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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/28/16 at 9:36 pm to
Posted by crazycubes
Member since Jan 2016
5256 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 9:36 pm to
quote:

Deepwater VK915


The models support that tripling all chemical rates on the platform may help push the storm away. Give it a shot.
Posted by macatak911
Metairie, LA
Member since Sep 2007
11072 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 9:39 pm to
when is next update
Posted by LSU1NSEC
Member since Sep 2007
17243 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 9:40 pm to
quote:

This would put it on the SW edge of the guidance spread.



been wondering if this will shift models again
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36703 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 9:44 pm to
quote:

This would put it on the SW edge of the guidance spread


And that changes the model but which direction?? Anything over Texas coming that would keep it east of Louisiana?
Posted by im4LSU
Hattiesburg, MS
Member since Aug 2004
31930 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 9:44 pm to
quote:

Better for Louisiana that it's Viosca Knoll and not a more western block I guess. is that south of Mobile.? And who is shutting down flights?


Yea, bout 100 miles due south of Daphne. We fly out of Houma.

PHI said they had to have 72 hours to do what they needed to do with the aircraft and let their employees handle personal issues, so there would be no flights after Monday/Tuesday...

quote:

The models support that tripling all chemical rates on the platform may help push the storm away. Give it a shot.


Ah... I see we have a Nalco rep in the house
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 9:47 pm
Posted by Fratigerguy
Member since Jan 2014
4743 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 9:49 pm to
I have absolutely no knowledge of this stuff like you guys, but looking at radar, satellite, etc, etc, it looks like the center is still skirting along the 24th, and not over Cuba at all.
Posted by LSUTiger23
Baton Rouge LA
Member since Jun 2010
1162 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 9:51 pm to
Update out. No change in intensity forecast or projected path.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 9:52 pm
Posted by macatak911
Metairie, LA
Member since Sep 2007
11072 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 10:05 pm to
11 PM update shifted east!!!
Posted by razorbackfan4life
Northwest Arkansas
Member since Apr 2011
8493 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 10:07 pm to
Off topic, but there is a massive multi vortex tornado up by Gary, Minnesota at the moment.

Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75168 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 10:13 pm to
Link?
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98602 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 10:17 pm to
Not according to NHC
Posted by Ignignot
Member since Mar 2009
18823 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 10:20 pm to
This storm is impressive in the fact that it's been so shitty but still has had people gripped since Wednesday
Posted by macatak911
Metairie, LA
Member since Sep 2007
11072 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 10:25 pm to
quote:

Not according to NHC


The NHC update moved the cone on the western side further away from louisiana.
Posted by macatak911
Metairie, LA
Member since Sep 2007
11072 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 10:27 pm to
quote:

Not according to NHC




left is 11 PM right is earlier in day
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 10:29 pm
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
57627 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 10:46 pm to
It could be good, but this thing is still a crapshoot this far out. They have no idea what this thing is gonna do
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17666 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 10:47 pm to
Should we all go in on a gift basket for Florida for taking this one for the team?
Posted by SomethingLikeA
Member since Jul 2013
1112 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 11:01 pm to
We aren't out of the woods yet. The more WNW movement and with the ridge holding as of now, it's already forecasted to stengthen.

To the experts: if you had to put a % on an LA hit/partial hit, what's your number?
Posted by USEyourCURDS
Member since Apr 2016
12059 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 11:04 pm to
Bump
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 11:04 pm to
It's not something they are looking forward to I'm sure, some areas of there got 15 plus inches of rain about the time we got all our rain. Even though this probably won't be a hurricane when it hits, it's really going to suck for them. Best they can hope for is that the cold front coming through pushes it through relatively quickly.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84755 posts
Posted on 8/28/16 at 11:04 pm to
quote:

To the experts: if you had to put a % on an LA hit/partial hit, what's your number?



FWIW, no "expert" would have the audacity to put a % on an LA landfall this far out.
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