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YT Video: We're Not Ready for Superintelligence
Posted on 10/21/25 at 5:11 pm
Posted on 10/21/25 at 5:11 pm
Longer vid, but it's essentially a summary of the paper AI 2027
quote:
The CEOs of OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Anthropic have all predicted that AGI will arrive within the next 5 years. Sam Altman has said OpenAI is setting its sights on “superintelligence in the true sense of the word” and the “glorious future.”
What might that look like? We wrote AI 2027 to answer that question. Claims about the future are often frustratingly vague, so we tried to be as concrete and quantitative as possible, even though this means depicting one of many possible futures.
We wrote two endings: a “slowdown” and a “race” ending. However, AI 2027 is not a recommendation or exhortation. Our goal is predictive accuracy.
TL;DW: AI experts believe that once AGI is achieved we will be lucky to last another year or two before it kills us all.
12
Posted on 10/21/25 at 5:18 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
TL;DW: AI experts believe that once AGI is achieved we will be lucky to last another year or two before it kills us all.
We'll all be long dead before this happens ...
/Work in AI. We're decades away from AGI and having to call on Sarah Conner to save us.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 5:20 pm to AmishSamurai
quote:
We're decades away from AGI
I hope you're right baw
Posted on 10/21/25 at 5:22 pm to JohnnyKilroy
People are going the other way
Posted on 10/21/25 at 5:44 pm to JohnnyKilroy
I watched about 10 minutes of that and had to stop because I'm too dumb to understand most of it. If we ever get to the point that AI is a danger I'm just going to go live in the woods.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 5:50 pm to JohnnyKilroy
Sam Altman is a very dangerous man for humanity who is wholly driven to achieve a goal, regardless of the ramifications.
WSJ has a quote in it today where Altman says that a significant fraction of the Earth’s power should be used to run AI. This man is creating a circular investment structure in Silicon Valley where a ton of their investment is baked into the success of Open AI, meaning his company is becoming too big to fail.
And still, to this day, not a single cocksucker in Silicon Valley can come up with anything better than UBI for the people they’re going to run out of the workforce in the coming years.
WSJ has a quote in it today where Altman says that a significant fraction of the Earth’s power should be used to run AI. This man is creating a circular investment structure in Silicon Valley where a ton of their investment is baked into the success of Open AI, meaning his company is becoming too big to fail.
And still, to this day, not a single cocksucker in Silicon Valley can come up with anything better than UBI for the people they’re going to run out of the workforce in the coming years.
This post was edited on 10/21/25 at 5:51 pm
Posted on 10/21/25 at 6:20 pm to CollegeFBRules
quote:
And still, to this day, not a single cocksucker in Silicon Valley can come up with anything better than UBI for the people they’re going to run out of the workforce in the coming years.
What else is possible if 90+% of the workforce is no longer needed or wanted?
Posted on 10/21/25 at 6:21 pm to JohnnyKilroy
Old
Posted on 10/21/25 at 7:38 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
TL;DW: AI experts believe that IF AGI is achieved we will be lucky to last another year or two before it kills us all.
FIFY
The AI fear mongering is off the charts lately
“AI” is just as likely to collapse given the current approach
Posted on 10/21/25 at 7:42 pm to theunknownknight
If this isn't fake, it scares the ---- out of me. These things will turn on us and kill us or we will use them to kill each other.
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Posted on 10/21/25 at 7:58 pm to CollegeFBRules
quote:They don’t need to come up with anything better. That’s what they want. Everyone on UBI that comes from the government, thus leaving you solely dependent on them.
And still, to this day, not a single cocksucker in Silicon Valley can come up with anything better than UBI for the people they’re going to run out of the workforce in the coming years.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:01 pm to theunknownknight
quote:
“AI” is just as likely to collapse given the current approach
What does “collapse” of AI look like to you, and what about the “current approach” makes you think this is going to happen?
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:07 pm to CollegeFBRules
quote:Desperate people tend to break stuff and go after those at the top.
And still, to this day, not a single cocksucker in Silicon Valley can come up with anything better than UBI for the people they’re going to run out of the workforce in the coming years
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:08 pm to Bayou_Tiger_225
quote:Then where does the money come from if there are few taxable workers?
Everyone on UBI that comes from the government,
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:20 pm to Jake88
By the time we get to a point where we “need” ubi, the government and these AI companies will be heavily intertwined.
A large element of their future predictions hinges on AI being “too big to fail” with the gov sort of soft nationalizing these AI companies.
These AI companies are open to that arrangement, as it clears all sorts of red tape for them while making it essentially impossible for anyone who comes after to compete.
At the end of the day, you can say “who will have money to buy the products?” But tell me which group of shareholders will go along with spending money on human labor while the competition increases their margin while undercutting on price and producing a “better” product?
A large element of their future predictions hinges on AI being “too big to fail” with the gov sort of soft nationalizing these AI companies.
These AI companies are open to that arrangement, as it clears all sorts of red tape for them while making it essentially impossible for anyone who comes after to compete.
At the end of the day, you can say “who will have money to buy the products?” But tell me which group of shareholders will go along with spending money on human labor while the competition increases their margin while undercutting on price and producing a “better” product?
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:22 pm to JohnnyKilroy
But who is going to have money to spend on anything beyond basics?
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:34 pm to Jake88
Probably only a relative handful of people. Those that are already asset heavy.
As they say in the video, the stock market will soar while billions lose their employability worldwide.
I think it’s pretty hard to predict how any of this will shake out if you accept that at some point in the “near” future, an AI subscription will produce better quality work, faster and at 1/100th the price.
It becomes a collective problem. If every company replace their workforce with AI, all those people lose their income.
But any company that forgoes that AI in favor of maintaining the human workforce will be obliterated in the marketplace.
As they say in the video, the stock market will soar while billions lose their employability worldwide.
I think it’s pretty hard to predict how any of this will shake out if you accept that at some point in the “near” future, an AI subscription will produce better quality work, faster and at 1/100th the price.
It becomes a collective problem. If every company replace their workforce with AI, all those people lose their income.
But any company that forgoes that AI in favor of maintaining the human workforce will be obliterated in the marketplace.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:38 pm to Bunk Moreland
Those things look like the ones in that Black Mirror episode Metalhead. That episode freaked me out.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:47 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
What else is possible if 90+% of the workforce is no longer needed or wanted?
If there are no more workers, there is no more money flowing through the economy. Then there is no demand for anything other than basic necessities. What could AI create that would have buyers in a dead economy?
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:47 pm to JohnnyKilroy
It's going to be interesting over the next few years.
I manage a diverse data team and we have access to a couple of AI platforms. I have team members that don't really use it, and they have the same normal output they always have. When they do use it, they still want to understand the code and what it's doing and such (this is the old school norm and not a bad thing)
I have new employees that are embracing AI and cranking out insane amounts of work with 0 understanding of how to do anything but prompt AI.
The latter is a scary notion.
I manage a diverse data team and we have access to a couple of AI platforms. I have team members that don't really use it, and they have the same normal output they always have. When they do use it, they still want to understand the code and what it's doing and such (this is the old school norm and not a bad thing)
I have new employees that are embracing AI and cranking out insane amounts of work with 0 understanding of how to do anything but prompt AI.
The latter is a scary notion.
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