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Started By
Message
This “Correction” is mild so far - Facts Listed
Posted on 3/26/26 at 7:12 pm
Posted on 3/26/26 at 7:12 pm
The average S&P 500 correction percentage over the past 20 downturns has been 14%. In March of last year, there was a 10% decline. In October of 2023, 10.3%. October of 2022 was 25.4% and March of 2020 was 33.9%.
Right now, with the events going on in the Middle East:
Dow 30 - down 5.01% ytd
S&P 500 - down 5.56% ytd
Nasdaq - down 7.87% ytd
Russel 2000 - down 0.59% ytd
Yes, I realize that the declines from all time highs are larger because of the quick run up in January, but to keep things in perspective, so far this is very mild and honestly, considering everything going on, it could be much worse.
Right now, with the events going on in the Middle East:
Dow 30 - down 5.01% ytd
S&P 500 - down 5.56% ytd
Nasdaq - down 7.87% ytd
Russel 2000 - down 0.59% ytd
Yes, I realize that the declines from all time highs are larger because of the quick run up in January, but to keep things in perspective, so far this is very mild and honestly, considering everything going on, it could be much worse.
8
Posted on 3/26/26 at 7:17 pm to Skippy1013
Slow chop. It ain’t shite so far.
Posted on 3/26/26 at 8:14 pm to Skippy1013
Rates going up is beating up bonds pretty bad. Sucks when you are getting it from both ways (equities and bonds).
Posted on 3/27/26 at 10:49 am to Skippy1013
It's quite clear that this market wants badly to run back to all time highs.
As much as Trump flip flops and runs his mouth, the market is trying it's best to buy good news.
As much as Trump flip flops and runs his mouth, the market is trying it's best to buy good news.
Posted on 3/27/26 at 12:35 pm to Skippy1013
If you're going to use the first numbers showing declines from the ATH's at the time, you should use the same thing here. Curretnly as of 12:30 CST, the Nasdaq is down 12.5%, the DJIA is down 10%, and S&P is down 8.5% from ATH.
Posted on 3/27/26 at 12:43 pm to Cajun75
Can you re calculate this again after the dump we had in last 20 mins
Posted on 3/27/26 at 12:47 pm to fareplay
Math was off.
This post was edited on 3/27/26 at 1:16 pm
Posted on 3/27/26 at 12:55 pm to Cajun75
quote:
If you're going to use the first numbers showing declines from the ATH's at the time, you should use the same thing here.
Mark Twain once wrote, "There are 3 types of lies: 1) lies, 2) damn lies and, 3) statistics."
Posted on 3/27/26 at 1:15 pm to bayoubengals88
SPY
Peak (Jan 2026) $697.84
Current Price $635.33
Total Decline -8.96%
10% Correction Level $628.06
Peak (Jan 2026) $697.84
Current Price $635.33
Total Decline -8.96%
10% Correction Level $628.06
Posted on 3/27/26 at 1:49 pm to bayoubengals88
Yeah with S&P now down about 7.3% since the start of the year (1/1/26); that's 30% annualized YTD just about
This post was edited on 3/27/26 at 1:50 pm
Posted on 3/27/26 at 1:54 pm to fareplay
Figures were based on 52-week-highs of 50,512 on DJIA, 24, 019 on Nasdaq, and 7,002 on S & P. Just take the difference from high to now and divide by the high, or difference divided by original for % of decrease or increase.
Posted on 3/27/26 at 2:02 pm to Skippy1013
I wonder what the bottom will be? Great buying opportunity because it will shoot back up in a month or two when war ends and oil goes down
Posted on 3/27/26 at 2:10 pm to Skippy1013
What’s your definition of a market “correction?”
Posted on 3/27/26 at 2:33 pm to deltaland
I don’t know if it will shoot back up and push ATHs again. It will bounce on war over news for sure. But there’s plenty of other issues than just the war that are now coming to roost
Posted on 3/27/26 at 2:34 pm to cadillacattack
10% peak to trough move is a correction.
Posted on 3/27/26 at 3:12 pm to Skippy1013
quote:The 2026 high for the DJ30 is 50,188.14 which occurred on February 10.
Dow 30 - down 5.01% ytd
With the DJ30 closing today at 45,167.40 (down 5,021.50 from the 2026 high) that means the DJ30 is down -10.005%.
Posted on 3/27/26 at 3:59 pm to Skippy1013
The problem with this thinking is this conflict in Iran absolutely has the ability to drag on and completely upend commodities across the globe. (They’re already a mess) Which in turn keeps inflation elevated and interest rates up.
I see two ways this conflict realistically ends. Otherwise I don’t see why Iran has any incentive to stop what they’re doing.
US takes an off ramp and ends the conflict. They declare all military goals = accomplished. Iran eases off.
China and India put pressure on Iran to stop.
Could either option happen next week…sure. But it also can drag out for months.
I see two ways this conflict realistically ends. Otherwise I don’t see why Iran has any incentive to stop what they’re doing.
US takes an off ramp and ends the conflict. They declare all military goals = accomplished. Iran eases off.
China and India put pressure on Iran to stop.
Could either option happen next week…sure. But it also can drag out for months.
This post was edited on 3/27/26 at 4:00 pm
Posted on 3/27/26 at 4:39 pm to LSURussian
Crazy percentages that some never realize since the % of loss is figured on a larger starting amount.
If a position drops 10% it takes an 11% increase to get back to what it was.
If a position drops 20% it takes a 25% increase.......
If a position drops 30% it takes a 42% increase.....
If a position drops 40% it takes a 67% increase.....
If a position drops 50% it takes a 100% increase...!!!
If a position drops 10% it takes an 11% increase to get back to what it was.
If a position drops 20% it takes a 25% increase.......
If a position drops 30% it takes a 42% increase.....
If a position drops 40% it takes a 67% increase.....
If a position drops 50% it takes a 100% increase...!!!
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