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Based on bitcoin price going down 2k in last 24 hours, I suspect a bad day for markets
Posted on 4/12/26 at 5:29 pm
Posted on 4/12/26 at 5:29 pm
Will be interesting in what happens with the Nasdaq. I did sell some on Friday and have powder. But once it starts dropping how low does it go? I would love to be wrong and it to be all green tomorrow
8
Posted on 4/12/26 at 5:34 pm to tigerbacon
I can’t imagine the negotiations with the Iranians breaking off with no deal will be good for the markets in the short term. The last couple of months has numbed me to volatility.
Posted on 4/12/26 at 5:35 pm to tigerbacon
Bitcoin is only down 3.15% today. That's a normal Tuesday in bitcoin world.
Posted on 4/12/26 at 5:35 pm to tigerbacon
Tomorrow gonna be bad.
Real bad.
I’m with Trump til the end but…
Tomorrow gonna be bad.
Real bad.
I’m with Trump til the end but…
Tomorrow gonna be bad.
Posted on 4/12/26 at 5:44 pm to tigerbacon
Bitcoin doesn't correlate to the whole market only high risk tech generally.
Anything high risk will be punished in these markets with massive uncertainty and high inflation.
Energy been the play obviously.
Funny that space X is barreling towards to is IPO with probably the most negative sentiment for it's industry incoming
Anything high risk will be punished in these markets with massive uncertainty and high inflation.
Energy been the play obviously.
Funny that space X is barreling towards to is IPO with probably the most negative sentiment for it's industry incoming
Posted on 4/12/26 at 6:05 pm to tigerbacon
Haven’t looked at the price of bitcoin since Friday but based on the announcement that Trump is implementing a blockade on the strait of Hormuz starting Monday morning I am now anticipating a lot of red tomorrow
Posted on 4/12/26 at 8:25 pm to Tiger4life306
Is bitcoin not down due to The NY Times article?
Posted on 4/12/26 at 8:36 pm to baldona
quote:No, it didn't move on that article
Is bitcoin not down due to The NY Times article?
Posted on 4/12/26 at 9:03 pm to Tiger4life306
quote:
Haven’t looked at the price of bitcoin since Friday but based on the announcement that Trump is implementing a blockade on the strait of Hormuz starting Monday morning I am now anticipating a lot of red tomorrow
I think the pattern here is
1. Trump announces peace/cease fire—->market goes up
2. Sell
3. War resumes —-> market down.
Wash, rinse, repeat
Posted on 4/12/26 at 9:21 pm to PeteRose
I’m doing some of this
Posted on 4/12/26 at 10:12 pm to PeteRose
And Monday's are tracking down 4 of 6 Monday's,so i didn't carry any trades over weekend.
Posted on 4/12/26 at 11:01 pm to tigerbacon
I hope it crashes. I didn’t have a chance to fully fill the Roth a few weeks ago when it was at it’s lowest and i only have til Wednesday
Posted on 4/13/26 at 9:39 am to Guntoter1
quote:
Tomorrow gonna be bad.
Real bad.
I’m with Trump til the end but…
Tomorrow gonna be bad.
This is why we have day jobs. The market didn't move down at all based on the weekend news. I am actually up. Now I am not saying some more news cant come out and it be down by the end of the day but that is the volitility we are dealing with.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 9:53 am to Guntoter1
quote:
Tomorrow gonna be bad.
Real bad.
I’m with Trump til the end but…
Tomorrow gonna be bad.
Checking in to say I a green so far.
My gut is the market has moved into the "we do not care" phase of the Iran conflict. This is the same pattern as a year ago with tariffs.
Maybe we should learn to have some cash on hand for the February-April crisis Trump seems to create
Posted on 4/13/26 at 9:54 am to djrunner
Another half point up and the S&P will be green for the year (and at/near highest of all time).
I do question the wisdom of using BTC to track anything but the value of BTC. One would think it might go up during a crisis (like a digital form of gold), and down during periods of stability, but I never studied it much.
Assuming it is some measure of the broader equity markets seems kind of crazy from my vantage point. YMMV
I do question the wisdom of using BTC to track anything but the value of BTC. One would think it might go up during a crisis (like a digital form of gold), and down during periods of stability, but I never studied it much.
Assuming it is some measure of the broader equity markets seems kind of crazy from my vantage point. YMMV
Posted on 4/13/26 at 3:07 pm to Ace Midnight
The only thing bitcoin can be useful for is after hours or weekend activity since its the only thing liquid enough to move and respond to big news when markets aren't open. Otherwise, it isn't very useful to correlate to other sections outside of risk on assets.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 5:50 pm to tigerbacon
The market really shouldn’t be fluctuating so much based on random headlines in the first place.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 6:01 pm to TheWalrus
quote:
The market really shouldn’t be fluctuating so much based on random headlines in the first place.
Since when? The Vix dropped a little bit but when the Vix is up like it has been headlines are literally what move the market. It is actually called Headline Risk.
Posted on 4/14/26 at 12:43 pm to tigerbacon
Green again today
Posted on 4/14/26 at 1:37 pm to tigersmanager
quote:
Green again today
Fareplay does not care, still in cash
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