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re: Do experts on the money board agree with what the feds did today?
Posted on 3/21/24 at 8:47 am to Civildawg
Posted on 3/21/24 at 8:47 am to Civildawg
I think the pause has been ok, I disagree with the need to cut unless they see something terrible coming other than the government needing to fix their shite. CRE comes to mind.
0
Posted on 3/21/24 at 8:52 am to Civildawg
I don't agree with rate cuts right now, and I'm surprised three cuts are still on the table. I'd rather they not speak about a potential number of cuts or increases and say they'll be data-driven. There's nothing wrong with the current interest rate, and historically, it's still low. Unless we see a very clear slowdown, then keep them where they are.
Posted on 3/21/24 at 8:57 am to Art Blakey
quote:Nice.
Art Blakey
Posted on 3/21/24 at 9:40 am to RoyalWe
quote:
Nice.
It's funny because it's true.
Posted on 3/21/24 at 9:48 am to RoyalWe
quote:
I don't agree with rate cuts right now, and I'm surprised three cuts are still on the table. I'd rather they not speak about a potential number of cuts or increases and say they'll be data-driven. There's nothing wrong with the current interest rate, and historically, it's still low. Unless we see a very clear slowdown, then keep them where they are.
That is Powell trying to play both sides of the fence. He wants the market to keep pursuing "stonks" so he paints a more positive picture than the data indicates but then hides behind saying things can change. The stonks market ignores that last bit to convince itself there are 5 cuts coming this year.
I'm sure the serial downvoter in this thread will disagree.
Posted on 3/21/24 at 12:12 pm to Civildawg
The main bright spot for lowering is that it breathes some money into the system and gives a lift to confidence .
I’ve always been much more hawkish on rates but I can make a case for a modest gradual lowering
I’ve always been much more hawkish on rates but I can make a case for a modest gradual lowering
Posted on 3/21/24 at 1:59 pm to SlidellCajun
quote:
The main bright spot for lowering is that it breathes some money into the system and gives a lift to confidence .
So when money tightens it breathes money into "the system?"
Posted on 3/21/24 at 5:42 pm to wutangfinancial
quote:
So when money tightens it breathes money into "the system
When rates lower, more money is injected into the system.
Yes
I’m sure
Posted on 3/21/24 at 5:42 pm to SlidellCajun
quote:
The main bright spot for lowering is that it breathes some money into the system and gives a lift to confidence.
If inflation is too much currency chasing too few goods, then breathing more money into the system helps create inflation. If inflation is already sticky above 3%, then lowering rates would drive inflation back up.
quote:
I’ve always been much more hawkish on rates but I can make a case for a modest gradual lowering
I can agree with that, but we're nowhere near that time right now. If anything, rates may need to go up another tenth or quarter point.
Posted on 3/21/24 at 5:58 pm to Bard
quote:
rates may need to go up another tenth
That seems awfully dialed in.
Posted on 3/21/24 at 6:47 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
That seems awfully dialed in.
Especially when you cherry-pick it.
Unless we start seeing inflation get back to 4%+, the likelihood of the Fed hiking more than .25 is so slim as to be non-existent. If they were to raise in the current environment, most likely they would just raise it slightly, pause, then re-evaluate.
Posted on 3/21/24 at 9:57 pm to Civildawg
It's an election year. You gotta ride this wave until November. All bets are off after the election. Enjoy while it's good. They will prop this baby up until November. $$$$$
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:02 am to Bard
quote:Have they ever raised in an increment less than 25bps?
Unless we start seeing inflation get back to 4%+, the likelihood of the Fed hiking more than .25 is so slim as to be non-existent. If they were to raise in the current environment, most likely they would just raise it slightly, pause, then re-evaluate.
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:51 am to Civildawg
Jay Powell CHOSE RICH!!
Posted on 3/22/24 at 5:43 am to TigerDeBaiter
Roussel Econ 2035 sucked a big one am I right????
Posted on 3/22/24 at 6:08 am to Big Scrub TX
quote:
Have they ever raised in an increment less than 25bps?
They haven't, but Powell is trying so hard to thread this needle that it wouldn't surprise me to see this proposed.
This post was edited on 3/22/24 at 6:09 am
Posted on 3/22/24 at 7:34 am to Civildawg
The Feds can suck my wiener
Posted on 3/22/24 at 7:35 am to TigerDeBaiter
quote:
Jay Powell CHOSE RICH!
HAHAHAHAHAAH! A fellow twitter bro.
Posted on 3/22/24 at 7:44 am to I Love Bama
quote:
What reason is there to cut rates?
Real estate is a pretty big reason to.
Posted on 3/22/24 at 7:46 am to VolSquatch
In my opinion, they want real estate to come down.
It's not affordable.
It's significantly over priced compared to every historic metric we have.
It's not affordable.
It's significantly over priced compared to every historic metric we have.
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