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Nate Silver ends his simulation as tied between Trump and Kamala

Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:17 am
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
117998 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:17 am


Kamala won 12 more simulations out of 80,000 than Trump. So who the frick knows.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
172742 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:18 am to
It means he had to run it 80,000 times before Kamala won more times
Posted by Shamoan
Member since Feb 2019
11686 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:19 am to
So our country is a coin flip from being doomed vs another coin flip in 4 years away from being doomed?

Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
20254 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:20 am to
What a pussy. Make a call, don’t leave it with the machine
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
37114 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:26 am to
quote:

So our country is a coin flip from being doomed vs another coin flip in 4 years away from being doomed?
yes
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
19735 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:30 am to
Can a statistician correct me on this if I'm wrong, but isn't this close of a result in a true coin flip simulation over 80,000 trials extremely unlikely?
Posted by BK Lounge
Member since Nov 2021
4724 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:38 am to
Lol at anyone who pays attention to ANY poll.. after what happened in 2016 when almost every poll was dead wrong- polls have zero value and you have to have extremely low intelligence to care what they say .
Posted by UcobiaA
The Gump
Member since Nov 2010
3885 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:43 am to
Garbage in, garbage out.
Posted by lionward2014
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2015
12706 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:46 am to
Nate Silver- “Everyone is a phony herding!”

Also Nate Silver- “Watch me herd!”

Biggest loser out there.
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
10852 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:38 am to
quote:

Kamala won 12 more simulations out of 80,000 than Trump. So who the frick knows.


Not to be a math nerd, but if she won in 40012 out 80000, that means she won 24 more times, not 12.

80000-40012=39988

40012-39988=24

May not be significant. But it's twice as much..
Posted by stelly1025
Lafayette
Member since May 2012
9555 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 4:05 am to
That just seems retarded to me. Simple analysis it is a turnout election now. Trump voters show like they did in 2020 it is a landslide and if they stay home we lose. It is that simple.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
82900 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 4:32 am to
quote:

Nate Silver ends his simulation as tied between Trump and Kamala


Dudes a fricking coward... He's swayed with the wind in an attempt to be able to save face at the end of the day.

Make a call
Posted by DamStrongTeam
Member since Dec 2008
429 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 4:36 am to
If ya put in the wrong numbers, you will get the wrong answers every time.
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
70933 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 4:40 am to
He's gonna look worse tonight, and on to this week, if needed.

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