China's economy is currently being described as a "deflationary spiral" as seen in Japan i

Its strange but the parallels to Japan are pretty obvious, the massive trade with the USA really started a massive run up for both countries. Albeit Japan was high end and China low end. The end result was the same.

Now China demographics have slowed big time as the middle class grew and the entire population became more educated the birth rate fell through the floor. Not only are they well below replacement rate, like Japan they basically have no immigration to help them get out of it.

China also like Japan did not let big companies fail because they are propped up and ran by the state. They will probably need to endure some recession pains to not see the same outcome as Japan

quote:

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War is coming!

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I hope


I’m down to get drafted or whatever

Y’all don’t realize that the concept of America doesn’t work unless we have a war to fight. That’s what manifest destiny means


Plus when we gotta throw everything at the enemy they cut food stamps and shite

quote:

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Its strange but the parallels to Japan are pretty obvious, the massive trade with the USA really started a massive run up for both countries. Albeit Japan was high end and China low end. The end result was the same.

Now China demographics have slowed big time as the middle class grew and the entire population became more educated the birth rate fell through the floor. Not only are they well below replacement rate, like Japan they basically have no immigration to help them get out of it.

China also like Japan did not let big companies fail because they are propped up and ran by the state. They will probably need to endure some recession pains to not see the same outcome as Japan

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So what's the expectation? If China's economy crashes, will Chinese manufacturers simply close up shop or will the quickly jump to the USD? If the latter, does the Chinese government see that negatively (a defection, of sorts) and move to stop it or do they just look the other way?

Safety and birth rates crumble and your country eventually dies

or

Crime and replacement level birth rate

2 shitty options

China has been exerting artificial influence on it’s economy for many years and it has only delayed the inevitable. They do not have or expect a replacement workforce to sustain cheap & flexible manufacturing. The government of China limited where Chinese investors could invest which led to the massive bubble and crash of its real estate.

The U.S. needs to cultivate an advantageous relationship with Mexico and Canada to help grow the manufacturing sectors in our hemisphere. Infrastructure between the three countries needs to be vastly improved. Rail, road and pipeline. Taiwan is already offshoring some of its chip manufacturing to the U.S. because we are one of the few places that has this capability. Contrary to what many people think - Mexico has a highly skilled workforce with capacity to produce lower and mid range products. Canada has energy and a highly educated workforce.

We have to replace much of what will be lost as China’s manufacturing dwindles in capacity. That’s a 20-30 year lift that has already begun to some degree, but we (US and Canada) have been hamstrung by incompetent administrations and government bureaucracy.

This is a good take.

Nearshoring is critical to America’s continuance as the dominant world power.