Past 20 No. 7 Overall Picks

No, but hopefully a happy Eric Gordon

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so maybe 5 of the 20 provided value to the team that drafted them, while the rest did much of nothing? Awesome. That's why we should be trading this pick. 25% chance of drafting someone valuable isn't great odds to me. As I said before, if we are keeping Zion, then build a winning team around him with the assets you have to win now.

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That's easy to say, but you have to have a trade partner that values that #7 pick more than you do.

Trade it

frick yeah! Another journeyman inbound!

We’ll hope for Steph Curry and end up with Pistons legend Charlie Villanueva.

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Way more than 5 of these guys provided value.

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what are you calling value?
Is Jordan Hawkins providing value to the Pelicans? Is he a critical piece to our success (trick question b/c we haven't had any)? Can he be traded for a 1st round pick or more?
Now ask the same questions about Trey Murphy. Trey has value. Herb has value. Dyson had value, although i think we all would agree we thought he was worth more than what he was traded for.

Name me the guys on that list that could have fetched a 1st round pick in a trade at some point during their first 4 years in the league with their original team. That's what I was doing.
Curry and Murray obviously
Egghead could have
Barnes could have
Kuminga should be able to
Coby White probably couldn't have when he signed his extension. he definitely could now.
Markannen and Randle had their rookie contracts expire. So did Greg Monroe. Their teams got nothing for them when they left.
WCJ was traded with 2 first round picks and Otto Porter for Vucevic after 2 yeas in Chicago. I guess you could say he had about the same value as Dyson just did.


The point I was making is that the team drafting all of these guys at 7 didn't really get any value from the vast majority of them. Just b/c Markannen and Randle and even guys like Corey Brewer and Greg Monroe, or even Biyambo played for a long time and contributed to teams later in their career, they still didn't really do anything to help out the team that drafted them. Helping out in terms of winning games or recouping assets in a trade.


I see no point in making this pick at 7. And i see the majority of you disagree with this as you have some hope we'll luck into Curry or Jamal Murray, and I get that, but the overwhelming odds are we'll draft someone who won't help us win over the next 4 years and won't have value as a trade piece either.

Trading the pick is also not a sure thing. See the Dejounte Murray trade.

There’s risk both ways

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Yes it is a sure thing. Saying the trade didn't work out b/c he got a freak injury, two of them actually, is silly. Are you going to say making the pick didn't work out if the draft pick tears his ACL 2 weeks into the season? You know Murray is a fringe all-star caliber player, that's the sure thing. If you were to trade the pick, you would be trading it for a player that you already know is a successful starter in the league. The odds of getting a starter in the trade is 100%. The odds of getting a starter in the draft is 40% at absolute best.

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So every trade works out? Just because you’re trading for a proven guy doesn’t mean the trade works out. NBA history is littered with bad trades.

Zion is 100% too unreliable to be a franchise player.