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Started By
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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:34 pm to purplepylon
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:34 pm to purplepylon
Yikes
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:34 pm to purplepylon
Well that would pretty much destroy my entire region. That's a storm that you leave for and come home to a slab.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 7:36 pm
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:39 pm to purplepylon
When I was fishing down at Hackberry last month, it occurred to me what a nightmare it would be evacuating up that highway in normal times, much less with thousands of contractors. The growth is explosive in that area, with construction trailer camps everywhere, and "luxury apartments" sprouting up overnight in former cow pastures.
All those people have one route to evacuate, up a two lane highway.
All those people have one route to evacuate, up a two lane highway.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 7:41 pm
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:39 pm to purplepylon
Yeah, I'm gonna start going to church next weekend.
Thank god these don't mean anything at this point.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:42 pm to RazorBroncs
God idea. Jesus Loves You.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:43 pm to RazorBroncs
Just boarded up and evacuated from Holly Beach after seeing that. Gotta beat the traffic.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:44 pm to purplepylon
Notice how it very quickly dissapates just as it moves on shore. Very much like hurricane Carmen in 1974 and hurricane lily in 2002. Both of those hit almost the same exact location. Both of those hurricanes whipped up to very intense hurricanes but began rapidly weakening just before landfall and did relatively little damage. They have done studies to try to figure out why certain storms do that as they move onto the north gulf coast. Even Katrina did this. It just happened to be so strong to begin with that even with the rapid de-intensification prior to landfall it didn't give itself enough time to weaken before it obviously did lots of damage. But believe it or not Katrina could have been much much worse. There is a huge difference between cat 5 and cat 3.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 7:52 pm
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:47 pm to otowntiger
It just depends on the conditions and what cycle the storm is on.
A lot of the storms that hit LA are being turned north by a trough that chokes off their outflow from the west.
A lot of the storms that hit LA are being turned north by a trough that chokes off their outflow from the west.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:48 pm to otowntiger
quote:
Notice how it very quickly dissapates just as it moves on shore. Very much like hurricane Carmen in 1974 and hurricane lily in 2002. Both of those hit almost the same exact location. Both of those hurricanes whipped up to very intense hurricanes but began rapidly weakening just before landfall and did relatively little damage. They have done studies to try to figure out why certain storms do that as they move onto the north gulf coast. Even Katrina did this. It just happened to be soon strong to begin with that even with the rapid de-intensification prior to landfall it didn't give itself enough time to weaken before it obviously did lots of damage. But believe it or not Katrina could have been much much worse. There is a huge difference between cat 5 and cat 3.
Katrina had cat 5 storm surge. That's what did in Nola. Of course it could have been worse, but that was a once in a lifetime type storm.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:49 pm to RazorBroncs
I don't know much about ml but that seems like a strong one.
Good thing these storms never go where they say they will in the beginning
Good thing these storms never go where they say they will in the beginning
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:49 pm to otowntiger
quote:
But believe it or not Katrina could have been much much worse. There is a huge difference between cat 5 and cat 3.
If you move Katrina 50 miles west of where it made landfall, damage goes up exponentially in NOLA. Make it an actual cat 5 at landfall and buildings start failing.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 7:51 pm
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:50 pm to otowntiger
As bad as Katrina was, I'm amazed at how many people don't realize it was a best case scenario as far as how it went down. She was the 20,000 dead New Orleans killer that everyone had talked about for years and the wobble East and die down before landfall kept her from being that.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 7:52 pm
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:55 pm to TigerStripes06
quote:. Not necessarily. See my post above. Notice how in that scenario it very rapidly dissapates just before/as its coming onshore. . Not saying that will happen of course just commenting on what is depicted in this way too far in advance projection.
Well that would pretty much destroy my entire region. That's a storm that you leave for and come home to a slab.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 7:56 pm
Posted on 8/28/16 at 7:58 pm to Scoop
quote:. Exactly.
ad as Katrina was, I'm amazed at how many people don't realize it was a best case scenario as far as how it went down. She was the 20,000 dead New Orleans killer that everyone had talked about for years and the wobble East and die down before landfall kept her from being that.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 8:00 pm to NYNolaguy1
quote:yep very true.
If you move Katrina 50 miles west of where it made landfall, damage goes up exponentially in NOLA. Make it an actual cat 5 at landfall and buildings start failing.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 8:06 pm to otowntiger
TD9 is getting shredded by shear again this evening:
Posted on 8/28/16 at 8:10 pm to purplepylon
934 Mb and looks to be about 65 miles wide on this animation at landfall. Galveston would be wiped from the face of the earth.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 8:12 pm
Posted on 8/28/16 at 8:11 pm to rds dc
Keep getting shredded ya bitch
Posted on 8/28/16 at 8:11 pm to Jim Rockford
Damn, they're building "luxury apartments" in Hackberry? These are truly end times.
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