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So did the fed really fix inflation or did the supply chain problem etc just fade out

Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:08 pm
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
43700 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:08 pm
First of all, I like Chairman Powell. Conservative, Cautious and definitely gets it. Being a Volker not a Greenspan guy, I just not a proponent of killing inflation at any cost. That said I thought for sure that was going to send us into a recession and it looks like we may have avoided that.

That said, I am still not sure the rate hikes really did that much to curb inflation, and think it was more the covid money and supply disruption stopped. However, if anyone has any evidence to the contrary, I am all ears.
Posted by Spelt it rong
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2012
10057 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:10 pm to
Companies have adjusted. Chain is still fricked to a degree. Inflation is very much still here.
Posted by TCO
Member since Jul 2022
2628 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:11 pm to
THEY TOOK OUR JERBS!








Took our jerbs!
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
66763 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:11 pm to
I haven't noticed anything getting cheaper. The baseline just moved up and it's likely permanent.
Posted by yaboidarrell
westbank
Member since Feb 2017
5428 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:12 pm to
Groceries are still expensive AF
Posted by Fat and Happy
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2013
17147 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:12 pm to
Most people are getting pretty fricked by the rates

Prices of everything has sucked for a long time now
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
672 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:12 pm to
Nothing has fixed inflation so I am not sure what point you are trying to make
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
39587 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:13 pm to
quote:

That said I thought for sure that was going to send us into a recession and it looks like we may have avoided that.


Member when we actually went into a recession and Brandon got pumped full of Adderall, got on TV, said "That's not true, we are NOT in a recession", and nobody told him that the numbers that define a recession say we are?

I member.
Posted by GoldenGuy
Member since Oct 2015
10966 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:14 pm to
quote:

So did the fed really fix inflation


Did everything go back to the prices they were?

So no, they haven’t fixed shite.
Posted by jamiegla1
Member since Aug 2016
7030 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:22 pm to
how are the mortgage rates? Wages? Cost of everything? All seem to suck
Posted by billjamin
Houston
Member since Jun 2019
12920 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:36 pm to
quote:

I am still not sure the rate hikes really did that much to curb inflation

They certainly didn’t hurt. Rates had been suppressed for too long prior to covid.
Posted by Longhorn Actual
Member since Dec 2023
1027 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:42 pm to
quote:

Being a Volker not a Greenspan guy, I just not a proponent of killing inflation at any cost. That said I thought for sure that was going to send us into a recession and it looks like we may have avoided that.


It's "Volcker" and no, we didn't avoid a recession.

Inflation hasn't been curbed. The rate of inflation has leveled off some, and only if you believe the numbers are accurate (they've been using the "lie and then revise later" tactic for quite some time now).

Prices are still higher than a giraffe's arse and likely will never come down. Consumers have signaled a willingness to use debt to maintain spending, so prices will remain sticky if not permanent.

"Crises take a lot longer to happen than you'd expect, but once they do, they occur at a much faster pace than you could ever think possible"...or something like that...
Posted by OWLFAN86
The OT has made me richer
Member since Jun 2004
177298 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:44 pm to
did Kamala send you an activate e-mail?
This post was edited on 2/4/24 at 8:46 pm
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
63034 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 8:48 pm to
As soon as everyone's salary has gone up the 30% inflation has over the past 3 years, then we'll call it even
Posted by willeaux
Member since Jan 2006
2927 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 9:10 pm to
Talking about the fed in any sort of enabling and/or positive way is counter productive to American interests.
Posted by holmesbr
Baton Rouge, La.
Member since Feb 2012
3066 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 11:34 pm to
The government just breaks stuff. They don't fix nothing.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
51147 posts
Posted on 2/4/24 at 11:37 pm to
quote:

did the fed really fix inflation


Where are you seeing deflation?
This post was edited on 2/4/24 at 11:38 pm
Posted by TchoupitoulasTiger
NOLA
Member since May 2011
1229 posts
Posted on 2/5/24 at 12:39 am to
quote:

That said, I am still not sure the rate hikes really did that much to curb inflation, and think it was more the covid money and supply disruption stopped.



It’s hard to have a discussion on the topic when there is a misunderstanding about the terms used. So let me say- prices are stupid high. I don’t like paying them. The dog food I buy is about 60% higher than it was in 2019. Basic stuff is up about 30-60% it seems. So yeah, I roll my eyes too when I hear 3% or 6% inflation.

But that’s not how the govt calculates it. They take a broad “basket” of items and calculate how much the price CHANGES month over month.
The groceries we buy can or cannot be included in the calculation depending on the reporting metric. This also applies to gasoline. Thus the metric called Core CPI which is also known as “CPI ex. Food and Energy” meaning it doesn’t factor in the change in prices of the food you buy or the gasoline you use.

Home prices and used car prices make up a heavy weighting in the calculation of inflation. But the govt doesn’t pull home prices from Zillow or ask realtors what they’re pricing houses at. You wanna know how they calculate the heaviest weighting in the inflation calculation?? They literally call random homeowners across the country and ask them what they think they could rent their house for. I’m not making this up. It’s called Owners Equivalent Rent (OER) and it plays a huge factor into the reported inflation. Go Google it, you’ll see what I mean. There’s more I could go into, but I’ll leave it here for now.

I remember the days when The Fed was begging for inflation and it just wouldn’t happen.



Since 2008 we didn’t really have any inflation, at least that people noticed.

Also…


Posted by fischd1
Mandeville
Member since Dec 2007
2860 posts
Posted on 2/5/24 at 6:24 am to
You cannot be that stupid to think inflation has gone down. Everything is still very expensive.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
263358 posts
Posted on 2/5/24 at 6:38 am to
We've just become closer to the next new normal.

Theyre still borrowing money to prop up the economy. Its not over.
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