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The Top 20 CFB Coaching Performances of the past 20 seasons

Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:27 am
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
7550 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:27 am
quote:

Top 20 ratings since 2006:

01. 2025 Indiana (Curt Cignetti): 32.5

02. 2012 Alabama (Nick Saban): 32.4

03. 2013 Florida State (Jimbo Fisher): 30.8

04. 2019 Ohio State (Ryan Day): 30.7

05. 2010 Stanford (Jim Harbaugh): 29.2

06. 2006 Louisville (Bobby Petrino): 28.9

07. 2008 Florida (Urban Meyer): 28.4

08. 2011 LSU (Les Miles): 28.2

09. 2013 Baylor (Art Briles): 28.1

10. 2009 Alabama (Nick Saban): 27.9

11. 2007 Kansas (Mark Mangino): 27.6

12. 2011 Alabama (Nick Saban): 27.5

13. 2008 Texas (Mack Brown): 27.4

14. 2013 Alabama (Nick Saban): 27.4

15. 2022 Georgia (Kirby Smart): 26.8

16. 2014 Baylor (Art Briles): 26.8

17. 2007 LSU (Les Miles): 26.6

18. 2007 Missouri (Gary Pinkel): 26.5

19. 2022 Michigan (Jim Harbaugh): 26.4

20. 2021 Georgia (Kirby Smart): 26.3
quote:

The coach rating is derived 60% from a team's performance against that 20-year baseline (so, if your SP+ rating is 10.0 in a given season, and your school's 20-year average rating was 5.0, that's a +5.0) and 40% from the raw SP+ rating.
ESPN

Nick Saban - Four times at Alabama
Les Miles - Two times
Kirby Smart - Two times
Art Briles - Two times
Jim Harbaugh - One time at Stanford; One time at Michigan
Jimbo Fisher - One time at Florida State
Urban Meyer - One time at Florida
Ryan Day - One time at Ohio State
This post was edited on 4/1/26 at 12:26 pm
Posted by Sweep Da Leg
Member since Sep 2013
3058 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:31 am to
Pretty stupid
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
44739 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:31 am to
quote:

Zero times at LSU


didn't coach at LSU in the timeframe of last 20 years
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
65911 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:35 am to
No ed O list is stupid.

He didnt make one bad decision in 2019.

Not one. Every timeout every 4th down decision was money
Posted by Tarpon08
Cut Off, LA
Member since Dec 2014
8572 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:39 am to
quote:

Nick Saban - Four times at Alabama; Zero times at LSU


quote:

Top 20 ratings since 2006:


Nick Saban was coaching the Dolphins in 2006
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
79266 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:41 am to
image never believed in a statistic less.

Posted by iamandykeim
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2015
3895 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:46 am to
Maybe I'm misunderstanding how this rating system is calculated, but how on earth is Ryan Day 2019 on here and Ed O 2019 not? How does Dabo Swinney never appear? I feel lost.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
25387 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 11:47 am to
quote:

02. 2012 Alabama (Nick Saban): 32.4
we had that game won. They were something like 1/11 on 3rd downs in that game and we converted 50% and blew it on the final 2 minute drive

I was a student at the time and that was one of the wildest environments I’d ever been in
Posted by 756
Member since Sep 2004
15878 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:04 pm to
And the 2019 team beats all of those teams.
This is a stupid statistical analysis
Its never a single coach but a staff and players.
Posted by paulb52
Member since Dec 2019
8272 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:07 pm to
Any list like this that has Les Miles on it loses all credibility.
Posted by Yeti_Chaser
Member since Nov 2017
12518 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:09 pm to
Yea 2011 Les Miles couldn't get out of his own way
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
39155 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:19 pm to
ESPN; dr
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
35361 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

No ed O list is stupid.

He didnt make one bad decision in 2019.


That's because he barely made any decisions in 2019....as he should not have. He just needed to get out of the way, which he did. It's when he actually started making decisions that things went downhill, fast!
Posted by AkronTiger
2025 NFL Survivor Champion
Member since May 2021
2840 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:28 pm to
Based on the methodology they gave, LSU's SP+ ranking after 2019 was 33.1 (this was the notorious year that Ohio State had a final ranking higher than LSU ). We were 31.9 in 2011. So Ed O probably would be Top 5, and not including him was an oversight. Although the 2011 year does have the 1990s included which probably gives a big boost to the the "delta" between the SP+ and 20 year average.

Essentially they're measuring how much better a team did than what you'd expect from their rolling baseline, and attributing it to the Head Coach.
This post was edited on 4/1/26 at 1:37 pm
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
7550 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

Based on the methodology they gave, LSU's SP+ ranking after 2019 was 33.1 (this was the notorious year that Ohio State had a final ranking higher than LSU ). We were 31.9 in 2011. So Ed O probably would be Top 5, and not including him was an oversight.
That's only 40% of the ranking.

Ed O did not make the cut.

This post was edited on 4/1/26 at 1:42 pm
Posted by AkronTiger
2025 NFL Survivor Champion
Member since May 2021
2840 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 1:47 pm to
Doesn't make any sense. How is Ryan Day's 2019 performance so significantly better than O's by the same metric? Ohio State and LSU had a similar 1999-2018. At that point, both had 2 NC's included in the rolling average. Day's Ohio State 2019 performance gets a 30.7 but Coach O doesn't get even a 26.3? Ohio State's rating that season was a 35.4 compared to LSU at 33.1; is LSU's SP+ from 1999-2018 multiple points higher than Ohio State?
This post was edited on 4/1/26 at 2:14 pm
Posted by AkronTiger
2025 NFL Survivor Champion
Member since May 2021
2840 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 2:09 pm to
Edit: Found historical data. Doesn't completely add up as it has Ohio State's 2019 SP+ at 39.4, whereas ESPN where presumably they're using rankings has it as a 35.4.

LINK

Average of LSU's SP+ from 1999 to 2018 is 21.5.

Delta is (33.6-21.5)=12.1
(0.4)(33.6)+(0.6)(12.1)=20.7.

Let's look at Ryan Day.

Average of Ohio State's SP+ from 1999-2018 is 21.8.

Delta is 35.4-21.8=13.6
(0.4)(35.4)+0.6*13.6=22.32

TDLR list doesn't make sense and the internal calculations got screwed up somewhere.

We can even give them the 39.4 to prove it's messed up..

Delta is 39.4-21.8=17.6
(0.4)(39.4)+0.6(17.6)=26.32

As a fun exercise our rolling average from 1983 to 2002 was 8.56. Hit a 30.4 in 2003.

Delta is 30.4-8.56=21.84
(0.4)(30.4)+(0.6)(21.84)=25.26
This post was edited on 4/1/26 at 2:27 pm
Posted by saintsfan22
baton rouge
Member since May 2006
80013 posts
Posted on 4/1/26 at 2:22 pm to
Connelly's metric is always retarded. It tells you that Ohio St was the best team of 2019. Having Les in '07 up there is almost as dumb as not having Ed O.
Posted by turnpiketiger
Member since May 2020
12201 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 6:36 am to
2012 Saban was bullshite. The guy loses to a division rival and back doors into a rematch.

Such a privileged opportunity they had!
Posted by tigersbb
Member since Oct 2012
12825 posts
Posted on 4/2/26 at 8:39 am to
quote:

Ed O did not make the cut.


Ed did not make the cut, but soon to be ex-wife Kelly shown in the pic certaainly got her cut. She is a look alike for Lee Ann Womack.
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