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CBO: Trump’s tariffs will reduce the national debt by $2.5 trillion over the next decade

Posted on 6/4/25 at 12:43 pm
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
5612 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 12:43 pm
The highly partisan CBO grudgingly admits what the Orange has been saying, tariffs will bring in massive revenue:

quote:

Before accounting for how the changes in tariffs would affect the size of the economy, CBO estimates that the increase in collections of tariffs would reduce primary deficits by $2.5 trillion. That estimate accounts for how flows of U.S. imports and exports would adjust in response to the tariffs imposed as of May 13, 2025.


They then theorize that the tariffs will reduce the economy, as well, which I think is flawed. But even so, they are clearly a net benefit for the USA.

LINK
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
20419 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 12:51 pm to
Because the tariffs are a tax increase on the American consumer, who will be paying the tax. Increasing the income tax rate to 99% would also reduce the debt. That doesn't mean it's a good thing.
Posted by RollTide4547
Member since Dec 2024
1639 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

Because the tariffs are a tax increase on the American consumer, who will be paying the tax.
That's what you people keep saying... Thing is, 1) you only pay the tax if you purchase the tariff'd product. So we all have a choice whether we pay the "tax" or not.

2) I do not believe that foreign countries (like china) are selling their products here in America for their Cost plus 10%. If china produces a hammer for $5 (thru the use of slave labor), they are not selling it in America for $5.50. I certainly wouldn't. I'd look at the price of American made hammers, say $29.95. Then I'd undercut the American hammer by a few dollars to say $24.95 and pocket the $19 as profit. The tariff will eat into their profit, otherwise their hammers will not sell.
Posted by BigJim
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
14792 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:10 pm to
Except China does not really sell retail in the USA. They sell to companies who set a wholesale price for retailers who then determine the final sale price.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
131760 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

Because the tariffs are a tax increase on the American consumer
Tariffs are in place. How have those "tax increases on the American consumer" affected you?
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
23458 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

Because the tariffs are a tax increase on the American consumer


This is such a ignorant talking point. In reality, the tariff will be paid, by whom is to be decided by market forces. If a product is in demand, suppliers will not have to eat the tariff and that cost is passed onto the consumer. Low demand products or products with domestic competition will not have that ability. It then becomes a tax on the supplier.

You can bitch and complain about tariffs, just do not lie about them. Market forces will dictate their impact and claiming it as a tax on consumers is factually wrong.
Posted by BlackAdam
Member since Jan 2016
6894 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:18 pm to
Reducing deficits is not the same as reducing the debt. In you decrease projected deficits by 2.5 trillion the debt will still grow by 15 trillion or so.
Posted by cubsfan5150
NWA
Member since Nov 2007
16988 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

The highly partisan CBO


Posted by Seldom Seen
Member since Feb 2016
47243 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

Tariffs are in place. How have those "tax increases on the American consumer" affected you?





Well they cost me thousands of dollars(and thousand more to come), I'm going to have less inventory now, I've had to lay off 3 employees already and I'm having to inform all my customers that we're going up on price. Basically putting my entire business at risk.

So they've affected me greatly.
Posted by BlackAdam
Member since Jan 2016
6894 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

Because the tariffs are a tax increase on the American consumer, who will be paying the tax. Increasing the income tax rate to 99% would also reduce the debt. That doesn't mean it's a good thing.


The entire cost of business is built into an items price. Do you support higher minimum wage? Higher corporate taxes? Mandates leave?

All of those things could cause prices to consumers to rise. Why is your feigned concern restricted to tariffs?
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
63111 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:22 pm to
The retards on this board will say you need to be adaptable.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
88363 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:24 pm to
How much more in taxes are you paying on your daily used goods since evil tariffs were announced?
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
131760 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

CBO: Trump’s tariffs will reduce the national debt by $2.5 trillion over the next decade
The highly partisan CBO grudgingly admits what the Orange has been saying, tariffs will bring in massive revenue:
I'm surprised the were willing to make some of the assumptions they did. E.g., They assumed tariffs remaining in place for all 10yrs. They assumed varying tariff levels even though negotiations are in early stages. IOW, they "best guessed" it.

quote:

They then theorize that the tariffs will reduce the economy, as well
Right. They refuse to dynamically score the tax cuts, but dynamically score tariff increases. Smells like BS.
Posted by jclem11
Chief Nihilist
Member since Nov 2011
9173 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

RollTide4547


You are the meme.

Posted by 4Bagger
Member since Jan 2025
301 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:26 pm to
That's not nearly enough. 10T is a good starting point
Posted by RollTide4547
Member since Dec 2024
1639 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

Except China does not really sell retail in the USA. They sell to companies who set a wholesale price for retailers who then determine the final sale price.
You seem wrapped around the axle over the word "China". Step back and look at the overall process. Whomever is selling retail in the USA is selling the products just a few dollars under American products and pocketing the rest. It would be stupid to do otherwise. The tariffs will cause those entities or the wholesalers to eat the tariff costs, otherwise their products won't sell. The media and democrats (yes I repeat myself) are fear mongering.
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
9071 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:28 pm to
So we save 2.5 trillion by increasing the debt limit by 4 trillion.
Posted by RollTide4547
Member since Dec 2024
1639 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

You are the meme
Can't prove me wrong, so you attempt a personal attack and ridicule. Good little liberal padawan. By the way, there are more steps in Alynski's Rules for Radicals than #5 Ridicule.
Posted by RollTide4547
Member since Dec 2024
1639 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Well they cost me thousands of dollars(and thousand more to come), I'm going to have less inventory now, I've had to lay off 3 employees already and I'm having to inform all my customers that we're going up on price. Basically putting my entire business at risk.

I'm calling Bravo Sierra on this. You are full of excrement.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
25490 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

The entire cost of business is built into an items price. Do you support higher minimum wage? Higher corporate taxes? Mandates leave?

All of those things could cause prices to consumers to rise. Why is your feigned concern restricted to tariffs?


I can't imagine a conservative being in favor of any of those things in our current climate. What is your point?
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