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Started By
Message
Trump surging on Polymarket, back up to 59.5% to win, 57% to win Pennsylvania
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:37 am
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:37 am
13
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:39 am to GeneralLee
But the Seltzer poll!!
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:39 am to GeneralLee
Why did his numbers tank so much in PA?
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:39 am to GeneralLee
Bannon has Jim Worthington, one of the big PA Republican operatives on War Room right now (the guy who was rallying the troops outside of one of the polling places in Bucks County a few days ago) and he basically said there's no enthusiasm in Philadelphia for Kamala which is why she's rallying there tonight. He says that if Republicans vote like they're expected to on Election Day, it should be a 2/3/4 point win for TRUMP.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:40 am to GeneralLee
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:40 am to TakingStock
quote:
He says that if Republicans vote like they're expected to on Election Day, it should be a 2/3/4 point win for TRUMP.
I’m all for it
But frick Steve Bannon
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:42 am to TN Tygah
Worthington credits the change in the RNC for what we are seeing across the country now, specifically crediting Michael Whatley and Lara Trump for turning things around as well as TRUMP's Campaign team and Scott Pressler (for all of his work in GOTV in PA).
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:42 am to GeneralLee
LHG fellow Patriots!
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:44 am to GeneralLee
These poll assholes don’t want to be wrong. They will tell the truth at the very end to say they were accurate. Except the ones being paid to lie.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:44 am to GeneralLee
I told you guys whales dumped Trump to take money and buy back cheaper. The betting markets are an unregulated pump and dump
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:44 am to GeneralLee
This is odd because last night I was told that only super rich betting geniuses that were waiting on Ann Selzer’s permission had declared Harris the winner.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:45 am to GeneralLee
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:45 am to SirWinston
Shocked that Trump is still only 77% to win Iowa on Kalshi... waiting impatiently for my bank wire to clear to load up there (should process in the next few hours). Guaranteed 30% return in about 36 hours. 
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:46 am to upgrayedd
quote:
Why did his numbers tank so much in PA?
When the point spread gets big enough, money starts coming in on the underdog. That is how gambling works.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:46 am to TakingStock
Yea, Mitt Romney’s niece would never sabotage Trump or the populist movement.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:49 am to rebelrouser
It was spillover effect from the Selzer Iowa poll... same thing happened in Wisconsin and other swing state markets
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:53 am to GeneralLee
Easily manipulated
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:53 am to GeneralLee
How have betting markets performed as a metric in past presidential elections?
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:56 am to lake chuck fan
Wild swings. Trump went down to like 15% in 2016 when the early Florida returns came back looking poorly.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:57 am to GeneralLee
quote:frickin same. Probably wont clear until after the election. Antiquated banking systems
Shocked that Trump is still only 77% to win Iowa on Kalshi... waiting impatiently for my bank wire to clear to load up there (should process in the next few hours). Guaranteed 30% return in about 36 hours.
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