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Prediction: By August 31, Kamala will be leading in the polls

Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:05 am
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
20309 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:05 am
Trump is +2 right now based on Harris being a "hypothetical." If she is the actual nominee, I bet there will be a small bump. After the DNC goes all in with #TheFutureisFemale, #BlackGirlMagic and #Abortion, Kamala will take a lead and the cheat will be activated.

Posted by SoggyBottomBaw
Live Free Or Die
Member since Nov 2022
696 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:07 am to
Only if you rely on propaganda instead of your own thought and your own ears and eyes...
Posted by LSUvet72
Member since Sep 2013
13103 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:08 am to
No way this laughing ahole will increase in the real polls.
Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
7559 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:08 am to
We'll see.

In addition to not being a hypothetical anymore, there are a few other things she has that are normally "bump" events for polling.

1 - She has her VP selection.
2 - She has the Democratic convention on August 13th.

Trump is past those events on his side.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
35488 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:08 am to
quote:

By August 31

July 31 most likely, for those who care about the national popular vote. It will tighten up considerably in WI, MI, NV, and PA as well. Those places are completely full of people who are looking for the slightest reason not to vote for Donald Trump.

I don't think she moves the needle much in Arizona or Georgia.
Posted by FreddieMac
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2010
24832 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:09 am to
Haha do not worry, she will be in the lead by the end of next week. They can make her have any poll numbers they want her to have...
Posted by dstone12
Texan
Member since Jan 2007
38250 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:09 am to
Mail
In
Votes
From
Dead
Republicans



Vegas knows this.
This post was edited on 7/22/24 at 10:10 am
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
20606 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:10 am to
Unbelievable that the most unqualified person ever running for US President is assuming the most powerful position in the world.
This country is done and over with a total collapse coming before the end of her 8 year destruction of the United States of America.
Posted by PorkSammich
North FL
Member since Sep 2013
16625 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:10 am to
The polls were being manipulated to force Biden out.

It worked.
Posted by MFn GIMP
Member since Feb 2011
22671 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:11 am to
Kamala has a worse average unfavorable rating than Biden and fairly far behind Trump. RealClearPolitics has Trump with an average 42.8% favorability and a -10.9% spread. Harris is at 38.1% favorable and a -14.2% spread. Biden was at 39.1% and -17.5% spread.

Harris is not likeable.
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
20309 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:14 am to
quote:

Only if you rely on propaganda instead of your own thought and your own ears and eyes...



I do not.
Most of this board does not.
Most of American women certain do.

I've told this story before. My wife and I have a couple friend. Ultra conservative, Christian, gun loving. She told us in 2020 that she "voted for Trump but it was hard because she wants to see a woman in the White House."

Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
7559 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:14 am to
quote:


Unbelievable that the most unqualified person ever running for US President is assuming the most powerful position in the world.
This country is done and over with a total collapse coming before the end of her 8 year destruction of the United States of America.


While it's fair to say Harris would suck as President, it's not accurate to say she's unqualified. Her qualifications are solid, the question is if she would actually perform the job well.

7 years as a District Attorney in a large city
6 years as an Attorney General in a large state.
4 years as a Senator.
4 years as a VP.

In terms of qualifications, that's pretty solid as far as Presidential Candidates are concerned.

Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
12468 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:17 am to
quote:

7 years as a District Attorney in a large city 6 years as an Attorney General in a large state. 4 years as a Senator.


All arranged by Willie Brown. I can’t believe you are actually touting her rise in Cali politics. LOL.
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
87586 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:18 am to
national poll means nothing. get off the ledge and stop reading commie propaganda.

swing state polls are all that matter.

pull up your skirt and grab your balls and fight.
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
59262 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:20 am to
quote:

The polls were being manipulated to force Biden out.


If you think polling forced Biden out, you’re unbelievably naive.
Posted by matty3387
Metairie
Member since May 2018
1700 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:21 am to
Who cares!!! Polls mean nothing.
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
116616 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:22 am to
The main message being sent out in the last 24 hours has been:

"The polls indicate that voters see the economy as the main issue. Biden was burdened with that. Kamala is a fresh, clean candidate with no connection to the economy."

If there is a debate between Trump and Kamala she will use that. Every time Trump mentions inflation Kamala can dismiss it. She will have a much tougher time dismissing the border, which is the 2nd biggest issue with voters.
Posted by MFn GIMP
Member since Feb 2011
22671 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:22 am to
I would add that a head-to-head poll of Trump and Harris, or any Democrat, isn't the correct way to look at the race either. We know there will be 5 candidates. Trump, the Dem, RFK Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein.

The 3 minor candidates all will pull votes with RFK getting the most. The two 5-way polls, including one last week before the convenion, has Trump +5 on Harris.
Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
7559 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:23 am to
quote:

All arranged by Willie Brown. I can’t believe you are actually touting her rise in Cali politics. LOL.


Qualifications are about what jobs you've had before, not how you got them.

This isn't touting anything about her. It's a fact she's got a strong list of qualifications to seek the Presidency. More than what Obama had when he ran (7 years in state senate, 4 years in US senate)
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
45867 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:25 am to
you are looking at aggregated popular vote polls.

its not going to be close
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