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One Big Beautiful Bill = larger tax refunds for most

Posted on 1/28/26 at 8:32 am
Posted by BayouNation
Member since Sep 2008
2125 posts
Posted on 1/28/26 at 8:32 am
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is predicting a "gigantic" tax refund season for many Americans as key provisions of President Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" take effect for the first time.

Partially due to the fact that it went into effect mid-year last year and most people didn’t adjust their withholdings and were overpaying their estimated taxes.
Posted by Larry Gooseman
Houston
Member since Mar 2014
2766 posts
Posted on 1/28/26 at 9:02 am to
Mine will be largest I’ve ever received due to SALT increase
Posted by Everyday Is Saturday
Member since Dec 2025
437 posts
Posted on 1/28/26 at 9:27 pm to
Here comes Inflation upward pressure…
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20690 posts
Posted on 1/28/26 at 9:44 pm to
Isn't the family income cap like 120K?
Posted by CecilShortsHisPants
One Foty Fo uh uh Magnolia Screet
Member since Oct 2012
3757 posts
Posted on 1/29/26 at 2:11 am to
I’m staring this down:

$31,500 standard deduction
+$23,500 401k deduction
+$19,650 overtime tax deduction (yes, this is the premium portion only)
=$74,650 in total deductions.

+$4,400 child tax credit (x2)

This will be our first refund in a while, and it should be a doozy.

ETA: Edited to correct the credit/deduction mistake
This post was edited on 1/29/26 at 4:11 pm
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
19092 posts
Posted on 1/29/26 at 7:11 am to
quote:

I’m staring this down: $31,500 standard deduction +$23,500 401k deduction +$4,400 child tax credit (2x) +$19,650 overtime tax deduction =$79,050 in total deductions. This will be our first refund in a while, and it should be a doozy.


I’ve never factored in my 401k because it’s pretax when considering deductions.

I’m not taking the standard deduction for the 1st time in years and hope to owe nothing or get a small refund. Tired of writing checks after claiming zero and none every year.
Posted by Bacchus
Tulsa
Member since Feb 2009
287 posts
Posted on 1/29/26 at 8:28 am to
quote:

$31,500 standard deduction
+$23,500 401k deduction
+$4,400 child tax credit (2x)
+$19,650 overtime tax deduction
=$79,050 in total deductions.
You're mixing credits with deductions. Deductions reduce your taxable income, while credits are applied at the end to your taxes owed. The way you've stated it, you're underestimating the benefit of the child tax credits. Not trying to be nit-picky, but you're doing better than you think you are.
Posted by FMtTXtiger
Member since Oct 2018
5159 posts
Posted on 1/29/26 at 8:49 am to
im not sure how this really helps middle america.

if i paid 10k in taxes last year, im sure i will pay somewhat close to that again. the 1500 deduction increase wont do much.

or am i wrong?
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
19092 posts
Posted on 1/29/26 at 9:22 am to
quote:

im not sure how this really helps middle america. if i paid 10k in taxes last year, im sure i will pay somewhat close to that again. the 1500 deduction increase wont do much. or am i wrong?


It’s going to vary widely by family. You take a plant baw he should max the overtime and if his wife is a server then they will be able to use that also. Two salaried folks with low taxes, modest house with low rates will probably still take the standard deduction and not benefit from the no tax on overtime, salt tax or mortgage interest benefits.
Posted by Joshjrn
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
32070 posts
Posted on 1/29/26 at 9:52 am to
quote:

+$19,650 overtime tax deduction

Not saying you're wrong, but you may want to double check this. You don't get to claim all overtime; you only get to claim the extra pay that you got because it was overtime.

For you to have roughly $20k in overtime deduction, assuming the standard time and a half, that means you worked $60k in OT. Again, certainly possible, and kudos for you if so, but just want to make sure you don't have any unpleasant surprises
Posted by Joshjrn
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
32070 posts
Posted on 1/29/26 at 9:53 am to
quote:

im not sure how this really helps middle america.

If you work significant overtime, receive significant compensation in tips, or purchased a brand new vehicle, you're likely to see a marked decrease in your tax liability.

If none of those things apply to you, you'll likely see a very, very modest decrease in your tax liability.
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
19092 posts
Posted on 1/29/26 at 10:18 am to
quote:

If you work significant overtime, receive significant compensation in tips, or purchased a brand new vehicle, you're likely to see a marked decrease in your tax liability. If none of those things apply to you, you'll likely see a very, very modest decrease in your tax liability.


I put the numbers in one of the tax websites and it said I’ll be getting a $500 return. Better than owing $7500 to 10k. Figured it would be a little more but I had additional income on a 1099 that I will claim that’s about 7500 for the year.

Standard $31,500

Itemized will be around 70k, depending how hard I want to dig into my local sales tax. Trying to pull mine and my wife’s Amazon sales tax for the year but I’m afraid to see the outcome
This post was edited on 1/29/26 at 10:25 am
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53318 posts
Posted on 1/29/26 at 10:28 am to
I just hope we don't owe anything. We haven't gotten a federal refund in a long time.
Posted by vistajay
Member since Oct 2012
2856 posts
Posted on 1/29/26 at 12:07 pm to
About the same income as last year, when I paid $10k in federal taxes. This year I get a $3000 refund. I itemized last year also but this year the SALT increase helped me out
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
19092 posts
Posted on 1/30/26 at 11:38 am to
quote:

About the same income as last year, when I paid $10k in federal taxes. This year I get a $3000 refund. I itemized last year also but this year the SALT increase helped me out


Seems like a 13k swing to the good. I’d take that in a heartbeat.
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