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What goes up, must come down…???

Posted on 1/1/24 at 9:12 pm
Posted by threeputt23
Hammond la
Member since Dec 2021
82 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 9:12 pm
I’m an old retired guy who has not touched his 401(k). I was worried when stocks were low but now more worried when stocks have gone to record highs in a short period of time. If/when the market crashes it’ll also affect real estate, so where is the safe move beforehand?
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
25953 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 9:17 pm to
It only affects real estate if there is unemployment.

What is your worry with the market?
What is the shoe to drop?
The straw against the camel's back?
Posted by thatguy777
br
Member since Feb 2007
2392 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 10:39 pm to
2024 will be fine.Don't let the noise impact your decisions. Trend is up, expect dips along the way, stay invested.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71599 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 6:09 am to
If you don't have to tap your 401(k), don't worry about the short term market.

The danger in being in stocks at your age is if you have to sell at a loss to support yourself. Even if we see a bear market in 2024 you'll still be ahead of 2 years ago.
Posted by CharleyLake
Member since Oct 2006
1329 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 8:36 am to
You seem to have a peculiar thing to worried about. I am also retired and you and I have survived a downturn and have lived long enough to participate in the upturn. Congratulations for not selling your investments when their values dropped.

You should be able to get some good advice on obtaining a balanced portfolio tailored to your situation with little effort or cost.

Do make certain that you do not have to take an RMD (required minimum distribution) from the 401K.

I believe the most important change in American finance is the 25 year period by which we took control of our finances and transferred ourselves to active investors from passive savers.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10571 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 8:41 am to
Eh

Not sure I’d bet on a crash.
Trillions still sitting on the sidelines.

Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4151 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 8:56 am to
quote:

I’m an old retired guy who has not touched his 401(k).

If/when the market crashes it’ll also affect real estate, so where is the safe move beforehand?


We don’t know what your financial/income situation is, how much of your net worth is tied to your 410K or when you might need to start withdrawing from your 410K. But well before you entered retirement, you should have developed a plan that accounted for that and have a portfolio allocation that’s appropriate.

You mentioned real estate. Do you currently have some real estate related investments, or if there is a real estate correction, do you have a desire to enter that market for investment purposes?

Given the limited amount of background information, my only advice is to have a rational, unemotional plan and don’t be reactionary.

Good luck.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51886 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 10:02 am to
The market corrects, but eventually comes back then tops its old high. If you're really worried, start moving money into bonds (the 1-month is still going for over 5%).

The market isn't the big worry to me, it's the economy being built heavily on increasing amounts of consumer and federal debt. We've been seeing a steady rise in loan delinquency rates since Q1 2022 while simultaneously seeing consumer debt expansion increase faster than pre-COVID (although the rate of increase appears to be slowing). Either of those alone would be concerning (just because of their vast individual amounts), but together they are unsustainable.

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