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The Top 20 CFB Coaching Performances of the past 20 seasons
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:27 am
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:27 am
quote:
Top 20 ratings since 2006:
01. 2025 Indiana (Curt Cignetti): 32.5
02. 2012 Alabama (Nick Saban): 32.4
03. 2013 Florida State (Jimbo Fisher): 30.8
04. 2019 Ohio State (Ryan Day): 30.7
05. 2010 Stanford (Jim Harbaugh): 29.2
06. 2006 Louisville (Bobby Petrino): 28.9
07. 2008 Florida (Urban Meyer): 28.4
08. 2011 LSU (Les Miles): 28.2
09. 2013 Baylor (Art Briles): 28.1
10. 2009 Alabama (Nick Saban): 27.9
11. 2007 Kansas (Mark Mangino): 27.6
12. 2011 Alabama (Nick Saban): 27.5
13. 2008 Texas (Mack Brown): 27.4
14. 2013 Alabama (Nick Saban): 27.4
15. 2022 Georgia (Kirby Smart): 26.8
16. 2014 Baylor (Art Briles): 26.8
17. 2007 LSU (Les Miles): 26.6
18. 2007 Missouri (Gary Pinkel): 26.5
19. 2022 Michigan (Jim Harbaugh): 26.4
20. 2021 Georgia (Kirby Smart): 26.3
quote:ESPN
The coach rating is derived 60% from a team's performance against that 20-year baseline (so, if your SP+ rating is 10.0 in a given season, and your school's 20-year average rating was 5.0, that's a +5.0) and 40% from the raw SP+ rating.
Nick Saban - Four times at Alabama
Les Miles - Two times
Kirby Smart - Two times
Art Briles - Two times
Jim Harbaugh - One time at Stanford; One time at Michigan
Jimbo Fisher - One time at Florida State
Urban Meyer - One time at Florida
Ryan Day - One time at Ohio State
This post was edited on 4/1/26 at 12:26 pm
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:31 am to Salviati
quote:
Zero times at LSU
didn't coach at LSU in the timeframe of last 20 years
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:35 am to Salviati
No ed O list is stupid.
He didnt make one bad decision in 2019.
Not one. Every timeout every 4th down decision was money
He didnt make one bad decision in 2019.
Not one. Every timeout every 4th down decision was money
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:39 am to Salviati
quote:
Nick Saban - Four times at Alabama; Zero times at LSU
quote:
Top 20 ratings since 2006:
Nick Saban was coaching the Dolphins in 2006
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:41 am to Salviati
image never believed in a statistic less.
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:46 am to Salviati
Maybe I'm misunderstanding how this rating system is calculated, but how on earth is Ryan Day 2019 on here and Ed O 2019 not? How does Dabo Swinney never appear? I feel lost.
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:47 am to Salviati
quote:we had that game won. They were something like 1/11 on 3rd downs in that game and we converted 50% and blew it on the final 2 minute drive
02. 2012 Alabama (Nick Saban): 32.4
I was a student at the time and that was one of the wildest environments I’d ever been in
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:04 pm to Salviati
And the 2019 team beats all of those teams.
This is a stupid statistical analysis
Its never a single coach but a staff and players.
This is a stupid statistical analysis
Its never a single coach but a staff and players.
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:07 pm to Salviati
Any list like this that has Les Miles on it loses all credibility.
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:09 pm to paulb52
Yea 2011 Les Miles couldn't get out of his own way
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:20 pm to Nado Jenkins83
quote:
No ed O list is stupid.
He didnt make one bad decision in 2019.
That's because he barely made any decisions in 2019....as he should not have. He just needed to get out of the way, which he did. It's when he actually started making decisions that things went downhill, fast!
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:28 pm to Alt26
Based on the methodology they gave, LSU's SP+ ranking after 2019 was 33.1 (this was the notorious year that Ohio State had a final ranking higher than LSU
). We were 31.9 in 2011. So Ed O probably would be Top 5, and not including him was an oversight. Although the 2011 year does have the 1990s included which probably gives a big boost to the the "delta" between the SP+ and 20 year average.
