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One simple metric besides score will determine if LSU makes it to the NC game.

Posted on 8/1/25 at 3:59 pm
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 3:59 pm
Nuss has over 200 yards rushing for the season.
Posted by AZTiger7072
Tucson
Member since Oct 2011
2767 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 4:02 pm to
Nuss has less than 8 picks
Posted by BayouCowboy
Member since Dec 2012
16352 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 4:02 pm to
I think LSU moving from dead last to middle of the SEC in rushing would be a better metric.

That and being well on the plus side of turnovers for the season.
This post was edited on 8/1/25 at 4:10 pm
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
61624 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

Nuss has over 200 yards rushing for the season.



I can't agree with that being most important.

How about:

* LSU lead league in rushing
or
* LSU leads league with fewest sacks allowed
or
* LSU leads league in defensive forced turnovers

Nuss rushing way down on the list
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 4:05 pm to
quote:

Nuss has less than 8 picks


I feel like if he takes what the defense gives him that means he making less risky throws and getting yards with his feet so getting some decent rushing numbers helps with less picks.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
41781 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

* LSU leads league with fewest sacks allowed


Assuming when you say leads the league, you mean leads the SEC. LSU did that last season

quote:

* LSU leads league in defensive forced turnovers


LSU was only ahead of Moo State in this category. This is one area where they really need to improve.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133387 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 4:17 pm to
Down vote for you because you used the word "metric" in a football thread.
Posted by Tigerinasia
Natchitoches
Member since Jan 2008
1988 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 4:22 pm to
Nuss
4,000+ passing
40+ TDs
8- INTs
250+ Rushing
= National Championship and Heisman
If the defense is stout and we rush the ball better.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
61624 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

Assuming when you say leads the league, you mean leads the SEC. LSU did that last season


Correct.

This season we lost both starting tackles and both starting guards. And our most likely offensive attack is going to be via the air.

Turnover margin is basically the most determinative stat in football. It’s just very hard to predict.
Posted by Clark W Griswold
THE USA
Member since Sep 2012
10816 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 4:36 pm to
Defensive 3rd down will be key. For 5 years we can’t stop anyone.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
41781 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

Turnover margin is basically the most determinative stat in football. It’s just very hard to predict.



We were -.5 last season.

Our scoring defense needs to improve, but it was better last season than the season before. Since 2018.

2018 - #39 - 23.6 ppg
2019 - #29 - 22.4 ppg
2020 - #95 - 34.9 ppg
2021 - #75 - 28.3 ppg
2022 - #31 - 22.9 ppg
2023 - #86 - 29.5 ppg
2024 - #53 - 24.6 ppg

If we look at turnover margin it looks like this

2018 - #10 - +0.8 turnover margin
2019 - #14 - +0.8 turnover margin
2020 - #13 - +0.9 turnover margin
2021 - #96 - -0.4 turnover margin
2022 - #70 - -0.1 turnover margin
2023 - #36 - +0.3 turnover margin
2024 - #90 - -0.3 turnover margin



Posted by Willie Stroker
Member since Sep 2008
15522 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

One simple metric besides score will determine if LSU makes it to the NC game.

With the limited number of games, the college football season has probably the smallest sample size and narrowest margin for error among all college sports.

Intangibles will also be at play, as will injuries.
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
65789 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 5:12 pm to
Totally irrelevant
Posted by wesman21
Youngsville
Member since Jun 2009
3469 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 5:23 pm to
Turnover differential. That stats more consistently than anything else besides the scoreboard every single year.
Posted by Tigers4Lyfe
Member since Nov 2010
6087 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 5:57 pm to
quote:

I can't agree with that being most important.
Except "most important" wasn't mentioned.

It's just a conversation piece and not the one-all be-all metric.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
61624 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 6:16 pm to
quote:

Except "most important" wasn't mentioned.



..."will determine if LSU makes it to the NC game"

And, you are complaining about me paraphrasing it to "most important"?

Don't be a retard.

quote:

It's just a conversation piece and not the one-all be-all metric.



It's about the more important metric.
Posted by BlueFalcon
Aberdeen Scotland
Member since Dec 2011
3354 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 6:19 pm to
Our Secondary is 2011 stingy
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
24478 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 6:50 pm to
I love when the rantards jump into group think mode.
Posted by Tigerfan4545
Member since Oct 2024
208 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 7:29 pm to
LSU has a top 25 defense….If we can’t stop other teams everything else is irrelevant.
Posted by FightinTigersDammit
Louisiana North
Member since Mar 2006
45726 posts
Posted on 8/2/25 at 12:25 am to
Forced turnovers are also the least replicable stat
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