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re: Heat just beat the Warriors

Posted on 1/23/17 at 9:32 pm to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164545 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 9:32 pm to
Should have parlayed them with the Pels
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

I simulated the game 1000 times and it had the Heat winning 21% of the time, average score was GSW 111 Miami 102.

The ML was +720 which translates to about 13%. So according to my model the ML should have been +400, so there was value at +720

Interesting. Cool stuff. Congrats on your wins!
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
123818 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 9:35 pm to
Pelicans bukkaked Lebron
Posted by Tigerfan56
Member since May 2010
10521 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 9:35 pm to
Congrats on the early retirement
Posted by SECFan1995
Member since Sep 2015
7880 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 9:46 pm to
lol the nba eastern conference.
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65520 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 9:53 pm to
quote:

Congrats on the early retirement

He can't be that smart. He chose Houston over fort myers fla
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33779 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 9:58 pm to
did you create it on Fantasy Labs?

man thats so cool if you did.

I'm gonna watch the Super Bowl anyway though.
Posted by vengeanceofrain
depends
Member since Jun 2013
12465 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 9:59 pm to
You can barely get good ice and you def cant get good ice AND your Dick sucked for 362. Need to hit a trifecta or something in this bitch lol
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 10:04 pm to
Microsoft Excel

43 tabs of number crunching
Posted by brgfather129
Los Angeles, CA
Member since Jul 2009
17116 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 10:07 pm to
quote:

I put $15 on the Heat ML at +720 and won $108 thanks to my NBA model


Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65520 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 10:11 pm to
quote:

You can barely get good ice and you def cant get good ice AND your Dick sucked for 362. Need to hit a trifecta or something in this bitch lol

I have no idea what this means but I upvote anyway. It seems legit
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33779 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 10:15 pm to
Posted by AU4real35
Member since Jan 2014
16065 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 10:45 pm to
Go buy an ice cream cake with it.
Posted by chRxis
None of your fricking business
Member since Feb 2008
23713 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 10:47 pm to
quote:

$108

fricking OT ballin'
Posted by quail man
New York, NY
Member since May 2010
40931 posts
Posted on 1/23/17 at 11:57 pm to
Should help cover some of those medical bills
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145317 posts
Posted on 1/24/17 at 12:03 am to
quote:

I put $15 on the Heat ML at +720
if you really confident in your model, you would have bet more than 15 bucks
Posted by cascadia
Georgia
Member since Jan 2014
2089 posts
Posted on 1/24/17 at 4:24 am to
How'd you factor in to tScript to your system?
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 1/24/17 at 6:33 am to
quote:

if you really confident in your model, you would have bet more than 15 bucks


Still in the testing stage

Only 2nd night using it to bet

Night 1 went 9-9 for +2 units

Last night 16-5 for +16.9 units
Posted by Seymour
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2013
1633 posts
Posted on 1/24/17 at 7:00 am to
It was all part of the script
Posted by LSUDbrous90
Lafayette
Member since Dec 2011
1457 posts
Posted on 1/24/17 at 7:15 am to
Alright I'll play. Without divulging your nuts and bolts of the operation what is your general methodology and what gives you the confidence you can beat the books?
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