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Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:24 pm to Palm Beach Tiger
quote:if you go by history, 57% of teams that win to force a Game 3 (start out 0-1, win Game 2 to even it out) go on to win the series.
Well if we win game 2 then 50% of teams that are 1 and 1 go on to win game 3!!!! Lol.
There are percentages everywhere, and none matter. But almost all do point to tonight's game as the big one... if Florida doesn't sweep us, we're likely going to win the series in 3.
Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:25 pm to ffishstik
quote:Championship series, but yeah.
- LSU has never lost a championship game in Omaha
- Florida has never won a championship game in Omaha
Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:27 pm to Meldedee
quote:
If those announcers said that once, they said it 50 times. Then, immediately after the game they decided to try to boost their ratings with "This thing is far from over, folks. Anything could happen."
I understand that this can be frustrating, but it's important to remember that this is actually their job to try to boost ratings in any way possible.
Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:28 pm to LigerFan
And 100% that win the third game win the series. Stats!
Teams winning 29% after losing first game is higher than we'd see if truly a toss up (25%). But as you guys have said, each independent game isnt a toss up with LSUs best pitchers to come and UFs done (as far as starters).
But really we're still underdogs. Even if LSU has a 70% chance of winning each of next two games it's still a toss up (LSU 49% IF 51%).
LSU as a 60% favorite in each game game is more realistic. Gives us a 36% shot.
Teams winning 29% after losing first game is higher than we'd see if truly a toss up (25%). But as you guys have said, each independent game isnt a toss up with LSUs best pitchers to come and UFs done (as far as starters).
But really we're still underdogs. Even if LSU has a 70% chance of winning each of next two games it's still a toss up (LSU 49% IF 51%).
LSU as a 60% favorite in each game game is more realistic. Gives us a 36% shot.
Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:29 pm to irnfan
No, I actually meant Championship Game. They've only played in 1 championship series and, if you look up the stats, they list elimination games as "Championship" games. Last night was not one of those.
Posted on 6/27/17 at 2:40 pm to SelaTiger
Poche and Lange increase our chances. 3 Unearned last night... I feel good about it.
Posted on 6/27/17 at 2:41 pm to SelaTiger
Usually people use their best pitcher game 1. We did the opposite.
Posted on 6/27/17 at 2:58 pm to SelaTiger
about 74% of statistics are made up anyway.
Posted on 6/27/17 at 2:59 pm to SelaTiger
the last 2 winners LOST game 1
Posted on 6/27/17 at 3:00 pm to Oyster
Boom
Posted on 6/27/17 at 3:05 pm to SelaTiger
quote:
71% of teams winning 1st game win the series
None named florida
Posted on 6/27/17 at 3:10 pm to TigerCoon
lies, damned lies, and statistics
Posted on 6/27/17 at 3:15 pm to DrSteveBrule
quote:
We treated this game as a non must win.
They were hoping for a cheap win. PM is betting the series on both Poche and Lange going on full rest and hitting their spots.
Posted on 6/27/17 at 3:27 pm to SelaTiger
We're the 29%
Posted on 6/27/17 at 3:28 pm to LSUFanMizeWay
Posted on 6/27/17 at 3:37 pm to SelaTiger
From a strict mathematical perspective, this SERIES is still very close to a coin flip.
Posted on 6/27/17 at 3:38 pm to SelaTiger
Actually if the two teams had an equal chance to win each game it would be 75%. This means that the team that loses the first game is the clear favorite in the next one.
Posted on 6/27/17 at 3:39 pm to SelaTiger
quote:
100% of teams winning 1st game in series in 2017
Will get fricked up by the Tigers in games 2 and 3.
This post was edited on 6/27/17 at 3:41 pm
Posted on 6/27/17 at 3:41 pm to DocBugbear
Yeah but LSU is a huge favorite tonight and if they win likely will be tomorrow.
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