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Will mortgage rates continue to fall?

Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:46 pm
Posted by Yaboylsu63
Member since Mar 2014
3191 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:46 pm
Got a 7.15 rate currently.
I’m hearing rates today have fallen to 6.5-6.625 range.

Would love to refi if we get into ultra low 6 or 5% range.

Do we think they continue to fall through the coming weeks or is this reactionary to today’s stock market?
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93132 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:48 pm to
You can get into the 5s now
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
26522 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:48 pm to
They will probably go lower if/when the Fed cuts the prime rate. Mortgage rates aren't directly corollary to prime rate but certainly likely they would move down as well. I think you can get 6% if you wait a few months.
Posted by Tshiz
Idaho
Member since Jul 2013
7974 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:49 pm to
They won’t go down to the 2/3. 5 is realistic but how much time do you have
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
26522 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

You can get into the 5s now



On a 30 year fixed without buying the rate down up front?
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
3965 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:54 pm to
Wells Fargo is showing 6.1s for 30y and Wells Fargo sucks.

Probably can get into upper 5s somewhere.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57851 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

Do we think they continue to fall through the coming weeks or is this reactionary to today’s stock market?


Mortgage rates tend to be lowest during Dec/Jan. Combine that with the Fed likely to start cutting rates in September and it's possible we could see upper 4's by Christmas (but more likely low 5's, depending on what else happens between now and then).
Posted by Yaboylsu63
Member since Mar 2014
3191 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:55 pm to
I am planning on being in this house for the next 10-15 years minimum.

So I will be here for a while to reach break even from closing costs.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93132 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

On a 30 year fixed without buying the rate down up front?


Yes as long as the lo does borrower paid
Posted by Purple Spoon
Hoth
Member since Feb 2005
20184 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 1:59 pm to
Can get in 5.99 right now. 30 yr fixed.
Posted by MrJimBeam
Member since Apr 2009
12956 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 2:18 pm to
Damn didn’t realize we got sub 6 now
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162010 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 2:18 pm to
got a 6.1 quote from Regions on a house we're under contract on, hoping for a little bit more of a dip in the next few weeks, haven't rate locked yet
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10656 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 2:23 pm to
bond market has more or less priced this move in already, so when the fed finally does cut, I don’t think mortgage rates will fall very drastically. 10 year has already moved a bit in anticipation
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91302 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 2:55 pm to
I have significant doubts that rates get much lower than this. 10y treasury is at 3.75%, which objectively on the low end historically. Mortgage spreads are also inline with historical norms. Maybe spreads shrink another .5% and 10y falls to 3.5%, but anything more than that probably means really bad things for your overall wealth in the next 6-12 months.
Posted by BZ504
Texas
Member since Oct 2005
12779 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 3:12 pm to
Currently at 6%. Would be nice for it to get below 5%. I don’t think we see it in the 3s anytime soon.
This post was edited on 8/5/24 at 3:20 pm
Posted by Veritas
Member since Feb 2005
10164 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 4:00 pm to
Bought a place back towards the end of May. Ended up getting 7%. I’ll continue to monitor, but not going to really consider to make a move until rates steady closer to 5%. I have a place I really like, it’s affordable to me, especially when considering the tax return.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38361 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

10y treasury is at 3.75%, which objectively on the low end historically.
Ish. that's actually above the median.

I agree, though. I don't think we'll see cascading lower mortgage rates. 2, 5 and 10 all came in like 40 bps last week.
Posted by npt817
Prairieville, LA
Member since Sep 2010
1666 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 7:34 pm to
Rates are currently about the same as late spring of 2023. Probably will see them tick up a little in next week or so and just keep playing ping pong for a bit between 6 and 7.
Posted by Stoic Poser
South LA
Member since Apr 2023
513 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 8:18 pm to
They haven’t fallen at all. People with better credit get better rates.

They haven’t made one of the 5 forecasted cuts for 2024, despite how low realtors tell you
This post was edited on 8/5/24 at 8:20 pm
Posted by npt817
Prairieville, LA
Member since Sep 2010
1666 posts
Posted on 8/5/24 at 9:27 pm to
quote:

They haven’t fallen at all. People with better credit get better rates. They haven’t made one of the 5 forecasted cuts for 2024, despite how low realtors tell you


Don’t confuse the Fed Rate with mortgage rates.
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