at home.
LINK
Personally i think we're kicking the shite out of both of these teams but surprised we're marginally favored more beating bama at home than auburn on road.
For discussion's sake, giving LSU a 35.7% chance of beating UGA at home.
LINK
Says we have 22.5% chance of beating Bama at home.
LINK
Personally i think we're kicking the shite out of both of these teams but surprised we're marginally favored more beating bama at home than auburn on road.
For discussion's sake, giving LSU a 35.7% chance of beating UGA at home.
This post was edited on 9/5/18 at 10:16 am
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:14 am to Chad504boy
Last week it said we had a 37% chance of beating Miami. ESPN needs to reevaluate their algorithm.
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:14 am to Chad504boy
Those formulas give home field a lot of weight
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:14 am to Chad504boy
Bama looks unbeatable with Tua. I know UL is crap on D but Petrino teams are always good offensively. Bama looked machine like n every phase. AU we have a chance if Oline can hold up.
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:16 am to TheHat7
quote:
Bama looks unbeatable with Tua.
Tua is an unbelievable athlete.
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:18 am to GumboPot
quote:
Tua is an unbelievable athlete.
Agreed. Although one of his TD passes should have been picked off in the end zone. I don't even think he was looking when he threw it
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:18 am to Chad504boy
Really? I was embarrassed hearing Finebaum playing the call from his show. It was literally LSU fans askin about us and Bama bth getting in final 4! Also some called about going unbeaten etc. he was so amused he literally played it on CFB live.
This post was edited on 9/5/18 at 10:19 am
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:19 am to TheHat7
quote:
Bama looks unbeatable with Tua.
He makes some questionable decisions with the ball. You can see why Saban isn't ready to run Hurts out of the building just yet. He is an elite talent but I am curious to see how he plays against a talented defense that will make him decide quickly.
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:21 am to TheDrunkenTigah
I know the throw u are mentioning but how is his vision that good to see that n the corner of the end zone? And to get the throw there. Man he doesn’t miss often at all. But he is young and will tend to do too much. That’s very coachable imo.
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:23 am to Chad504boy
We have a rough October schedule while Bama has cupcakes. It could be a blessing that we will be battle tested but we could also be beat up as well. Should know after Aubbie if we are for real.
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:25 am to Chad504boy
ive been saying all month, the Auburn game looks like our toughest on the schedule. Young team going on the road for the first time. (think Miss State last year)
The other heavy weights are at home.
The other heavy weights are at home.
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:27 am to TheDrunkenTigah
quote:
He is an elite talent but I am curious to see how he plays against a talented defense that will make him decide quickly.
One of his best qualities is keeping his eyes downfield at all times. That’s hard to coach. If he stays healthy he is going to be a great one. As a Tiger fan I hate him but as a college football fan the kid is fun to watch.
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:28 am to TheHat7
quote:
I know the throw u are mentioning but how is his vision that good to see that n the corner of the end zone?
He didn't. He saw a flash of jersey and heaved it and was lucky the corner plays for UL. He forced a few balls in addition to that one. He'll make some jaw-dropping throws this year because his arm is that good but I also think his arm is going to get him in trouble from time to time.
Posted on 9/5/18 at 10:29 am to BlindTiger7
quote:
Agreed. Although one of his TD passes should have been picked off in the end zone. I don't even think he was looking when he threw it
Yea, he definitely got away with that one. But if he's going to have 2012 Manziel type luck, no one is beating them
Posted on 9/6/18 at 7:07 am to Chad504boy
This early in the season, ESPN's FPI is just fancy statistical guesswork. There have not been enough actual games to get meaningful data to determine each team's true strength. It takes at least until October before they have enough data to even be close.
I wouldn't worry about what it says now.
I wouldn't worry about what it says now.
Posted on 9/6/18 at 7:22 am to Ping Pong
quote:
Last week it said we had a 37% chance of beating Miami. ESPN needs to reevaluate their algorithm.
The algorithm is clearly biased.
Posted on 9/6/18 at 7:31 am to BlindTiger7
quote:
I don't even think he was looking when he threw it
This is what I noticed too on a few of his throws. He's definitely good and much better than Hurts but I don't think he makes them unbeatable. There were several times when he just turned and chucked it downfield without even looking. Didn't hurt them against Louisville but will come back to bite them against a good defense.
Louisville was garbage - Alabama will get tested at some point. Tua helps - but he ain't the end all be all.
Posted on 9/6/18 at 7:32 am to TheHat7
quote:
Bama looks unbeatable with Tua.
More over reaction after one game.
Posted on 9/6/18 at 7:42 am to LNCHBOX
quote:
If he is going to have 2012 Manziel type luck, no one is going to beat them
LSU did
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