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Discounting Coastal due to SOS

Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:16 pm
Posted by Yeti_Chaser
Member since Nov 2017
11267 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:16 pm
I know these posters are either trolling or just dumb but here are the facts.

Coastal is 12-6 vs Q1- 67% win percentage
LSU is 17-11 vs Q1 - 61%

Coastal is 20-9 vs Q1 and Q2 combined - 69%
LSU is 27-12 vs Q1 and Q2 combined - 69%

Coastal is 14-1 against Q4. We are 21-2 against Q4 demonstrating that we played a lot more shitty teams than they did.

The Sunbelt isn't the SEC but it's usually not a terrible conference either, but their nonconference SOS is ranked #5.

We played 3 common opponents - Kansas State, Alabama, and Auburn.
They are 4-1 against those teams, we are 3-4.
Posted by FreddieMac
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2010
24831 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:18 pm to
Sunbelt is ULL right?
Posted by gumbeaux
Member since Jun 2004
4975 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:22 pm to
Nobody should dismiss Coastal Carolina. It’s going to be a battle
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
56655 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:22 pm to
So your argument is coastal didn't play as many tough games as we did but have the same winning percentage so it's the same?

I think you just reemphasized the point that SEC is a meat grinder.
This post was edited on 6/19/25 at 3:23 pm
Posted by BallChamp00
Member since May 2015
7132 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:24 pm to
This won’t even be close. Both games.
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22781 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:24 pm to
When did those Q1 wins come? Not all Q1 wins are the same. For instance, a Q1 win in a mid-week game isn't nearly as impressive as a Q1 win in a conference series.

Just looking at their schedule, they played NC State, Wake Forest (x2) and Clemson (x2) in mid-week games.
Posted by TigerMonkey7
Member since Jul 2021
3949 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:25 pm to
Most of those Q1 games are ACC teams throwing midweeks arms. Kade and Eyanson are going to make costal hitters look silly. Without walks and HBP costal has an average offense
Posted by VeryReauxna_ish
Your mom’s house
Member since Dec 2020
2725 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:25 pm to
You’re scared of Coastal dog. Tigers are going to fry their arse.
Posted by uscpuke
Member since Jan 2004
6136 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:25 pm to
I have not seen anyone discount Coastal, but if they did one could look back at Ark-LR and not be overconfident.
Posted by uscpuke
Member since Jan 2004
6136 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

I have not seen anyone discount Coastal,
nevermind, idiots have shown up in this thread
Posted by TigerLunatik
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2005
102806 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:26 pm to
The biggest advantage or talent disparity in their opponents is that they haven't seen anything like Anderson, Eyanson and Evans and I seriously doubt they've had relievers come in throwing over 100 with serious movement.
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
32725 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:27 pm to
26 straight is 26 straight. Any team that makes it to the college World Series finals is legit
Posted by lsuson
Metairie
Member since Oct 2013
14904 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:29 pm to
We play auburn now we take at least 2/3, not getting swept.
Posted by lsuson
Metairie
Member since Oct 2013
14904 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:31 pm to
Agree, but they also haven't faced 2 first round pick starters. CC has solid pitching, but nothing that will overwhelm what LSU has already seen so far.
Posted by misey94
Member since Jan 2007
32376 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

Just looking at their schedule, they played NC State, Wake Forest (x2) and Clemson (x2) in mid-week games.


This. A P4 program is never going to use a weekend starter in those games during the conference slate, so they will often drop some of them. A win is a win, but it’s a valid point.

As for the conference slate, there’s only one other really good team in the Sun Belt, and Coastal beat them.

All that said, Coastal swept their regional, whipped Auburn (which was slumping a little down the stretch, but still a good win), and handled their side of the bracket. They are a battle-tested team and they’ve proven they can beat anyone. No one should take them lightly.
Posted by Yeti_Chaser
Member since Nov 2017
11267 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

coastal didn't play as many tough games as we did but have the same winning percentage so it's the same?

I think you just reemphasized the point that SEC is a meat grinder.

This same argument could be made for any non-SEC team. No one outside of the conference has played an SEC type schedule. But that obviously didn't mean that only SEC teams were good enough to make it to Omaha
Posted by misey94
Member since Jan 2007
32376 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

The biggest advantage or talent disparity in their opponents is that they haven't seen anything like Anderson, Eyanson and Evans and I seriously doubt they've had relievers come in throwing over 100 with serious movement.


This. Dutton had a great season and improved tremendously. But he also tailed off quite a bit down the stretch and got touched up a few times before they got to Coastal. Our top 3 are as elite as it gets.
Posted by mikelbr
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
48991 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:39 pm to
quote:

and Auburn.


Doesn't count. Remove those games from both our schedules and start over.


Coastal ain't beat nobody worth a shite in a 3 game series.
They were also run ruled BOTH TIMES by Wake Forest in those games.

This post was edited on 6/19/25 at 3:42 pm
Posted by vidtiger23
Member since Feb 2012
7537 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

Just looking at their schedule, they played NC State, Wake Forest (x2) and Clemson (x2) in mid-week games.

Correct. Add to the fact that Quad 1 invokes a sweep at Troy who didn’t even make the tournament. This is a perfect example of using specific data points to make any point you’d like. Regardless they’re still a good team, but the data provided here isn’t the reason.
Posted by Lsutigerturner
Member since Dec 2016
7104 posts
Posted on 6/19/25 at 3:45 pm to
Nope I just don’t see it and I don’t trust the analytics here. They are Good but not the degree of cws final good. They got an easy path and capitalized. They are good but not world beaters

If they played lsu schedule they would not be on a 26 game schedule. Just not buying it
This post was edited on 6/19/25 at 5:45 pm
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