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You’re still spending 50 million if you fire him next year or the year after

Posted on 10/19/25 at 5:52 pm
Posted by gsvar2004
Member since Nov 2007
8713 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 5:52 pm
Let’s be real even with a new OC he’s still not getting it done in 26 with a full roster rebuild, you’ll still be paying him 50 million, 10 for this year and a 40mil buyout, if by some miracle he makes it to 27 before getting canned, it’s still 50 million 10/10/30, The money is already spent, and he’s not going to leave on his on, who would even want him.
Posted by CBR1of3
Member since Jun 2025
26 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:04 pm to
Does it say in the contract how the money has to be paid out? LSU is just finishing the Orgeron buy out. I would assume its not a lump sum buyout. Hopefully the idiots that gave him 10 years have an extended buyout period. The other problem is Indiana just gave their coach anextension and raised him to $11.5 per year. So, the floor is going to be high on a new hire because the agents will use that number for negotiations.
Posted by NorthTxLSU
Dallas to Austin to Houston
Member since Nov 2018
13718 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:08 pm to
People will mention roster money on top of all that as a reason we can’t fire him, but in reality good coaching with a cheap roster beats a $20 mil roster with shite coaching, as we saw yesterday.

I say we sacrifice the roster $ for the next couple years and pull the trigger. We’re gonna be arse anyways.
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
8098 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:10 pm to
There are no “roster rebuilds” in the Portal-NIL era. It’s not 2008 anymore. Get with the times.
Posted by DallasTiger11
Los Angeles
Member since Mar 2004
13311 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

I say we sacrifice the roster $ for the next couple years and pull the trigger. We’re gonna be arse anyways.

Every single extra dollar should be saved and allocated towards firing Kelly. There is zero reason to even try to buy him another expensive roster. He isn’t winning shite with it.
Posted by gsvar2004
Member since Nov 2007
8713 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:13 pm to
It absolutely is a roster rebuild even in the portal. Most if not all of these guys are gone. The playmakers anyway
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
8098 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:16 pm to
That’s the story every season now. You go to the Portal and get what you need for the roster every offseason. You act like this is 20 years ago with recruiting out of high school and a multi-year rebuild when it’s not.
Posted by GetmorewithLes
UK Basketball Fan
Member since Jan 2011
22035 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:17 pm to
quote:

Let’s be real even with a new OC he’s still not getting it done in 26 with a full roster rebuild, you’ll still be paying him 50 million, 10 for this year and a 40mil buyout, if by some miracle he makes it to 27 before getting canned, it’s still 50 million 10/10/30, The money is already spent, and he’s not going to leave on his on, who would even want him.


I am sure this sounded better in your head and I am assuming you flunked math. In your comparison value of firing BK now you dont count 10 mil or more a yr for paying a new coach...
Posted by secfballfan
Member since Feb 2016
3454 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:20 pm to
You forgot to use the risk free rate to discount the cash flows and calculate the present value, otherwise you are not comparing the actual cost.
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
18545 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:25 pm to
A new offense in 2026 with new coaches, players, while paying off old staff isn’t going to be cheap. The money LSU administration thinks they are saving by keeping Kelly another 2-3 years will likely be spent and they will fire him anyway.
This post was edited on 10/19/25 at 6:31 pm
Posted by UptownJoeBrown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2024
6002 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:46 pm to
Yall are a bunch of idiots paying this much for a coach for that long a period of time. Now stuck with an albatross.
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
25588 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:49 pm to
quote:

even with a new OC he’s still not getting it done in 26 with a full roster rebuild

Same was said about the Defense last year. Kelly has proven that he can build an Offense and a Defense. Now the real question becomes cane he do both in the same offseason.
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
18545 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 6:59 pm to
It’s going to be very expensive to do this. It’s going to be a shite ton of money. By the time you spend all that money to completely revamp our offense you will likely have spent the same amount if you just fired Kelly 1 or 2 years earlier(as in after this year). I’m not saying it will cost 50 million, but the 10-15 million is going to get eaten up quickly so Brian can start all over again with his offense.
This post was edited on 10/19/25 at 7:00 pm
Posted by Luckydog
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2018
456 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 7:37 pm to
Plus another 15 mil or more for all the asst coaches
Posted by sgallo3
Lake Charles
Member since Sep 2008
25185 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

It’s going to be very expensive to do this

No it isnt, because we arent gonna fire him.

Our boosters arent forking out $50+ million and paying another coach $10+ million a year in this economy. We arent penn state.
Posted by NorCali
Member since Feb 2015
1554 posts
Posted on 10/19/25 at 8:22 pm to
Yes 10M/ year on 1 HC is the contract
Do you think it is wise to spend another 10M/year on a second? So you have 20/M a year wrapped up in salary?
And then NIL budget goes down??
It’s a horrible contract and the AD should be held responsible, especially after witnessing first hand the debacle in college station.
Unless you have an extra 50M you don’t need, it’s not going to change for a while.
Heck, look at the softball coach. If anyone should be gone but isn’t why does anyone think they’re planning on paying a 50M buyout.
Posted by LSUnKaty
Katy, TX
Member since Dec 2008
4719 posts
Posted on 10/20/25 at 6:26 am to
quote:

and paying another coach $10+ million a year
This is the point some in this thread seem to be missing.
Posted by ShockG082
Member since Sep 2021
773 posts
Posted on 10/20/25 at 6:33 am to
The buyout gives CBK $50,000,000.00 reasons to lose.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
51551 posts
Posted on 10/20/25 at 7:32 am to
If LSU has to fire Kelly in the next 18 months they should consider hiring a neophyte. Hire a young coach who looks extremely promising but has not risen to the level of being considered for the big programs. In that way you could pay a small salary - maybe $3 million per year - with huge incentives for making the playoffs (maybe $8 million), making the final game (maybe another $2 million) and winning it all (another $4 million). This would allow LSU to digest Kelly’s ridiculous buyout. If the new coach fails we’d be close to finished paying off Kelly’s contract and can search for a big name. If he succeeds we’d be looking at a long dynasty. I would appreciate having a coach who is incentivized to win.
Posted by Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
24936 posts
Posted on 10/20/25 at 8:00 am to
quote:

Does it say in the contract how the money has to be paid out? LSU is just finishing the Orgeron buy out. I would assume its not a lump sum buyout. Hopefully the idiots that gave him 10 years have an extended buyout period
More than likely its spread out over an extended period with a clause in the contract that states he has to attempt to find another job and that his payments from LSU are reduced by whatever amount he’s making at a new job. That’s how most coaching contracts are setup
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