Essentially they're measuring how much better a team did than what you'd expect from their rolling baseline, and attributing it to the Head Coach.
Essentially they're measuring how much better a team did than what you'd expect from their rolling baseline, and attributing it to the Head Coach.
This post was edited on 4/1/26 at 1:37 pm
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:38 pm to AkronTiger
quote:That's only 40% of the ranking.
Based on the methodology they gave, LSU's SP+ ranking after 2019 was 33.1 (this was the notorious year that Ohio State had a final ranking higher than LSU ). We were 31.9 in 2011. So Ed O probably would be Top 5, and not including him was an oversight.
Ed O did not make the cut.

This post was edited on 4/1/26 at 1:42 pm
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:47 pm to Salviati
Doesn't make any sense. How is Ryan Day's 2019 performance so significantly better than O's by the same metric? Ohio State and LSU had a similar 1999-2018. At that point, both had 2 NC's included in the rolling average. Day's Ohio State 2019 performance gets a 30.7 but Coach O doesn't get even a 26.3? Ohio State's rating that season was a 35.4 compared to LSU at 33.1; is LSU's SP+ from 1999-2018 multiple points higher than Ohio State?
This post was edited on 4/1/26 at 2:14 pm
Posted on 4/1/26 at 2:09 pm to AkronTiger
Edit: Found historical data. Doesn't completely add up as it has Ohio State's 2019 SP+ at 39.4, whereas ESPN where presumably they're using rankings has it as a 35.4.
LINK
Average of LSU's SP+ from 1999 to 2018 is 21.5.
Delta is (33.6-21.5)=12.1
(0.4)(33.6)+(0.6)(12.1)=20.7.
Let's look at Ryan Day.
Average of Ohio State's SP+ from 1999-2018 is 21.8.
Delta is 35.4-21.8=13.6
(0.4)(35.4)+0.6*13.6=22.32
TDLR list doesn't make sense and the internal calculations got screwed up somewhere.
We can even give them the 39.4 to prove it's messed up..
Delta is 39.4-21.8=17.6
(0.4)(39.4)+0.6(17.6)=26.32
As a fun exercise our rolling average from 1983 to 2002 was 8.56. Hit a 30.4 in 2003.
Delta is 30.4-8.56=21.84
(0.4)(30.4)+(0.6)(21.84)=25.26
LINK
Average of LSU's SP+ from 1999 to 2018 is 21.5.
Delta is (33.6-21.5)=12.1
(0.4)(33.6)+(0.6)(12.1)=20.7.
Let's look at Ryan Day.
Average of Ohio State's SP+ from 1999-2018 is 21.8.
Delta is 35.4-21.8=13.6
(0.4)(35.4)+0.6*13.6=22.32
TDLR list doesn't make sense and the internal calculations got screwed up somewhere.
We can even give them the 39.4 to prove it's messed up..
Delta is 39.4-21.8=17.6
(0.4)(39.4)+0.6(17.6)=26.32
As a fun exercise our rolling average from 1983 to 2002 was 8.56. Hit a 30.4 in 2003.
Delta is 30.4-8.56=21.84
(0.4)(30.4)+(0.6)(21.84)=25.26
This post was edited on 4/1/26 at 2:27 pm
Posted on 4/1/26 at 2:22 pm to Salviati
Connelly's metric is always retarded. It tells you that Ohio St was the best team of 2019. Having Les in '07 up there is almost as dumb as not having Ed O.
Posted on 4/2/26 at 6:36 am to Salviati
2012 Saban was bullshite. The guy loses to a division rival and back doors into a rematch.
Such a privileged opportunity they had!
Such a privileged opportunity they had!
Posted on 4/2/26 at 8:39 am to Salviati
quote:
Ed O did not make the cut.
Ed did not make the cut, but soon to be ex-wife Kelly shown in the pic certaainly got her cut. She is a look alike for Lee Ann Womack.
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