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Realistically in 15 years .. will social security payments still be paid

Posted on 9/26/24 at 8:35 am
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
2754 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 8:35 am
If the country still resembles what it is today
Posted by SulphursFinest
Lafayette
Member since Jan 2015
10092 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 8:38 am to
Probably so
Posted by lsujro
north of the wall
Member since Jul 2007
4034 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 8:42 am to
People have been sky screaming this my entire life. Neither party wants to be the one who catches that knife. It will be fine.
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
70937 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 8:57 am to
Yes. Something will have to be done though in that 15 years.

When you introduce something like social security its almost impossible to ever let it "go away" or take it away. ~50% of elderly have S.S. as the majority of their monthly income and 25% its almost their sole income.

The parties will have to get together over the next decade or so and come to some sort of agreement on it. It will change somewhat (tax cap removed, slightly reduced benefits, invest in something that returns more, etc etc) but still very much exist.
This post was edited on 9/26/24 at 8:58 am
Posted by Clint Torres
Member since Oct 2011
2795 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 9:03 am to
They’re going to need to do away w/ the FICA cap or substantially raise it
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
70937 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 9:07 am to
quote:

They’re going to need to do away w/ the FICA cap or substantially raise it



Thats 1 thing I think definitely will happen, but it wont come close to fully funding SSI still is the scary part even with a completely removed cap. It get you like 50% of the way there.
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11713 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 9:11 am to
Yes. If AI becomes what we hear, we may even see the age lowered.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
23458 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Realistically in 15 years .. will social security payments still be paid


Yes, there will be riots if not. Well probably not riots, but what ever political party kills it, will be dead forever.

They will have to do some changes, we can only hope they makes sense. The current census based population peak is 2080, after that it should start to decline. That is where things could start to become painful.
Posted by Triple Bogey
19th Green
Member since May 2017
6224 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 9:13 am to
I just wish I could opt out and invest that money on my own.

ETA: I'm 35 now and would give up the past 17 years of money paid in to be able to do that.
This post was edited on 9/26/24 at 9:14 am
Posted by AndyJ
Member since Jul 2008
3126 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 9:28 am to
I am 45 and if they raised the age, it would not affect my vote, because I have so little confidence it will be there. I doubt it would impact the votes of people my age or younger. But politicians are too scared to do anything about it still. If they means test it, then that will affect my vote
Posted by WhiskeyThrottle
Weatherford Tx
Member since Nov 2017
6539 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 9:32 am to
quote:

ETA: I'm 35 now and would give up the past 17 years of money paid in to be able to do that.


I'm about to be 39, I would take the same option if given the opportunity, but it would be absolutely theft by the government.

It's beyond absurd that the government believes that they can mismanage my money better than I can for retirement. And I have no say in how the funds are managed.
This post was edited on 9/26/24 at 9:35 am
Posted by highpockets
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2015
2012 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 9:36 am to
Force the government onto SS and Obamacare and see how fast it is fixed.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
11036 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 9:51 am to
I don’t see how they stop paying. But the problem is that 15 years down the line interest on the debt will consume damn near all federal revenues.
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
69390 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 9:51 am to
quote:

just wish I could opt out and invest that money on my own.

ETA: I'm 35 now and would give up the past 17 years of money paid in to be able to do that.


Same. I'd come out ahead.
Posted by Art Blakey
Member since Aug 2023
286 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 9:52 am to
Nominally, yes. In purchasing power terms, no.
Posted by CharlesUFarley
Daphne, AL
Member since Jan 2022
755 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 10:31 am to
The current "doomsday" projection is that Social Security will exhaust its trust fund and will then be required to reduce benefits to 70% or so of what was expected.

While that will be a political quagmire, it really doesn't sound like the end of the world to me. I will be as pi$$ed as anyone, but I will be fine.

I am highly confident that Congress will cook up some kind of rescue plan by then. Those plans are always "devil in the details" type plans which always have "gotchas" in them, but they will do something to avoid the torches and pitchforks that will result from massive disruptions to Social Security.

Maybe that brain trust will get together and offer something like a targeted 150% tax credit for skipping SS payments or no taxes (or FICA) on earned income up to some limit if you are over retirement age, or something similar to shift the margins on this issue.
Posted by KennytheTiger
bella vista ar
Member since Apr 2012
415 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:14 am to
Yes, but probably at a lower amounts lower than today. They will start raising the wage limit that is taxed for SS to address shortfalls. This amount was just raised to $168k, and was kept too low for too many years.
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
14976 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:48 am to
They damn well better be.
Posted by BThibodeaux
Member since Jun 2005
152 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:50 am to
SS will be around because the voting power of the older generation. Guaranteed. The tax cap will be raised and the full retirement age extended. Benefits will not be cut.
Posted by BCreed1
Alabama
Member since Jan 2024
5525 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:35 pm to
I'm all for ending it, but at the same time I'm all for honoring what people have paid in.

- It can be funded by other means, and it will take congress to allow that.

- never rely on one source of income for life
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