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re: 71% of teams winning 1st game win the series

Posted on 6/27/17 at 3:57 pm to
Posted by Stuckinthe90s
Dallas, TX
Member since Apr 2013
2790 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 3:57 pm to
That is a terrible stat. That is just a little bit above what the average should be.

Please understand.

If you win game 1 you have three options.

1. Win game 2 and win the series. 33.3%
2. Win game 3 and win the series. 33.3%
3. Lose game 2 and 3 and lose the series. 33.3%

Honestly, the answer by stats should be 66.6% of teams winning game 1 win the series. so its just a little higher, 71%, which is most likely do to the small sample set, and not actually any meaningful reason. Remember, you can make statistics say anything you want.

Don't believe me, find out what the percentage is to win the series is you win game 2, I guarantee its around 66.6%.
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
20149 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 4:09 pm to
that's not too big of a difference than 50%. If it was 90%, then I'd be worried, but 3 out of 10 teams in the finals win the next two games to take the championship. Not terrible odds.
Posted by jpcajun
Member since Nov 2010
1423 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

71% of teams winning 1st game win the series


That means 29% of the teams that don't win the first game, wins it all! I'll take those stats! LSU baseball is a rare breed so only special teams fit in the 29%... and I think LSU is better than 29% of the teams that are out there!
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

71% of teams winning 1st game win the series


In 14 years of the series format, seven first game winners also won the second game and swept the series.

The other seven lost the second game. Of those seven, four also lost game 3 and the series, while three rebounded to win game 3 and the series. One of those three was LSU in 2009, by the way.

If these numbers are telling us anything, it's that half the teams in our situation tonight have won, and most of that half went on to win the next game and the title, too.
Posted by Tiger in NY
Neptune Beach, FL
Member since Sep 2003
31586 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 5:16 pm to
So you're telling me there's a chance?
Posted by ItTakesAThief
Scottsdale, Arizona
Member since Dec 2009
10757 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 5:19 pm to
Most years the teams throw their aces first game. In this case we have our best pitches on the second and third game.

Bottom line is you have to win two games out of three.

Tigers either win two or lose at this point with one of their best tonight in the best "rest" position to win.

Team still must go out and play better baseball than Florida.
Posted by Tiny Rick
In a vat in the garage
Member since Jan 2016
1517 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 5:43 pm to
I didn't get this stat they showed 7 time winner has won the 1st game and gone on to win. 4 and 3 for the others. Wouldn't that be more like 50%? Did I read that stat wrong?
Posted by TommyDaTiger
Nawlins
Member since Dec 2015
11286 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 5:44 pm to
71% of the time, they win 100% of the time
This post was edited on 6/27/17 at 5:45 pm
Posted by LSU Neil
Springfield
Member since Feb 2007
3551 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 5:55 pm to
How about the fact Florida has won 3 out of 4 this year against us, both teams have equal talent, and baseball evens itself out with said circumstances. Therefore we win the next two, for the year we go 3-3 against Gators. I like this scenario best.
Posted by irnfan
New Orleans, LA
Member since Aug 2013
1442 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 8:18 am to
The way it was written, it appeared you meant ever, not just this year.
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