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LSU vs Alabama - head to head stat comparison by opposing units - closer than it may seem

Posted on 11/4/25 at 9:07 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13703 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 9:07 pm
SEC ranking out of 16 teams in SEC games only in each stat is listed.
Bolded stats are the ones with large difference.

LSU Rushing offense (yds/rush) 3.83 (9th)
Bama Rushing defense 5.19 (16th)

LSU passing offense (yds/attempt) 6.92 (12th)
Bama passing defense 6.13 (2nd)

LSU total offense (yds/play) 5.57 (8th)
Bama total defense 5.67 (11th)

LSU scoring offense (points/game) 21.6 (11th)
Bama scoring defense 20.2 (2nd)
******************************

Bama rushing offense 3.31 (12th)
LSU rushing defense 4.46 (12th)

Bama passing offense 7.66 (7th)
LSU passing defense (5th)

Bama total offense 5.48 (9th)
LSU total defense 5.52 (9th)

Bama scoring offense 29.4 (6th)
LSU scoring defense 24.8 (10th)
******************************

LSU third down conversion rate 28.81% (16th)
Bama third down conversion rate defense 31.67 (2nd)

LSU red zone scoring offense 77.33% (13th)
Bama red zone scoring defense 64.71% (1st)
******************************

Bama third down conversion rate 51.32% (2nd)
LSU third down conversion rate defense 45.83% (16th)

Bama red zone scoring offense 100.0% (T-1st)
LSU red zone scoring defense 80.0% (6th)
******************************

LSU needs to take advantage in the one area that it may have the advantage (rushing offense vs Bama rushing defense - believe it or not)

LSU needs to continue to play good pass defense (Bama passes better than they run)

LSU also needs to do better than previous games in 3rd down and red zone offense and 3rd down defense (Captain obvious)

Summary: Statistically seems to be fairly even in SEC games, but Bama has the advantage in situational stats (3rd down and red zone). But it's one game and anything can happen.


Posted by crotiger0307
Utah
Member since Jan 2018
832 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 9:14 pm to
We match up with them well.

Simpson is mobile but not a runner.

Fresh looks and change of pace coming on the offensive side of the ball.

Bama should’ve lost to USCe, keep that in mind.
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
25381 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 9:26 pm to
LSU by a million
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
78644 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 9:27 pm to
quote:

We match up with them well.



Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
65627 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 9:30 pm to
Just depends on if we can get in Simpson's head early, he can be a head case if so, and we'll have a chance.

If we let him start running around and making plays like Pavia, which he is very capable of doing, it may be a long day.
Posted by lsutiger2
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2008
7438 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 9:53 pm to
Love when posters just laugh emoji but have no rebuttal
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13703 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 7:50 am to
The Bama advantage seems to be mental - consistent execution and strategy - which shows up in the third down and red zone stats.

That is where the closeness of this game will be determined. Can and will the Tigers sustain drives and score in the red zone?
This post was edited on 11/5/25 at 7:51 am
Posted by Odysseus32
Member since Dec 2009
9550 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 7:52 am to
I'm looking at these stats and what I takeaway is that when it comes time to get a 1st down and/or score, we are bad and they are good.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
33704 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 8:02 am to
quote:

Simpson is mobile but not a runner.


He's more Cade Klubnik than Reed at A&M. Meaning, he's mobile and can extend plays. But he's not someone you worry about breaking contain anytime and consistently picking up 20, 30 yard gains.

Outside of QB, their best skill players are at WR. The best part of LSU's defense is probably the secondary. They won't shut Alabama down, but LSU can win their share of battles. Ultimately, I think LSU can hold Alabama under 30 (how much is TBD).

The OC is the question for LSU. Yes, the OL has struggled. Yes, Nuss has had many bad moments. But the players have also been hampered by a truly awful offensive approach/playcalling. There is talent at the skill positions. Green is a brutal matchup. Anderson is a very tough cover between the hashes. Thoms is a versatile playmaker. Brown is a vet who can make plays. Berry is starting to emerge a bit with a new approach to the run game. If Atkins can unlock the shackles Sloan had on this team, 24-28 points is not impossible.
Posted by Pikes Peak Tiger
Colorado Springs
Member since Jun 2023
9033 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 8:06 am to
quote:

The Bama advantage seems to be mental - consistent execution and strategy - which shows up in the third down and red zone stats.


What’s their record vs ranked teams? What’s our record bs ranked teams?

They are very clearly the better team.

It’s like some of you don’t actually watch the games.

On paper it may look like we match up well but the game isn’t played on paper and we have not looked like a decent team since the second half of week 1
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13703 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 8:16 am to
You missed the point of my post.

I am saying the physical stats are very competitive. It is the sustaining drives and scoring part and getting off the field on third down defense that have been/are where Bama is very good and Tigers have been/are very bad.

Tigers will have to be much better in those areas to even have a chance to win the game.
This post was edited on 11/5/25 at 8:18 am
Posted by Pikes Peak Tiger
Colorado Springs
Member since Jun 2023
9033 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 8:23 am to
quote:

Tigers will have to be much better in those areas to even have a chance to win the game


And we’ve said the exact same thing for how many games in a row now?


At some point you just have to accept that this team isn’t capable of that for some reason.
Posted by Pauvetibete
Member since Apr 2022
1612 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 8:33 am to
TD is a weird place.

Same post 2 days ago was downvoted. Guess the negatigers aren't up yet.
Posted by rar
Member since Dec 2020
354 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 8:40 am to
And Alabama scoring defense doesn't help either ...
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