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Just placed $500 on UT to not make the CFP at +200 odds

Posted on 6/4/24 at 6:56 am
Posted by Saunson69
Stephen the Pirate
Member since May 2023
8230 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 6:56 am
Texas nearly tied these 3 teams:

4-8 UH (if ref spots the ball in the correct place for UH on UT's goal line instead of pushing it back 2 yards at end of game, this game likely goes to OT) even announcer were questioning how horrible that spot was for UH end of game at UT goal line. This should've been an OT game.

5-7 TCU won by 3 points

7-5 Kansas St went to OT with KSU

You can't look me in the eyes and tell me with a serious face that Georgia or Bama would nearly tie 4-8 UH, 5-7 TCU, and 7-5 Kansas St. Yes I realize UT beat Bama that season, but you still can't say with a serious face that those 3 teams would nearly tie Bama and UGA. UGA/Bama would beat all 3 by 20+. It was a luck season for UT last year. I can't see them eclipsing 8-4. For that reason I placed $500 at +200 odds to return $1,500. Easy money imo. Instead of playing a mid Big 12 team with a recruiting class rank of 45th, they are now playing a mid SEC team with a recruiting class rank of 12th.
This post was edited on 6/4/24 at 7:02 am
Posted by zzgobucky
Madison
Member since Sep 2016
1812 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 7:00 am to
quote:

Easy money imo.


I’ve never seen anyone win a bet after posting this
Posted by Saunson69
Stephen the Pirate
Member since May 2023
8230 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 7:00 am to
I did with Jayden heisman odds, +3500 I placed mid October. I didn't say it was easy money until early November but said it then. I said it kinda half arse like on Jaydne +7500 number 1 pick odds. I placed in November. Kinda hard to say +7500 odds is easy money, but at the time he wasn't in top 10 mocks and when the draft came he went #2 so that was quasi another even though no win.

I legitimately think this is easy money and that UT had a luck season and all those fringe games against .500 teams with 50th ranked recruiting classes are losses in the SEC.
This post was edited on 6/4/24 at 7:10 am
Posted by TDawg1313
WA
Member since Jul 2009
12450 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 7:13 am to
Hopefully you took into account that it will be 12 teams this year, not 4.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
7668 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 7:48 am to
quote:

You can't look me in the eyes and tell me with a serious face that Georgia or Bama would nearly tie 4-8 UH, 5-7 TCU, and 7-5 Kansas St.


New Mexico St beat Auburn by more than Georgia did.

You can't take much away from these games.
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
45621 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 7:49 am to
quote:

You can't look me in the eyes and tell me with a serious face that Georgia or Bama would nearly tie 4-8 UH, 5-7 TCU, and 7-5 Kansas St.


Yes, Bama would never struggle with a bad team

*checks schedule from last year*

Oh, let’s ignore the 3 point home win over 4-8 Arkansas, the 4th and 31 to beat 6-7 Auburn, and the struggle with 7-6 USF
Posted by kciDAtaE
Member since Apr 2017
17458 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 7:53 am to
UT will be ranked top 12 on name recognition alone. Bonus if they win a few games.
Posted by POTUS2024
Member since Nov 2022
20943 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 7:56 am to
When you lose the bet are you going to blame boomers?
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
86565 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 8:04 am to
quote:

Hopefully you took into account that it will be 12 teams this year, not 4.
He probably forgot
Posted by Saunson69
Stephen the Pirate
Member since May 2023
8230 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 8:28 am to
Look at all these guys cupping UT here. I guess y'all just like fondling UT. I'm going to win the bet because UT will never be what they were decades ago and are entering the hardest conference going from an easy one. They won't go above 8-4. That I am confident in. Bookmark this.
This post was edited on 6/4/24 at 8:30 am
Posted by Saunson69
Stephen the Pirate
Member since May 2023
8230 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 8:29 am to
You're an idiot if you thought any CF fan is unaware of 12 team playoff.
Posted by Saunson69
Stephen the Pirate
Member since May 2023
8230 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 8:34 am to
Let's ignore how Bama ended up winning by 14 against USF. Let's forget how Auburn has a #8 recruiting class while UH is around #50, TCU around #27, Kansas St around #40.

Arkansas even outrecruits all those teams finishing around #25 each year.

If you wanna cup the Longhorns out of some daddy complex then go ahead. I'm going to profit off it as I know they will not finish 10-2 (which is what is required to get in the 12 team given a portion goes to conference winners. 9-3 is very debatable to get in, LSU would not have this year, but probably doesn't get you in.) UT does not go 10-2 or higher this year. Nothing could convince me otherwise. Ewers is not what people thought he'd be at Ohio St.
This post was edited on 6/4/24 at 8:41 am
Posted by Hook Em Horns
350000 posts
Member since Sep 2010
15704 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 9:48 am to
You gonna post this on EVERY BOARD?
Posted by dj30
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2006
29855 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 9:55 am to
I like the bet. What site did you use?
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60785 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 11:08 am to
quote:

Look at all these guys cupping UT here. I guess y'all just like fondling UT.


This is very telling right here. You accuse people of “cupping UT” because you obviously hate UT, which is fine. If you think they were not as good as their record last year because of the level of competition (didn’t they beat Bama at Bama by double digits?) that’s also fine but very faulty logic. What they did last year is not relevant but it’s worth noting A&M went 6-6 in the Big12 they year before joining the SEC and proceeded to go 10-2 and would definitely have been in a 12 team playoff

The other flaw in your logic is very common to SEC tards. You think whatever team you don’t like that’s not in the SEC could never survive and “Sec schedule” but no one plays an “SEC schedule” they play teams in the SEC, some of which are the best in the country, but not all. You don’t play the best version of every team you play their current one. UGA is loaded and that will be a tough game, though they do get that at home. The rest of their SEC schedule is very manageable. Their road games are Vandy, Arkansas and A&M plus OU at a neutral site. Home aside from UGA, they get Florida MSU and Kentucky. Personally I’d want a lot better than +200 to make that bet, but good luck
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
101290 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 11:11 am to
I also like the bet
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
33257 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 11:13 am to
I think they lose UGA and OU but beat Michigan and A&M

10-2 but easily could be 9-3
Posted by UnluckyTiger
Member since Sep 2003
41771 posts
Posted on 6/4/24 at 11:15 am to
Won on Jayden Heisman, lost on Jayden first overall pick. Will win on Jayden again for ROY.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
79266 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 11:58 am to
quote:

Hopefully you took into account that it will be 12 teams this year, not 4.


And only 4 power conferences. One spot goes to a mid major. ACC and XII will get 1, maybe 2, each. That leaves 7-9 spots for the B1G and SEC.

Michigan, tOSU, maybe one of Iowa/Penn State.

So if you fade the sips, you're betting they won't be in the top 5 SEC teams.
Posted by SpartyGator
Detroit Lions fan
Member since Oct 2011
81860 posts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 3:38 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/5/24 at 3:39 pm
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